Football · USA USL League One · 20/09, 01:00

Prediction: New York Cosmos vs Westchester SC

Team pages: New York Cosmos · Westchester SC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.45Total
New York Cosmos2.01
Westchester SC1.45
1X2
50% 24% 27%
New York Cosmos Draw Westchester SC
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
New York Cosmos 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
LLLWWDDLWL
Westchester SC 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
WDLWDLLLLW
Head-to-head
New York Cosmos 1–1 Westchester SC (2 last)
  • Westchester SC3-0New York Cosmos
  • Westchester SC2-3New York Cosmos
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · New York Cosmos 1504 · Westchester SC 1463
New York CosmosDrawWestchester SC
Our model50%23%27%
Market49%24%27%
Estimated total (ours) 3.45 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours New York Cosmos (rating 1504 vs 1463).
  • Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

New York CosmosWestchester SC
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 1.71.9 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.61.4 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/40/40%40/10/50%
Corners (HT / FT)3.2 / 5.23 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.1 / 04.8 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · New York Cosmos 101 Westchester SC

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DateHomeScoreAway
23/07/26
USA USL League One
Westchester SC3-0
HT 1-0
New York Cosmos
16/05/26
USA USL Cup
Westchester SC2-3
HT 0-1
New York Cosmos

Standings · USA USL League One

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Union Omaha 271746 482955
2 Charlotte Independence 261655 613853
3 Forward Madison FC 261466 472648
4 One Knoxville SC 261385 432947
5 AC Boise 261367 413545
6 Chattanooga Red Wolves 251339 463742
7 Spokane Velocity FC 231238 343139
8 Fort Wayne FC 251069 393336
9 Corpus Christi FC 26899 303633
10 Antelope Valley Alta 278811 343732
11 Portland Hearts of Pine 267811 384529
12 FC Naples 258314 274127
13 Sarasota Paradise 257612 273927
14 Westchester SC 267514 444426
15 Greenville Triumph SC 256514 294223
16 New York Cosmos 256415 315022
17 Richmond Kickers 255515 245120

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentNew York CosmosWestchester SC
Chattanooga Red Wolves 3-3 D 0-1 L
Corpus Christi FC 2-0 W 2-2 D
Antelope Valley Alta 1-0 W 0-0 D
Richmond Kickers 0-2 L 5-2 W
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 1 L 1 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: New York Cosmos (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

New York Cosmos

LLLWWDDLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/09 AC Boise
USA USL League One
0-1 1-2 113 L
06/09 Fort Wayne FC
USA USL League One
2-0 4-2 57 W
03/09 Sarasota Paradise
USA USL League One
0-0 1-2 77 L
30/08 Union Omaha
USA USL League One
1-1 1-1 26 D
23/08 Chattanooga Red Wolves
USA USL League One
1-2 3-3 84 D
20/08 Corpus Christi FC
USA USL League One
1-0 2-0 57 W
16/08 Antelope Valley Alta
USA USL League One
0-0 1-0 56 W
06/08 Richmond Kickers
USA USL League One
0-1 0-2 45 L
26/07 AC Boise
USA USL League One
0-0 1-2 13 L
23/07 Westchester SC
USA USL League One
0-1 0-3 43 L

Westchester SC

WDLWDLLLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/09 Richmond Kickers
USA USL League One
5-0 5-2 54 W
13/09 Charlotte Independence
USA USL League One
2-4 4-5 37 L
07/09 Portland Hearts of Pine
USA USL League One
0-1 1-2 65 L
03/09 Chattanooga Red Wolves
USA USL League One
0-1 0-1 97 L
30/08 Spokane Velocity FC
USA USL League One
1-2 1-3 53 L
23/08 Corpus Christi FC
USA USL League One
2-0 2-2 25 D
16/08 FC Naples
USA USL League One
3-0 3-2 44 W
02/08 Forward Madison FC
USA USL League One
0-1 0-2 56 L
26/07 Antelope Valley Alta
USA USL League One
0-0 0-0 25 D
23/07 New York Cosmos
USA USL League One
1-0 3-0 63 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in New York Cosmos vs Westchester SC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a New York Cosmos win (50%). Probabilities: New York Cosmos 50%, draw 24%, Westchester SC 27%.

How many goals are expected in New York Cosmos vs Westchester SC?

The model expects 3.45 goals (New York Cosmos 2.01 · Westchester SC 1.45), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in New York Cosmos vs Westchester SC?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.