Football · USA USL League One · 21/09, 01:00
Prediction: Spokane Velocity FC vs AC Boise
Team pages: Spokane Velocity FC · AC Boise
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.94Total
Spokane Velocity FC1.48
AC Boise1.46
1X2
Spokane Velocity FC
Draw
AC Boise
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Spokane Velocity FC
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
AC Boise
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Spokane Velocity FC
1–1–0
AC Boise
(2 last)
- Spokane Velocity FC2-1AC Boise
- AC Boise1-1Spokane Velocity FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Spokane Velocity FC 1536 · AC Boise 1551
| Spokane Velocity FC | Draw | AC Boise | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 27% | 36% |
| Market | 38% | 26% | 37% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.94 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Spokane Velocity FC | AC Boise | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.4 | 1.8 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.8 | 0.7 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/10/50% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.9 | 2.6 / 6.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.1 | 4.1 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Spokane Velocity FC 1–1–0 AC Boise
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/06/26 USA USL Cup | Spokane Velocity FC | 2-1 HT 0-0 | AC Boise |
| 05/04/26 USA USL League One | AC Boise | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Spokane Velocity FC |
Standings · USA USL League One
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Omaha | 28 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 50 | 30 | 58 |
| 2 | Charlotte Independence | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 63 | 39 | 56 |
| 3 | Forward Madison FC | 27 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 50 | 26 | 51 |
| 4 | One Knoxville SC | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 44 | 31 | 47 |
| 5 | AC Boise | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 41 | 35 | 45 |
| 6 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 43 |
| 7 | Spokane Velocity FC | 23 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 34 | 31 | 39 |
| 8 | Fort Wayne FC | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 41 | 35 | 37 |
| 9 | Corpus Christi FC | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 30 | 36 | 33 |
| 10 | Antelope Valley Alta | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 34 | 40 | 32 |
| 11 | Sarasota Paradise | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 33 | 39 | 30 |
| 12 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 39 | 46 | 30 |
| 13 | Westchester SC | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 46 | 45 | 29 |
| 14 | FC Naples | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 43 | 28 |
| 15 | Greenville Triumph SC | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 29 | 48 | 23 |
| 16 | New York Cosmos | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 32 | 52 | 22 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 25 | 53 | 20 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Spokane Velocity FC | AC Boise |
|---|---|---|
| Greenville Triumph SC | 2-1 W | 2-3 L |
| Corpus Christi FC | 2-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Charlotte Independence | 3-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Forward Madison FC | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 2 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Spokane Velocity FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Union Omaha USA USL League One |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 06/09 | Sarasota Paradise USA USL League One |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 30/08 | Westchester SC USA USL League One |
2-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 23/08 | Greenville Triumph SC USA USL League One |
2-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 16/08 | Corpus Christi FC USA USL League One |
1-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 26/07 | Fort Wayne FC USA USL League One |
0-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 23/07 | Charlotte Independence USA USL League One |
0-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 19/07 | Richmond Kickers USA USL League One |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 05/07 | Fort Wayne FC USA USL League One |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 02/07 | Forward Madison FC USA USL League One |
0-1 | 0-1 | 12 | 5 | L |
AC Boise
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Charlotte Independence USA USL League One |
0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 3 | D |
| 12/09 | New York Cosmos USA USL League One |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 06/09 | FC Naples USA USL League One |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 30/08 | Chattanooga Red Wolves USA USL League One |
1-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 23/08 | One Knoxville SC USA USL League One |
1-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 09/08 | Forward Madison FC USA USL League One |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 02/08 | Corpus Christi FC USA USL League One |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 6 | D |
| 30/07 | Greenville Triumph SC USA USL League One |
2-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 26/07 | New York Cosmos USA USL League One |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 18/07 | Portland Hearts of Pine USA USL League One |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Spokane Velocity FC vs AC Boise?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Spokane Velocity FC win (37%). Probabilities: Spokane Velocity FC 37%, draw 26%, AC Boise 36%.
How many goals are expected in Spokane Velocity FC vs AC Boise?
The model expects 2.94 goals (Spokane Velocity FC 1.48 · AC Boise 1.46), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Spokane Velocity FC vs AC Boise?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.