Football · USA USL League One · 17/09, 01:00

Prediction: Westchester SC vs Richmond Kickers

Team pages: Westchester SC · Richmond Kickers

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.09Total

Westchester SC1.88

Richmond Kickers1.21

1X2

52% 24% 24%

Westchester SC Draw Richmond Kickers

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Westchester SC 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

DWDLWDLLLL

Richmond Kickers 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Westchester SC 0–2–2 Richmond Kickers (4 last)

Richmond Kickers1-0Westchester SC
Westchester SC0-2Richmond Kickers
Westchester SC2-2Richmond Kickers
Richmond Kickers4-4Westchester SC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Westchester SC 1437 · Richmond Kickers 1452

	Westchester SC	Draw	Richmond Kickers
Our model	52%	25%	23%
Market	53%	24%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 3.09 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Richmond Kickers: 2-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Westchester SC	Richmond Kickers
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.9	1 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 1	0.3 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	20/0/80%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 4.5	2.5 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0.1	4 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.70

X3.80

23.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.93

2 (+0.75)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.70 → 1.70	Pinn 1.77 ★
X	3.80 → 3.80	Pinn 3.83
2	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8% Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
15:07 +5’	1.70	3.80	3.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:38 +105’	1.77	3.83	3.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Westchester SC 0–2–2 Richmond Kickers

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 USA USL League One	Richmond Kickers	1-0 HT 1-0	Westchester SC
04/09/25 USA USL League One	Westchester SC	0-2 HT 0-2	Richmond Kickers
25/05/25 USA USL League One	Westchester SC	2-2 HT 2-1	Richmond Kickers
20/04/25 USA USL League One	Richmond Kickers	4-4 HT 2-1	Westchester SC

Standings · USA USL League One

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Charlotte Independence	25	16	4	5	60	37	52
2	Union Omaha	26	16	4	6	45	28	52
3	Forward Madison FC	25	14	6	5	47	25	48
4	AC Boise	25	13	5	7	40	34	44
5	One Knoxville SC	25	12	8	5	40	27	44
6	Chattanooga Red Wolves	24	12	3	9	45	37	39
7	Spokane Velocity FC	22	12	3	7	33	28	39
8	Fort Wayne FC	24	10	6	8	37	30	36
9	Antelope Valley Alta	27	8	8	11	34	37	32
10	Corpus Christi FC	25	7	9	9	29	36	30
11	Portland Hearts of Pine	26	7	8	11	38	45	29
12	FC Naples	25	8	3	14	27	41	27
13	Sarasota Paradise	25	7	6	12	27	39	27
14	Westchester SC	25	6	5	14	39	42	23
15	Greenville Triumph SC	24	6	5	13	29	41	23
16	New York Cosmos	25	6	4	15	31	50	22
17	Richmond Kickers	24	5	5	14	22	46	20

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Westchester SC	Richmond Kickers
Charlotte Independence	4-5 L	1-3 L
Portland Hearts of Pine	1-2 L	1-1 D
Chattanooga Red Wolves	0-1 L	1-1 D
Spokane Velocity FC	1-3 L	0-2 L
Forward Madison FC	0-2 L	1-2 L
Antelope Valley Alta	0-0 D	3-2 W
New York Cosmos	3-0 W	2-0 W
Union Omaha	2-2 D	1-5 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 5 L	2 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Richmond Kickers (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Westchester SC

DWDLWDLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Charlotte Independence USA USL League One	2-4	4-5	3	7	L
07/09	Portland Hearts of Pine USA USL League One	0-1	1-2	6	5	L
03/09	Chattanooga Red Wolves USA USL League One	0-1	0-1	9	7	L
30/08	Spokane Velocity FC USA USL League One	1-2	1-3	5	3	L
23/08	Corpus Christi FC USA USL League One	2-0	2-2	2	5	D
16/08	FC Naples USA USL League One	3-0	3-2	4	4	W
02/08	Forward Madison FC USA USL League One	0-1	0-2	5	6	L
26/07	Antelope Valley Alta USA USL League One	0-0	0-0	2	5	D
23/07	New York Cosmos USA USL League One	1-0	3-0	6	3	W
19/07	Union Omaha USA USL League One	1-1	2-2	3	5	D

Richmond Kickers

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Chattanooga Red Wolves USA USL League One	0-1	1-1	5	5	D
03/09	Fort Wayne FC USA USL League One	0-1	0-2	2	4	L
30/08	Forward Madison FC USA USL League One	0-1	1-2	8	7	L
23/08	Portland Hearts of Pine USA USL League One	0-1	1-1	6	4	D
17/08	Union Omaha USA USL League One	1-3	1-5	1	4	L
06/08	New York Cosmos USA USL League One	1-0	2-0	4	5	W
02/08	Antelope Valley Alta USA USL League One	1-0	3-2	6	8	W
26/07	Charlotte Independence USA USL League One	0-2	1-3	9	0	L
19/07	Spokane Velocity FC USA USL League One	0-2	0-2	4	3	L
16/07	Forward Madison FC USA USL League One	0-2	0-4	1	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Westchester SC vs Richmond Kickers?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Westchester SC win (52%). Probabilities: Westchester SC 52%, draw 24%, Richmond Kickers 24%.

How many goals are expected in Westchester SC vs Richmond Kickers?

The model expects 3.09 goals (Westchester SC 1.88 · Richmond Kickers 1.21), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Westchester SC vs Richmond Kickers?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.