Football · USA USL League One · 13/09, 01:00

Prediction: Charlotte Independence vs Westchester SC

Team pages: Charlotte Independence · Westchester SC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.26Total

Charlotte Independence2.1

Westchester SC1.16

1X2

58% 22% 20%

Charlotte Independence Draw Westchester SC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Charlotte Independence 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LLWWWWDWWL

Westchester SC 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LDWDLWDLLL

Head-to-head

Charlotte Independence 2–1–0 Westchester SC (3 last)

Westchester SC1-1Charlotte Independence
Charlotte Independence1-0Westchester SC
Westchester SC2-3Charlotte Independence

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Charlotte Independence 1520 · Westchester SC 1450

	Charlotte Independence	Draw	Westchester SC
Our model	58%	23%	19%
Market	59%	21%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 3.26 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Charlotte Independence (rating 1520 vs 1450).
H2H favours Charlotte Independence: 2-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Charlotte Independence	Westchester SC
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.5	1.2 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.1	0.8 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/20/10%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.6	2.8 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.3	4.8 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.53

X4.20

24.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.82

2 (+1)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.80

Under 3.252.00

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:35

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.53 → 1.53	Bet365 1.53
X	4.20 → 4.20	Pinn 4.64
2	4.50 → 4.50	Pinn 5.00 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
20:30 +5’	1.53	4.20	4.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
19:40 +55’	1.48	4.64	5.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Charlotte Independence 2–1–0 Westchester SC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/03/26 USA USL League One	Westchester SC	1-1 HT 1-0	Charlotte Independence
16/08/25 USA USL League One	Charlotte Independence	1-0 HT 1-0	Westchester SC
10/05/25 USA USL League One	Westchester SC	2-3 HT 2-0	Charlotte Independence

Standings · USA USL League One

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Charlotte Independence	24	15	4	5	55	33	49
2	Union Omaha	25	15	4	6	43	27	49
3	Forward Madison FC	24	14	5	5	46	24	47
4	AC Boise	25	13	5	7	40	34	44
5	One Knoxville SC	25	12	8	5	40	27	44
6	Spokane Velocity FC	22	12	3	7	33	28	39
7	Chattanooga Red Wolves	23	12	2	9	44	36	38
8	Fort Wayne FC	23	9	6	8	34	29	33
9	Antelope Valley Alta	26	8	8	10	34	36	32
10	Corpus Christi FC	24	7	9	8	28	34	30
11	FC Naples	25	8	3	14	27	41	27
12	Sarasota Paradise	24	7	5	12	26	38	26
13	Portland Hearts of Pine	25	6	8	11	37	45	26
14	Westchester SC	24	6	5	13	35	37	23
15	Greenville Triumph SC	23	6	5	12	28	38	23
16	New York Cosmos	25	6	4	15	31	50	22
17	Richmond Kickers	23	5	4	14	21	45	19

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Charlotte Independence	Westchester SC
Union Omaha	0-2 L	2-2 D
Portland Hearts of Pine	3-2 W	1-2 L
Antelope Valley Alta	5-0 W	0-0 D
Forward Madison FC	1-1 D	0-2 L
Spokane Velocity FC	0-3 L	1-3 L
Chattanooga Red Wolves	2-4 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 3 L	0 W 2 D 4 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Charlotte Independence

LLWWWWDWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Union Omaha USA USL League One	0-1	0-2	3	5	L
03/09	Portland Hearts of Pine USA USL League One	1-0	3-2	5	4	W
29/08	Antelope Valley Alta USA USL League One	4-0	5-0	3	4	W
23/08	Forward Madison FC USA USL League One	1-0	1-1	2	4	D
16/08	Sarasota Paradise USA USL League One	3-0	3-1	4	7	W
09/08	Greenville Triumph SC USA USL League One	0-0	1-0	9	9	W
02/08	One Knoxville SC USA USL League One	1-0	3-1	5	3	W
26/07	Richmond Kickers USA USL League One	2-0	3-1	6	0	W
23/07	Spokane Velocity FC USA USL League One	0-0	0-3	4	3	L
19/07	Chattanooga Red Wolves USA USL League One	1-0	2-4	5	3	L

Westchester SC

LDWDLWDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/09	Portland Hearts of Pine USA USL League One	0-1	1-2	6	5	L
03/09	Chattanooga Red Wolves USA USL League One	0-1	0-1	9	7	L
30/08	Spokane Velocity FC USA USL League One	1-2	1-3	5	3	L
23/08	Corpus Christi FC USA USL League One	2-0	2-2	2	5	D
16/08	FC Naples USA USL League One	3-0	3-2	4	4	W
02/08	Forward Madison FC USA USL League One	0-1	0-2	5	6	L
26/07	Antelope Valley Alta USA USL League One	0-0	0-0	2	5	D
23/07	New York Cosmos USA USL League One	1-0	3-0	6	3	W
19/07	Union Omaha USA USL League One	1-1	2-2	3	5	D
06/07	AC Boise USA USL League One	0-0	0-1	2	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Charlotte Independence vs Westchester SC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Charlotte Independence win (58%). Probabilities: Charlotte Independence 58%, draw 22%, Westchester SC 20%.

How many goals are expected in Charlotte Independence vs Westchester SC?

The model expects 3.26 goals (Charlotte Independence 2.1 · Westchester SC 1.16), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Charlotte Independence vs Westchester SC?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.