Football · USA USL League One · 27/09, 00:00
Prediction: Forward Madison FC vs Spokane Velocity FC
Team pages: Forward Madison FC · Spokane Velocity FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.6Total
Forward Madison FC1.45
Spokane Velocity FC1.15
1X2
Forward Madison FC
Draw
Spokane Velocity FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Forward Madison FC
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Spokane Velocity FC
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Forward Madison FC
3–1–2
Spokane Velocity FC
(6 last)
- Spokane Velocity FC0-1Forward Madison FC
- Forward Madison FC0-1Spokane Velocity FC
- Spokane Velocity FC2-1Forward Madison FC
- Forward Madison FC0-0Spokane Velocity FC
- Forward Madison FC2-0Spokane Velocity FC
- Spokane Velocity FC0-3Forward Madison FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Forward Madison FC 1553 · Spokane Velocity FC 1518
| Forward Madison FC | Draw | Spokane Velocity FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 29% | 29% |
| Market | 44% | 26% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.6 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Forward Madison FC: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Forward Madison FC | Spokane Velocity FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 0.9 | 1.9 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.5 | 0.7 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 40/10/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 5.4 | 1.7 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.1 / 0.5 | 3.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Forward Madison FC 3–1–2 Spokane Velocity FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07/26 USA USL League One | Spokane Velocity FC | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Forward Madison FC |
| 22/08/25 USA USL League One | Forward Madison FC | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Spokane Velocity FC |
| 15/06/25 USA USL League One | Spokane Velocity FC | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Forward Madison FC |
| 10/11/24 USA USL League One | Forward Madison FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Spokane Velocity FC |
| 22/09/24 USA USL League One | Forward Madison FC | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Spokane Velocity FC |
| 20/05/24 USA USL League One | Spokane Velocity FC | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Forward Madison FC |
Standings · USA USL League One
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Omaha | 28 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 50 | 30 | 58 |
| 2 | Charlotte Independence | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 63 | 39 | 56 |
| 3 | Forward Madison FC | 27 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 50 | 26 | 51 |
| 4 | One Knoxville SC | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 44 | 31 | 47 |
| 5 | AC Boise | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 43 | 37 | 46 |
| 6 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 43 |
| 7 | Spokane Velocity FC | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 36 | 33 | 40 |
| 8 | Fort Wayne FC | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 41 | 35 | 37 |
| 9 | Corpus Christi FC | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 30 | 36 | 33 |
| 10 | Antelope Valley Alta | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 34 | 40 | 32 |
| 11 | Sarasota Paradise | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 33 | 39 | 30 |
| 12 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 39 | 46 | 30 |
| 13 | Westchester SC | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 46 | 45 | 29 |
| 14 | FC Naples | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 43 | 28 |
| 15 | Greenville Triumph SC | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 29 | 48 | 23 |
| 16 | New York Cosmos | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 32 | 52 | 22 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 25 | 53 | 20 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Forward Madison FC | Spokane Velocity FC |
|---|---|---|
| Sarasota Paradise | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Corpus Christi FC | 2-0 W | 2-3 L |
| Richmond Kickers | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Charlotte Independence | 1-1 D | 3-0 W |
| Greenville Triumph SC | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| AC Boise | 1-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 1 L | 3 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Spokane Velocity FC (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Forward Madison FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Antelope Valley Alta USA USL League One |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 12 | W |
| 17/09 | Chattanooga Red Wolves USA USL League One |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 13/09 | Sarasota Paradise USA USL League One |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 06/09 | Corpus Christi FC USA USL League One |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 03/09 | One Knoxville SC USA USL League One |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 30/08 | Richmond Kickers USA USL League One |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 23/08 | Charlotte Independence USA USL League One |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 17/08 | Portland Hearts of Pine USA USL League One |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 13/08 | Greenville Triumph SC USA USL League One |
1-1 | 1-1 | 11 | 4 | D |
| 09/08 | AC Boise USA USL League One |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
Spokane Velocity FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | AC Boise USA USL League One |
0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 16/09 | Union Omaha USA USL League One |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 06/09 | Sarasota Paradise USA USL League One |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 30/08 | Westchester SC USA USL League One |
2-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 23/08 | Greenville Triumph SC USA USL League One |
2-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 16/08 | Corpus Christi FC USA USL League One |
1-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 26/07 | Fort Wayne FC USA USL League One |
0-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 23/07 | Charlotte Independence USA USL League One |
0-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 19/07 | Richmond Kickers USA USL League One |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 05/07 | Fort Wayne FC USA USL League One |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Forward Madison FC vs Spokane Velocity FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Forward Madison FC win (43%). Probabilities: Forward Madison FC 43%, draw 27%, Spokane Velocity FC 29%.
How many goals are expected in Forward Madison FC vs Spokane Velocity FC?
The model expects 2.6 goals (Forward Madison FC 1.45 · Spokane Velocity FC 1.15), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Forward Madison FC vs Spokane Velocity FC?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.