Prediction: Corinthians vs Cruzeiro
Team pages: Corinthians · Cruzeiro
- Cruzeiro1-1Corinthians
- Corinthians1-2Cruzeiro
- Cruzeiro0-1Corinthians
- Cruzeiro3-0Corinthians
- Corinthians0-0Cruzeiro
- Corinthians2-1Cruzeiro
| Corinthians | Draw | Cruzeiro | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 32% | 27% |
| Market | 42% | 29% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Corinthians | Cruzeiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 0.8 | 1.3 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.3 | 0.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/70/10% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.6 | 2.7 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.1 | 3.9 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Corinthians 2–2–2 Cruzeiro
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/02/26 Brazil Serie A | Cruzeiro | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Corinthians |
| 14/12/25 Copa do Brasil | Corinthians | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Cruzeiro |
| 11/12/25 Copa do Brasil | Cruzeiro | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Corinthians |
| 24/11/25 Brazil Serie A | Cruzeiro | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Corinthians |
| 24/07/25 Brazil Serie A | Corinthians | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Cruzeiro |
| 20/11/24 Brazil Serie A | Corinthians | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Cruzeiro |
Standings · Brazil Serie A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 22 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 38 | 16 | 48 |
| 2 | Flamengo | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 39 | 18 | 42 |
| 3 | Athletico Paranaense | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 19 | 40 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 31 | 26 | 35 |
| 5 | Cruzeiro | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 30 | 31 | 33 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 29 | 25 | 33 |
| 7 | Corinthians | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 20 | 32 |
| 8 | Bragantino | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 26 | 22 | 31 |
| 9 | Botafogo | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 35 | 33 | 30 |
| 10 | Coritiba | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 27 | 29 | 30 |
| 11 | Atletico Mineiro | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 27 | 29 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 26 | 25 | 26 |
| 13 | Vitoria | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 22 | 33 | 26 |
| 14 | Gremio | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 24 | 27 | 25 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 30 | 23 |
| 16 | Internacional | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 23 | 27 | 23 |
| 17 | Santos | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 29 | 35 | 22 |
| 18 | Vasco da Gama | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 31 | 22 |
| 19 | Remo | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 36 | 22 |
| 20 | Chapecoense | 21 | 1 | 7 | 13 | 20 | 43 | 10 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Corinthians | Cruzeiro |
|---|---|---|
| Internacional | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Gremio | 3-1 W | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Corinthians (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Corinthians
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Bragantino Brazil Serie A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 07/08 | Internacional Copa do Brasil |
1-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 03/08 | Internacional Copa do Brasil |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 31/07 | Athletico Paranaense Brazil Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 26/07 | EC Bahia Brazil Serie A |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 24/07 | Remo Brazil Serie A |
3-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 12/07 | FC Cascavel America Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 30/05 | Gremio Brazil Serie A |
1-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 28/05 | Platense Copa Libertadores |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 24/05 | Atletico Mineiro Brazil Serie A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
Cruzeiro
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Flamengo Copa Libertadores |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 09/08 | Mirassol Brazil Serie A |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 06/08 | Chapecoense Copa do Brasil |
1-0 | 2-0 | 12 | 7 | W |
| 02/08 | Chapecoense Copa do Brasil |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | D |
| 31/07 | Coritiba Brazil Serie A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 26/07 | Botafogo Brazil Serie A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 7 | L |
| 23/07 | Internacional Brazil Serie A |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 12/07 | Gremio Club Friendly List |
1-2 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 04/07 | Defensor Sporting America Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 01/06 | Fluminense Brazil Serie A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Corinthians vs Cruzeiro?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Corinthians win (41%). Probabilities: Corinthians 41%, draw 30%, Cruzeiro 28%.
How many goals are expected in Corinthians vs Cruzeiro?
The model expects 2.14 goals (Corinthians 1.2 · Cruzeiro 0.94), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Corinthians vs Cruzeiro?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.