Football · USA USL League One · 28/09, 01:00
Prediction: One Knoxville SC vs Westchester SC
Team pages: One Knoxville SC · Westchester SC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.5Total
One Knoxville SC2.08
Westchester SC1.42
1X2
One Knoxville SC
Draw
Westchester SC
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
One Knoxville SC
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Westchester SC
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
One Knoxville SC
1–2–0
Westchester SC
(3 last)
- Westchester SC2-3One Knoxville SC
- One Knoxville SC1-1Westchester SC
- Westchester SC1-1One Knoxville SC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · One Knoxville SC 1526 · Westchester SC 1469
| One Knoxville SC | Draw | Westchester SC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 23% | 25% |
| Market | 52% | 23% | 25% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.5 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours One Knoxville SC (rating 1526 vs 1469).
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| One Knoxville SC | Westchester SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.4 | 1.8 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.6 | 1.4 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 40/10/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5.4 | 2.9 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.2 | 4.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · One Knoxville SC 1–2–0 Westchester SC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/03/26 USA USL League One | Westchester SC | 2-3 HT 1-3 | One Knoxville SC |
| 20/07/25 USA USL League One | One Knoxville SC | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Westchester SC |
| 08/06/25 USA USL League One | Westchester SC | 1-1 HT 0-0 | One Knoxville SC |
Standings · USA USL League One
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Omaha | 28 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 50 | 30 | 58 |
| 2 | Charlotte Independence | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 63 | 39 | 56 |
| 3 | Forward Madison FC | 27 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 50 | 26 | 51 |
| 4 | One Knoxville SC | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 44 | 31 | 47 |
| 5 | AC Boise | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 43 | 37 | 46 |
| 6 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 43 |
| 7 | Spokane Velocity FC | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 36 | 33 | 40 |
| 8 | Fort Wayne FC | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 41 | 35 | 37 |
| 9 | Corpus Christi FC | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 30 | 36 | 33 |
| 10 | Antelope Valley Alta | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 34 | 40 | 32 |
| 11 | Sarasota Paradise | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 33 | 39 | 30 |
| 12 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 39 | 46 | 30 |
| 13 | Westchester SC | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 46 | 45 | 29 |
| 14 | FC Naples | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 43 | 28 |
| 15 | Greenville Triumph SC | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 29 | 48 | 23 |
| 16 | New York Cosmos | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 32 | 52 | 22 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 25 | 53 | 20 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | One Knoxville SC | Westchester SC |
|---|---|---|
| FC Naples | 0-0 D | 3-2 W |
| Antelope Valley Alta | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Forward Madison FC | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Portland Hearts of Pine | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Charlotte Independence | 1-3 L | 4-5 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: One Knoxville SC (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
One Knoxville SC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Union Omaha USA USL League One |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 17/09 | Fort Wayne FC USA USL League One |
0-2 | 3-2 | 12 | 6 | W |
| 12/09 | FC Naples USA USL League One |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 4 | D |
| 06/09 | Antelope Valley Alta USA USL League One |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 03/09 | Forward Madison FC USA USL League One |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 23/08 | AC Boise USA USL League One |
2-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 20/08 | Portland Hearts of Pine USA USL League One |
0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 3 | D |
| 16/08 | Greenville Triumph SC USA USL League One |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 09/08 | Sarasota Paradise USA USL League One |
0-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 02/08 | Charlotte Independence USA USL League One |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
Westchester SC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | New York Cosmos USA USL League One |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 17/09 | Richmond Kickers USA USL League One |
5-0 | 5-2 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 13/09 | Charlotte Independence USA USL League One |
2-4 | 4-5 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 07/09 | Portland Hearts of Pine USA USL League One |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 03/09 | Chattanooga Red Wolves USA USL League One |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 7 | L |
| 30/08 | Spokane Velocity FC USA USL League One |
1-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 23/08 | Corpus Christi FC USA USL League One |
2-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 16/08 | FC Naples USA USL League One |
3-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 02/08 | Forward Madison FC USA USL League One |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 26/07 | Antelope Valley Alta USA USL League One |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in One Knoxville SC vs Westchester SC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a One Knoxville SC win (52%). Probabilities: One Knoxville SC 52%, draw 23%, Westchester SC 25%.
How many goals are expected in One Knoxville SC vs Westchester SC?
The model expects 3.5 goals (One Knoxville SC 2.08 · Westchester SC 1.42), with a 55% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in One Knoxville SC vs Westchester SC?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.