Football · USA USL League One · 06/09, 01:00
Prediction: Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Greenville Triumph SC
Team pages: Chattanooga Red Wolves · Greenville Triumph SC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.86Total
Chattanooga Red Wolves1.56
Greenville Triumph SC1.3
1X2
Chattanooga Red Wolves
Draw
Greenville Triumph SC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Chattanooga Red Wolves
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Greenville Triumph SC
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Chattanooga Red Wolves
3–1–2
Greenville Triumph SC
(6 last)
- Greenville Triumph SC1-2Chattanooga Red Wolves
- Chattanooga Red Wolves0-0Greenville Triumph SC
- Greenville Triumph SC3-1Chattanooga Red Wolves
- Chattanooga Red Wolves1-0Greenville Triumph SC
- Chattanooga Red Wolves2-5Greenville Triumph SC
- Greenville Triumph SC1-3Chattanooga Red Wolves
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Chattanooga Red Wolves 1507 · Greenville Triumph SC 1465
| Chattanooga Red Wolves | Draw | Greenville Triumph SC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 27% | 31% |
| Market | 43% | 26% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.86 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chattanooga Red Wolves (rating 1507 vs 1465).
- H2H favours Chattanooga Red Wolves: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Chattanooga Red Wolves | Greenville Triumph SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 2 | 1.3 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 1.1 | 0.5 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/10/60% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 3.9 | 2.3 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.1 | 4.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Chattanooga Red Wolves 3–1–2 Greenville Triumph SC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/26 USA USL League One | Greenville Triumph SC | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Chattanooga Red Wolves |
| 05/10/25 USA USL League One | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Greenville Triumph SC |
| 22/06/25 USA USL League One | Greenville Triumph SC | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Chattanooga Red Wolves |
| 20/04/25 USA USL League One | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Greenville Triumph SC |
| 15/09/24 USA USL League One | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 2-5 HT 1-2 | Greenville Triumph SC |
| 02/06/24 USA USL League One | Greenville Triumph SC | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Chattanooga Red Wolves |
Standings · USA USL League One
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charlotte Independence | 23 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 55 | 31 | 49 |
| 2 | Union Omaha | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 41 | 27 | 46 |
| 3 | Forward Madison FC | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 44 | 24 | 44 |
| 4 | One Knoxville SC | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 38 | 26 | 40 |
| 5 | Spokane Velocity FC | 21 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 32 | 27 | 38 |
| 6 | AC Boise | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 36 | 33 | 38 |
| 7 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 22 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 41 | 35 | 35 |
| 8 | Fort Wayne FC | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 32 | 25 | 33 |
| 9 | Antelope Valley Alta | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 33 | 34 | 32 |
| 10 | Corpus Christi FC | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 28 | 32 | 30 |
| 11 | FC Naples | 23 | 8 | 2 | 13 | 27 | 39 | 26 |
| 12 | Sarasota Paradise | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 25 | 37 | 25 |
| 13 | Westchester SC | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 34 | 35 | 23 |
| 14 | Greenville Triumph SC | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 27 | 35 | 23 |
| 15 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 44 | 23 |
| 16 | New York Cosmos | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 26 | 46 | 19 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 21 | 45 | 19 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Chattanooga Red Wolves | Greenville Triumph SC |
|---|---|---|
| AC Boise | 2-3 L | 3-2 W |
| Sarasota Paradise | 2-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Fort Wayne FC | 2-1 W | 0-3 L |
| Forward Madison FC | 2-5 L | 1-1 D |
| One Knoxville SC | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Charlotte Independence | 4-2 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 3 L | 1 W 3 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chattanooga Red Wolves
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Westchester SC USA USL League One |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 30/08 | AC Boise USA USL League One |
0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 23/08 | New York Cosmos USA USL League One |
2-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 20/08 | Sarasota Paradise USA USL League One |
1-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 16/08 | Fort Wayne FC USA USL League One |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 09/08 | Union Omaha USA USL League One |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 30/07 | Forward Madison FC USA USL League One |
2-3 | 2-5 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 26/07 | One Knoxville SC USA USL League One |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 19/07 | Charlotte Independence USA USL League One |
0-1 | 4-2 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 16/07 | Antelope Valley Alta USA USL League One |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
Greenville Triumph SC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | FC Naples USA USL League One |
1-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 23/08 | Spokane Velocity FC USA USL League One |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 16/08 | One Knoxville SC USA USL League One |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 13/08 | Forward Madison FC USA USL League One |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 09/08 | Charlotte Independence USA USL League One |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 9 | L |
| 02/08 | Portland Hearts of Pine USA USL League One |
1-3 | 3-3 | 11 | 2 | D |
| 30/07 | AC Boise USA USL League One |
2-2 | 3-2 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 26/07 | Corpus Christi FC USA USL League One |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 19/07 | Fort Wayne FC USA USL League One |
0-2 | 0-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 09/07 | Sarasota Paradise USA USL League One |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Greenville Triumph SC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Chattanooga Red Wolves win (43%). Probabilities: Chattanooga Red Wolves 43%, draw 27%, Greenville Triumph SC 31%.
How many goals are expected in Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Greenville Triumph SC?
The model expects 2.86 goals (Chattanooga Red Wolves 1.56 · Greenville Triumph SC 1.3), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Greenville Triumph SC?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.