Football · USA USL League One · 09/08, 01:00

Prediction: Portland Hearts of Pine vs Corpus Christi FC

Team pages: Portland Hearts of Pine · Corpus Christi FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.03Total
Portland Hearts of Pine1.86
Corpus Christi FC1.17
1X2
53% 24% 23%
Portland Hearts of Pine Draw Corpus Christi FC
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Portland Hearts of Pine 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
LLLLWWDLLD
Corpus Christi FC 4-4-2 (W-D-L)
LWWDLWDDWD
Head-to-head
Portland Hearts of Pine 0–1 Corpus Christi FC (1 last)
  • Corpus Christi FC3-2Portland Hearts of Pine
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Portland Hearts of Pine 1451 · Corpus Christi FC 1529
Portland Hearts of PineDrawCorpus Christi FC
Our model53%25%23%
Market53%24%23%
Estimated total (ours) 3.03 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Corpus Christi FC (rating 1451 vs 1529).
  • Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Portland Hearts of PineCorpus Christi FC
Goals for / against (FT)1.9 / 2.61 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 1.10.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/30/50%20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.8 / 4.82.4 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.5 / 0.14.7 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Portland Hearts of Pine 001 Corpus Christi FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
04/06/26
USA USL League One
Corpus Christi FC3-2
HT 0-1
Portland Hearts of Pine

Standings · USA USL League One

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Union Omaha 191225 312138
2 Charlotte Independence 181134 422736
3 Forward Madison FC 171124 361735
4 One Knoxville SC 181035 312033
5 Spokane Velocity FC 181026 252232
6 AC Boise 20947 292831
7 Antelope Valley Alta 21786 292629
8 Chattanooga Red Wolves 16916 302228
9 Fort Wayne FC 18765 251927
10 Corpus Christi FC 19586 212623
11 Portland Hearts of Pine 18567 293121
12 FC Naples 196211 213120
13 Westchester SC 195410 282719
14 Greenville Triumph SC 17539 203018
15 Sarasota Paradise 185310 172818
16 Richmond Kickers 195311 183518
17 New York Cosmos 183213 184011

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentPortland Hearts of PineCorpus Christi FC
Greenville Triumph SC 3-3 D 1-0 W
AC Boise 1-2 L 0-0 D
New York Cosmos 1-1 D 0-0 D
Richmond Kickers 5-1 W 1-0 W
Chattanooga Red Wolves 1-2 L 2-1 W
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 2 L 3 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Corpus Christi FC (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Portland Hearts of Pine

LLLLWWDLLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
02/08 Greenville Triumph SC
USA USL League One
3-1 3-3 32 D
23/07 Union Omaha
USA USL League One
1-2 1-2 56 L
18/07 AC Boise
USA USL League One
0-0 1-2 23 L
12/07 New York Cosmos
USA USL Cup
0-0 1-1 103 D
04/07 FC Naples
USA USL League One
0-1 3-2 71 W
25/06 Richmond Kickers
USA USL League One
1-1 5-1 35 W
20/06 Westchester SC
USA USL League One
0-2 1-5 43 L
14/06 Chattanooga Red Wolves
USA USL League One
0-1 1-2 72 L
07/06 Brooklyn FC
USA USL Cup
1-3 1-5 03 L
04/06 Corpus Christi FC
USA USL League One
1-0 2-3 78 L

Corpus Christi FC

LWWDLWDDWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
02/08 AC Boise
USA USL League One
0-0 0-0 76 D
26/07 Greenville Triumph SC
USA USL League One
1-0 1-0 27 W
19/07 New York Cosmos
USA USL League One
0-0 0-0 23 D
12/07 One Knoxville SC
USA USL Cup
0-0 1-1 63 D
05/07 Chattanooga Red Wolves
USA USL League One
1-1 2-1 23 W
01/07 Charlotte Independence
USA USL League One
1-2 1-2 45 L
25/06 Antelope Valley Alta
USA USL League One
0-0 0-0 55 D
21/06 Sarasota Paradise
USA USL League One
2-0 4-1 26 W
14/06 Richmond Kickers
USA USL League One
0-0 1-0 114 W
10/06 Birmingham Legion FC
USA USL Cup
0-2 0-3 55 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Portland Hearts of Pine vs Corpus Christi FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Portland Hearts of Pine win (53%). Probabilities: Portland Hearts of Pine 53%, draw 24%, Corpus Christi FC 23%.

How many goals are expected in Portland Hearts of Pine vs Corpus Christi FC?

The model expects 3.03 goals (Portland Hearts of Pine 1.86 · Corpus Christi FC 1.17), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Portland Hearts of Pine vs Corpus Christi FC?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.