Football · USA USL League One · 18/10, 03:00

Prediction: AC Boise vs Antelope Valley Alta

Team pages: AC Boise · Antelope Valley Alta

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.3Total

AC Boise2.3

Antelope Valley Alta1

1X2

66% 20% 14%

AC Boise Draw Antelope Valley Alta

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

2-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

AC Boise 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WDWWWDDLWW

Antelope Valley Alta 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

LWLLLLLLLD

Head-to-head

AC Boise 0–1–0 Antelope Valley Alta (1 last)

Antelope Valley Alta2-2AC Boise

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · AC Boise 1560 · Antelope Valley Alta 1418

	AC Boise	Draw	Antelope Valley Alta
Our model	66%	20%	14%
Market	66%	20%	14%

Estimated total (ours) 3.3 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours AC Boise (rating 1560 vs 1418).
High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	AC Boise	Antelope Valley Alta
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.2	0.9 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.3	0.4 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/20/20%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.7	2.3 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.4	6.4 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.36

X4.50

26.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.95

2 (+1.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.98

Under 3.251.82

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:54

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.36 → 1.36	Pinn 1.40
X	4.50 → 4.50	Pinn 4.83 ★
2	6.25 → 6.25	Bet365 6.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
16:41 +13’	1.36	4.50	6.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:52 +62’	1.40	4.76	5.91
19:57 +52’	1.40▼	4.83▲	5.94▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · AC Boise 0–1–0 Antelope Valley Alta

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/04/26 USA USL League One	Antelope Valley Alta	2-2 HT 1-1	AC Boise

Standings · USA USL League One

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Charlotte Independence	30	19	6	5	70	42	63
2	Union Omaha	30	19	4	7	53	32	61
3	Forward Madison FC	30	15	7	8	52	30	52
4	AC Boise	30	15	7	8	47	40	52
5	One Knoxville SC	31	14	9	8	49	36	51
6	Spokane Velocity FC	29	15	5	9	46	40	50
7	Chattanooga Red Wolves	30	14	4	12	50	43	46
8	Fort Wayne FC	30	12	9	9	46	37	45
9	FC Naples	30	12	4	14	35	44	40
10	Westchester SC	30	10	6	14	51	48	36
11	Sarasota Paradise	29	10	6	13	42	45	36
12	Corpus Christi FC	30	9	9	12	33	44	36
13	Antelope Valley Alta	30	8	9	13	37	44	33
14	Portland Hearts of Pine	30	7	10	13	44	55	31
15	Greenville Triumph SC	30	7	6	17	36	57	27
16	New York Cosmos	29	7	4	18	36	59	25
17	Richmond Kickers	30	6	5	19	32	63	23

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	AC Boise	Antelope Valley Alta
Portland Hearts of Pine	2-1 W	0-1 L
Greenville Triumph SC	1-0 W	2-2 D
Charlotte Independence	1-1 D	0-5 L
New York Cosmos	2-1 W	0-1 L
FC Naples	2-0 W	1-2 L
One Knoxville SC	2-2 D	1-2 L
Forward Madison FC	2-1 W	0-3 L
Record vs common	5 W 2 D 0 L	0 W 1 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: AC Boise (7 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

AC Boise

WDWWWDDLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Portland Hearts of Pine USA USL League One	0-0	2-1	5	3	W
03/10	Greenville Triumph SC USA USL League One	1-0	1-0	6	5	W
27/09	Corpus Christi FC USA USL League One	0-1	1-2	5	7	L
21/09	Spokane Velocity FC USA USL League One	2-0	2-2	3	3	D
17/09	Charlotte Independence USA USL League One	0-0	1-1	11	3	D
12/09	New York Cosmos USA USL League One	1-0	2-1	2	3	W
06/09	FC Naples USA USL League One	1-0	2-0	6	5	W
30/08	Chattanooga Red Wolves USA USL League One	1-0	3-2	4	6	W
23/08	One Knoxville SC USA USL League One	1-2	2-2	8	3	D
09/08	Forward Madison FC USA USL League One	1-0	2-1	7	7	W

Antelope Valley Alta

LWLLLLLLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Greenville Triumph SC USA USL League One	1-2	2-2	7	8	D
04/10	Westchester SC USA USL League One	0-2	1-2	12	6	L
20/09	Forward Madison FC USA USL League One	0-1	0-3	4	12	L
14/09	Portland Hearts of Pine USA USL League One	0-0	0-1	2	8	L
06/09	One Knoxville SC USA USL League One	1-1	1-2	4	5	L
29/08	Charlotte Independence USA USL League One	0-4	0-5	2	4	L
23/08	FC Naples USA USL League One	1-0	1-2	3	5	L
16/08	New York Cosmos USA USL League One	0-0	0-1	2	6	L
09/08	Fort Wayne FC USA USL League One	1-0	3-0	3	5	W
06/08	FC Naples USA USL League One	0-1	1-2	9	8	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AC Boise vs Antelope Valley Alta?

According to our model, the most likely result is a AC Boise win (66%). Probabilities: AC Boise 66%, draw 20%, Antelope Valley Alta 14%.

How many goals are expected in AC Boise vs Antelope Valley Alta?

The model expects 3.3 goals (AC Boise 2.3 · Antelope Valley Alta 1), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in AC Boise vs Antelope Valley Alta?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.