Football · USA USL League One · 04/10, 01:00

Prediction: Westchester SC vs Antelope Valley Alta

Team pages: Westchester SC · Antelope Valley Alta

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.22Total

Westchester SC1.87

Antelope Valley Alta1.35

1X2

49% 25% 27%

Westchester SC Draw Antelope Valley Alta

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Westchester SC 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LWDLLLLWWD

Antelope Valley Alta 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

DLLWLLLLLL

Head-to-head

Westchester SC 0–1–2 Antelope Valley Alta (3 last)

Antelope Valley Alta0-0Westchester SC
Westchester SC2-5Antelope Valley Alta
Antelope Valley Alta2-0Westchester SC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Westchester SC 1485 · Antelope Valley Alta 1420

	Westchester SC	Draw	Antelope Valley Alta
Our model	49%	25%	27%
Market	49%	25%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 3.22 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Westchester SC (rating 1485 vs 1420).
H2H favours Antelope Valley Alta: 2-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 11 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Westchester SC	Antelope Valley Alta
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 2	0.8 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	1.4 / 0.9	0.3 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/10/50%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.1 / 4.6	1.9 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0	6.3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.85

X3.60

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.90

2 (+0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 31.93

Under 31.88

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:55

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.85 → 1.85	Bet365 1.85
X	3.60 → 3.60	Pinn 3.94
2	3.40 → 3.40	Pinn 3.98 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
19:23 +32’	1.85	3.60	3.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
21:01 +114’	1.70	3.94	3.98

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Westchester SC 0–1–2 Antelope Valley Alta

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/07/26 USA USL League One	Antelope Valley Alta	0-0 HT 0-0	Westchester SC
16/06/25 USA USL League One	Westchester SC	2-5 HT 2-1	Antelope Valley Alta
06/04/25 USA USL League One	Antelope Valley Alta	2-0 HT 2-0	Westchester SC

Standings · USA USL League One

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Union Omaha	29	19	4	6	53	31	61
2	Charlotte Independence	28	17	6	5	64	40	57
3	Forward Madison FC	28	15	6	7	50	27	51
4	One Knoxville SC	28	13	9	6	44	31	48
5	Spokane Velocity FC	26	14	4	8	38	33	46
6	AC Boise	28	13	7	8	44	39	46
7	Chattanooga Red Wolves	28	13	4	11	47	40	43
8	Fort Wayne FC	27	10	8	9	42	36	38
9	Corpus Christi FC	27	9	9	9	32	37	36
10	Sarasota Paradise	27	9	6	12	37	40	33
11	Antelope Valley Alta	28	8	8	12	34	40	32
12	FC Naples	27	9	4	14	30	43	31
13	Westchester SC	28	8	6	14	46	45	30
14	Portland Hearts of Pine	28	7	9	12	40	50	30
15	New York Cosmos	27	7	4	16	35	54	25
16	Greenville Triumph SC	27	6	5	16	30	51	23
17	Richmond Kickers	27	5	5	17	27	56	20

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Westchester SC	Antelope Valley Alta
One Knoxville SC	0-0 D	1-2 L
New York Cosmos	2-1 W	0-1 L
Richmond Kickers	5-2 W	2-3 L
Charlotte Independence	4-5 L	0-5 L
Portland Hearts of Pine	1-2 L	0-1 L
FC Naples	3-2 W	1-2 L
Forward Madison FC	0-2 L	0-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 3 L	0 W 0 D 7 L

Better against common opponents: Westchester SC (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Westchester SC

LWDLLLLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/09	One Knoxville SC USA USL League One	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
20/09	New York Cosmos USA USL League One	1-0	2-1	3	3	W
17/09	Richmond Kickers USA USL League One	5-0	5-2	5	4	W
13/09	Charlotte Independence USA USL League One	2-4	4-5	3	7	L
07/09	Portland Hearts of Pine USA USL League One	0-1	1-2	6	5	L
03/09	Chattanooga Red Wolves USA USL League One	0-1	0-1	9	7	L
30/08	Spokane Velocity FC USA USL League One	1-2	1-3	5	3	L
23/08	Corpus Christi FC USA USL League One	2-0	2-2	2	5	D
16/08	FC Naples USA USL League One	3-0	3-2	4	4	W
02/08	Forward Madison FC USA USL League One	0-1	0-2	5	5	L

Antelope Valley Alta

DLLWLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Forward Madison FC USA USL League One	0-1	0-3	4	12	L
14/09	Portland Hearts of Pine USA USL League One	0-0	0-1	2	8	L
06/09	One Knoxville SC USA USL League One	1-1	1-2	4	5	L
29/08	Charlotte Independence USA USL League One	0-4	0-5	2	4	L
23/08	FC Naples USA USL League One	1-0	1-2	3	5	L
16/08	New York Cosmos USA USL League One	0-0	0-1	2	6	L
09/08	Fort Wayne FC USA USL League One	1-0	3-0	3	5	W
06/08	FC Naples USA USL League One	0-1	1-2	9	8	L
02/08	Richmond Kickers USA USL League One	0-1	2-3	5	8	L
26/07	Westchester SC USA USL League One	0-0	0-0	3	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Westchester SC vs Antelope Valley Alta?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Westchester SC win (49%). Probabilities: Westchester SC 49%, draw 25%, Antelope Valley Alta 27%.

How many goals are expected in Westchester SC vs Antelope Valley Alta?

The model expects 3.22 goals (Westchester SC 1.87 · Antelope Valley Alta 1.35), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Westchester SC vs Antelope Valley Alta?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.