Football · USA USL League One · 16/09, 17:00

Prediction: Greenville Triumph SC vs Corpus Christi FC

Team pages: Greenville Triumph SC · Corpus Christi FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.65Total

Greenville Triumph SC1.48

Corpus Christi FC1.16

1X2

44% 27% 29%

Greenville Triumph SC Draw Corpus Christi FC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Greenville Triumph SC 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LWDLDDLWLL

Corpus Christi FC 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WDWDWWLDLL

Head-to-head

Greenville Triumph SC 0–1 Corpus Christi FC (1 last)

Corpus Christi FC1-0Greenville Triumph SC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Greenville Triumph SC 1454 · Corpus Christi FC 1497

	Greenville Triumph SC	Draw	Corpus Christi FC
Our model	43%	28%	28%
Market	45%	26%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 2.65 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Corpus Christi FC (rating 1454 vs 1497).
Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Greenville Triumph SC	Corpus Christi FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.7	1.1 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1.3	0.3 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5.9	1.4 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.1	5.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.50

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.80

2 (+0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.98

Under 2.751.82

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
14:59 +5’	2.00	3.50	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Greenville Triumph SC 0–0–1 Corpus Christi FC

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
26/07/26 USA USL League One	Corpus Christi FC	1-0 HT 1-0	Greenville Triumph SC

Standings · USA USL League One

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Charlotte Independence	25	16	4	5	60	37	52
2	Union Omaha	26	16	4	6	45	28	52
3	Forward Madison FC	25	14	6	5	47	25	48
4	AC Boise	25	13	5	7	40	34	44
5	One Knoxville SC	25	12	8	5	40	27	44
6	Chattanooga Red Wolves	24	12	3	9	45	37	39
7	Spokane Velocity FC	22	12	3	7	33	28	39
8	Fort Wayne FC	24	10	6	8	37	30	36
9	Antelope Valley Alta	26	8	8	10	34	36	32
10	Corpus Christi FC	25	7	9	9	29	36	30
11	FC Naples	25	8	3	14	27	41	27
12	Sarasota Paradise	25	7	6	12	27	39	27
13	Portland Hearts of Pine	25	6	8	11	37	45	26
14	Westchester SC	25	6	5	14	39	42	23
15	Greenville Triumph SC	24	6	5	13	29	41	23
16	New York Cosmos	25	6	4	15	31	50	22
17	Richmond Kickers	24	5	5	14	22	46	20

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Greenville Triumph SC	Corpus Christi FC
Chattanooga Red Wolves	1-3 L	2-1 W
Spokane Velocity FC	1-2 L	3-2 W
Forward Madison FC	1-1 D	0-2 L
Portland Hearts of Pine	3-3 D	2-0 W
AC Boise	3-2 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 2 L	3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Corpus Christi FC (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Greenville Triumph SC

LWDLDDLWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Fort Wayne FC USA USL League One	1-2	1-3	9	7	L
06/09	Chattanooga Red Wolves USA USL League One	0-2	1-3	6	2	L
30/08	FC Naples USA USL League One	1-0	4-0	5	3	W
23/08	Spokane Velocity FC USA USL League One	0-2	1-2	5	5	L
16/08	One Knoxville SC USA USL League One	0-0	1-1	8	4	D
13/08	Forward Madison FC USA USL League One	1-1	1-1	1	4	D
09/08	Charlotte Independence USA USL League One	0-0	0-1	2	9	L
02/08	Portland Hearts of Pine USA USL League One	1-3	3-3	11	2	D
30/07	AC Boise USA USL League One	2-2	3-2	5	5	W
26/07	Corpus Christi FC USA USL League One	0-1	0-1	7	7	L

Corpus Christi FC

WDWDWWLDLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Union Omaha USA USL League One	0-1	1-2	6	4	L
06/09	Forward Madison FC USA USL League One	0-0	0-2	4	7	L
23/08	Westchester SC USA USL League One	0-2	2-2	11	5	D
20/08	New York Cosmos USA USL League One	0-1	0-2	3	7	L
16/08	Spokane Velocity FC USA USL League One	0-1	3-2	2	5	W
09/08	Portland Hearts of Pine USA USL League One	1-0	2-0	6	7	W
02/08	AC Boise USA USL League One	0-0	0-0	7	6	D
26/07	Greenville Triumph SC USA USL League One	1-0	1-0	2	7	W
19/07	New York Cosmos USA USL League One	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
05/07	Chattanooga Red Wolves USA USL League One	1-1	2-1	2	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Greenville Triumph SC vs Corpus Christi FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Greenville Triumph SC win (44%). Probabilities: Greenville Triumph SC 44%, draw 27%, Corpus Christi FC 29%.

How many goals are expected in Greenville Triumph SC vs Corpus Christi FC?

The model expects 2.65 goals (Greenville Triumph SC 1.48 · Corpus Christi FC 1.16), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Greenville Triumph SC vs Corpus Christi FC?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.