Prediction: AC Boise vs Forward Madison FC
Team pages: AC Boise · Forward Madison FC
- Forward Madison FC5-1AC Boise
| AC Boise | Draw | Forward Madison FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 25% | 23% |
| Market | 52% | 26% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Forward Madison FC (rating 1506 vs 1578).
- Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| AC Boise | Forward Madison FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.3 | 2.8 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 1.4 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/70/10% | 90/10/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5.4 | 3.3 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.1 | 5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · AC Boise 0–0–1 Forward Madison FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06/26 USA USL League One | Forward Madison FC | 5-1 HT 1-0 | AC Boise |
Standings · USA USL League One
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Omaha | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 21 | 38 |
| 2 | Charlotte Independence | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 42 | 27 | 36 |
| 3 | Forward Madison FC | 17 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 36 | 17 | 35 |
| 4 | One Knoxville SC | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 20 | 33 |
| 5 | Spokane Velocity FC | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 22 | 32 |
| 6 | AC Boise | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 28 | 31 |
| 7 | Antelope Valley Alta | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 29 |
| 8 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 30 | 22 | 28 |
| 9 | Fort Wayne FC | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 19 | 27 |
| 10 | Corpus Christi FC | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 21 | 26 | 23 |
| 11 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 31 | 21 |
| 12 | FC Naples | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 21 | 31 | 20 |
| 13 | Westchester SC | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 28 | 27 | 19 |
| 14 | Greenville Triumph SC | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 30 | 18 |
| 15 | Sarasota Paradise | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 28 | 18 |
| 16 | Richmond Kickers | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 18 | 35 | 18 |
| 17 | New York Cosmos | 18 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 18 | 40 | 11 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | AC Boise | Forward Madison FC |
|---|---|---|
| New York Cosmos | 2-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Westchester SC | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Union Omaha | 1-0 W | 4-3 W |
| Richmond Kickers | 2-1 W | 4-0 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 0 L | 4 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Forward Madison FC (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
AC Boise
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Corpus Christi FC USA USL League One |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 6 | D |
| 30/07 | Greenville Triumph SC USA USL League One |
2-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 26/07 | New York Cosmos USA USL League One |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 18/07 | Portland Hearts of Pine USA USL League One |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 12/07 | Sacramento Republic USA USL Cup |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 06/07 | Westchester SC USA USL League One |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 03/07 | One Knoxville SC USA USL League One |
1-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 5 | L |
| 21/06 | Union Omaha USA USL League One |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 14/06 | Forward Madison FC USA USL League One |
0-1 | 1-5 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 11/06 | Richmond Kickers USA USL League One |
2-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 10 | W |
Forward Madison FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Westchester SC USA USL League One |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 30/07 | Chattanooga Red Wolves USA USL League One |
3-2 | 5-2 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 26/07 | FC Naples USA USL League One |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 16/07 | Richmond Kickers USA USL League One |
2-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 12/07 | Union Omaha USA USL Cup |
2-1 | 4-3 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 02/07 | Spokane Velocity FC USA USL League One |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 21/06 | New York Cosmos USA USL League One |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 18/06 | Fort Wayne FC USA USL League One |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 14/06 | AC Boise USA USL League One |
1-0 | 5-1 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 07/06 | Indy Eleven USA USL Cup |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in AC Boise vs Forward Madison FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a AC Boise win (52%). Probabilities: AC Boise 52%, draw 25%, Forward Madison FC 23%.
How many goals are expected in AC Boise vs Forward Madison FC?
The model expects 3 goals (AC Boise 1.84 · Forward Madison FC 1.16), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in AC Boise vs Forward Madison FC?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.