Football · USA USL League One · 18/10, 01:00
Prediction: Westchester SC vs Union Omaha
Team pages: Westchester SC · Union Omaha
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.37Total
Westchester SC1.39
Union Omaha1.98
1X2
Westchester SC
Draw
Union Omaha
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Westchester SC
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Union Omaha
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Westchester SC
0–1–2
Union Omaha
(3 last)
- Union Omaha2-2Westchester SC
- Westchester SC1-2Union Omaha
- Union Omaha2-1Westchester SC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Westchester SC 1505 · Union Omaha 1545
| Westchester SC | Draw | Union Omaha | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 26% | 24% | 50% |
| Market | 26% | 24% | 50% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.37 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Union Omaha (rating 1505 vs 1545).
- H2H favours Union Omaha: 2-1-0.
- High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Westchester SC | Union Omaha | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.9 | 1.9 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.5 / 0.8 | 1 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/10/40% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 4 | 3.1 / 7.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0 | 4.4 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Westchester SC 0–1–2 Union Omaha
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07/26 USA USL League One | Union Omaha | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Westchester SC |
| 14/09/25 USA USL League One | Westchester SC | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Union Omaha |
| 07/08/25 USA USL League One | Union Omaha | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Westchester SC |
Standings · USA USL League One
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charlotte Independence | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 70 | 42 | 63 |
| 2 | Union Omaha | 30 | 19 | 4 | 7 | 53 | 32 | 61 |
| 3 | Forward Madison FC | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 52 | 30 | 52 |
| 4 | AC Boise | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 47 | 40 | 52 |
| 5 | One Knoxville SC | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 49 | 36 | 51 |
| 6 | Spokane Velocity FC | 29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 46 | 40 | 50 |
| 7 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 50 | 43 | 46 |
| 8 | Fort Wayne FC | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 46 | 37 | 45 |
| 9 | FC Naples | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 35 | 44 | 40 |
| 10 | Westchester SC | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 51 | 48 | 36 |
| 11 | Sarasota Paradise | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 45 | 36 |
| 12 | Corpus Christi FC | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 44 | 36 |
| 13 | Antelope Valley Alta | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 44 | 33 |
| 14 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 44 | 55 | 31 |
| 15 | Greenville Triumph SC | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 36 | 57 | 27 |
| 16 | New York Cosmos | 29 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 36 | 59 | 25 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 32 | 63 | 23 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Westchester SC | Union Omaha |
|---|---|---|
| One Knoxville SC | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| New York Cosmos | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Richmond Kickers | 5-2 W | 5-1 W |
| Charlotte Independence | 4-5 L | 2-0 W |
| Spokane Velocity FC | 1-3 L | 3-1 W |
| Corpus Christi FC | 2-2 D | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 2 L | 5 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Union Omaha (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Westchester SC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Forward Madison FC USA USL League One |
2-0 | 3-2 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 04/10 | Antelope Valley Alta USA USL League One |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 28/09 | One Knoxville SC USA USL League One |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 20/09 | New York Cosmos USA USL League One |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 17/09 | Richmond Kickers USA USL League One |
5-0 | 5-2 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 13/09 | Charlotte Independence USA USL League One |
2-4 | 4-5 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 07/09 | Portland Hearts of Pine USA USL League One |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 03/09 | Chattanooga Red Wolves USA USL League One |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 7 | L |
| 30/08 | Spokane Velocity FC USA USL League One |
1-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 23/08 | Corpus Christi FC USA USL League One |
2-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | D |
Union Omaha
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Fort Wayne FC USA USL League One |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 7 | L |
| 27/09 | Greenville Triumph SC USA USL League One |
1-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 20/09 | One Knoxville SC USA USL League One |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 16/09 | Spokane Velocity FC USA USL League One |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 13/09 | Corpus Christi FC USA USL League One |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 06/09 | Charlotte Independence USA USL League One |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 30/08 | New York Cosmos USA USL League One |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 27/08 | FC Naples USA USL League One |
0-1 | 0-2 | 16 | 3 | L |
| 23/08 | Sarasota Paradise USA USL League One |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 8 | D |
| 17/08 | Richmond Kickers USA USL League One |
3-1 | 5-1 | 13 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Westchester SC vs Union Omaha?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Union Omaha win (50%). Probabilities: Westchester SC 26%, draw 24%, Union Omaha 50%.
How many goals are expected in Westchester SC vs Union Omaha?
The model expects 3.37 goals (Westchester SC 1.39 · Union Omaha 1.98), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Westchester SC vs Union Omaha?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.