Football · USA USL League One · 02/08, 01:00
Prediction: Charlotte Independence vs One Knoxville SC
Team pages: Charlotte Independence · One Knoxville SC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.18Total
Charlotte Independence1.59
One Knoxville SC1.59
1X2
Charlotte Independence
Draw
One Knoxville SC
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Charlotte Independence
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
One Knoxville SC
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Charlotte Independence
1–2–3
One Knoxville SC
(6 last)
- One Knoxville SC2-1Charlotte Independence
- One Knoxville SC2-1Charlotte Independence
- One Knoxville SC1-0Charlotte Independence
- One Knoxville SC2-2Charlotte Independence
- Charlotte Independence3-1One Knoxville SC
- One Knoxville SC1-1Charlotte Independence
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Charlotte Independence 1515 · One Knoxville SC 1547
| Charlotte Independence | Draw | One Knoxville SC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 26% | 37% |
| Market | 36% | 28% | 36% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.18 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours One Knoxville SC: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Charlotte Independence | One Knoxville SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 1.6 | 1.9 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.3 | 0.6 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/40/0% | 20/70/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 4.9 | 2.2 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0 | 4.2 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Charlotte Independence 1–2–3 One Knoxville SC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/26 USA USL League One | One Knoxville SC | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Charlotte Independence |
| 02/11/25 USA USL League One | One Knoxville SC | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Charlotte Independence |
| 27/09/25 USA USL League One | One Knoxville SC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Charlotte Independence |
| 31/07/25 USA USL League One | One Knoxville SC | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Charlotte Independence |
| 17/05/25 USA USL League One | Charlotte Independence | 3-1 HT 1-1 | One Knoxville SC |
| 07/09/24 USA USL League One | One Knoxville SC | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Charlotte Independence |
Standings · USA USL League One
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Omaha | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 29 | 21 | 35 |
| 2 | Charlotte Independence | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 39 | 26 | 33 |
| 3 | One Knoxville SC | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 30 | 17 | 33 |
| 4 | Forward Madison FC | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 34 | 17 | 32 |
| 5 | Spokane Velocity FC | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 22 | 32 |
| 6 | AC Boise | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 29 | 28 | 30 |
| 7 | Antelope Valley Alta | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 26 | 21 | 29 |
| 8 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 30 | 22 | 28 |
| 9 | Fort Wayne FC | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 17 | 27 |
| 10 | Corpus Christi FC | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 26 | 22 |
| 11 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 28 | 20 |
| 12 | Westchester SC | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 28 | 25 | 19 |
| 13 | Sarasota Paradise | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 28 | 18 |
| 14 | Greenville Triumph SC | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 17 | 27 | 17 |
| 15 | FC Naples | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 30 | 17 |
| 16 | Richmond Kickers | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 33 | 12 |
| 17 | New York Cosmos | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 18 | 38 | 11 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Charlotte Independence | One Knoxville SC |
|---|---|---|
| Spokane Velocity FC | 0-3 L | 4-0 W |
| Chattanooga Red Wolves | 2-4 L | 0-1 L |
| Antelope Valley Alta | 1-1 D | 2-3 L |
| Corpus Christi FC | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Greenville Triumph SC | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: One Knoxville SC (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Charlotte Independence
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Richmond Kickers USA USL League One |
2-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 23/07 | Spokane Velocity FC USA USL League One |
0-0 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 19/07 | Chattanooga Red Wolves USA USL League One |
1-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 12/07 | Charleston Battery USA USL Cup |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 06/07 | Antelope Valley Alta USA USL League One |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 01/07 | Corpus Christi FC USA USL League One |
2-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 25/06 | Greenville Triumph SC USA USL Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 14/06 | FC Naples USA USL League One |
1-1 | 4-3 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 11/06 | Union Omaha USA USL League One |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 04/06 | FC Naples USA USL League One |
3-0 | 5-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
One Knoxville SC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Chattanooga Red Wolves USA USL League One |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 19/07 | Antelope Valley Alta USA USL League One |
1-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 0 | L |
| 16/07 | Fort Wayne FC USA USL League One |
0-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 7 | W |
| 12/07 | Corpus Christi FC USA USL Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 03/07 | AC Boise USA USL League One |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 21/06 | Spokane Velocity FC USA USL League One |
2-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 14/06 | New York Cosmos USA USL League One |
2-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 11/06 | Chattanooga Red Wolves USA USL Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 30/05 | Greenville Triumph SC USA USL League One |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 24/05 | Corpus Christi FC USA USL League One |
0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 8 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Charlotte Independence vs One Knoxville SC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Charlotte Independence win (37%). Probabilities: Charlotte Independence 37%, draw 27%, One Knoxville SC 37%.
How many goals are expected in Charlotte Independence vs One Knoxville SC?
The model expects 3.18 goals (Charlotte Independence 1.59 · One Knoxville SC 1.59), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Charlotte Independence vs One Knoxville SC?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.