Football · USA USL League One · 09/08, 05:00

Prediction: Antelope Valley Alta vs Fort Wayne FC

Team pages: Antelope Valley Alta · Fort Wayne FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.65Total

Antelope Valley Alta1.41

Fort Wayne FC1.24

1X2

40% 27% 32%

Antelope Valley Alta Draw Fort Wayne FC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Antelope Valley Alta 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WDLDWLWDLL

Fort Wayne FC 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LDDWWLLWLL

Head-to-head

Antelope Valley Alta 0–1–0 Fort Wayne FC (1 last)

Fort Wayne FC0-0Antelope Valley Alta

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Antelope Valley Alta 1511 · Fort Wayne FC 1481

	Antelope Valley Alta	Draw	Fort Wayne FC
Our model	40%	28%	32%
Market	41%	26%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 2.65 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Antelope Valley Alta	Fort Wayne FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.4	1.5 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.6	0.9 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4.6	1.8 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0	4.5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.40

22.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.98

2 (+0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.90

Under 2.751.90

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:41

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Pinn 2.28 ★
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.75 → 2.75	Pinn 2.82

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2% Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
06:37 +4’	2.20	3.40	2.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
06:40 +1’	2.28	3.36	2.82

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Antelope Valley Alta 0–1–0 Fort Wayne FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/05/26 USA USL League One	Fort Wayne FC	0-0 HT 0-0	Antelope Valley Alta

Standings · USA USL League One

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Union Omaha	19	12	2	5	31	21	38
2	Charlotte Independence	18	11	3	4	42	27	36
3	Forward Madison FC	17	11	2	4	36	17	35
4	One Knoxville SC	18	10	3	5	31	20	33
5	Spokane Velocity FC	18	10	2	6	25	22	32
6	AC Boise	20	9	4	7	29	28	31
7	Antelope Valley Alta	21	7	8	6	29	26	29
8	Chattanooga Red Wolves	16	9	1	6	30	22	28
9	Fort Wayne FC	18	7	6	5	25	19	27
10	Corpus Christi FC	19	5	8	6	21	26	23
11	Portland Hearts of Pine	18	5	6	7	29	31	21
12	FC Naples	19	6	2	11	21	31	20
13	Westchester SC	19	5	4	10	28	27	19
14	Greenville Triumph SC	17	5	3	9	20	30	18
15	Sarasota Paradise	18	5	3	10	17	28	18
16	Richmond Kickers	19	5	3	11	18	35	18
17	New York Cosmos	18	3	2	13	18	40	11

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Antelope Valley Alta	Fort Wayne FC
Richmond Kickers	2-3 L	2-0 W
Westchester SC	0-0 D	1-1 D
One Knoxville SC	3-2 W	1-2 L
Union Omaha	1-3 L	0-2 L
Greenville Triumph SC	2-1 W	3-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Fort Wayne FC (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Antelope Valley Alta

WDLDWLWDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/08	FC Naples USA USL League One	0-1	1-2	9	8	L
02/08	Richmond Kickers USA USL League One	0-1	2-3	5	8	L
26/07	Westchester SC USA USL League One	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
19/07	One Knoxville SC USA USL League One	1-1	3-2	5	0	W
16/07	Chattanooga Red Wolves USA USL League One	0-1	0-1	7	4	L
12/07	Phoenix Rising FC USA USL Cup	2-0	2-1	6	8	W
06/07	Charlotte Independence USA USL League One	0-1	1-1	7	4	D
02/07	Union Omaha USA USL League One	1-0	1-3	0	3	L
25/06	Corpus Christi FC USA USL League One	0-0	0-0	2	5	D
21/06	Greenville Triumph SC USA USL League One	0-1	2-1	2	2	W

Fort Wayne FC

LDDWWLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	Union Omaha USA USL League One	0-0	0-2	6	5	L
26/07	Spokane Velocity FC USA USL League One	1-0	1-3	10	6	L
19/07	Greenville Triumph SC USA USL League One	2-0	3-0	1	5	W
16/07	One Knoxville SC USA USL League One	0-0	1-2	6	7	L
12/07	Detroit City FC USA USL Cup	0-0	1-2	2	3	L
05/07	Spokane Velocity FC USA USL League One	2-0	3-0	2	3	W
21/06	Richmond Kickers USA USL League One	2-0	2-0	3	6	W
18/06	Forward Madison FC USA USL League One	0-1	1-1	6	5	D
11/06	Westchester SC USA USL League One	0-1	1-1	6	5	D
07/06	Union Omaha USA USL Cup	2-2	2-4	4	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Antelope Valley Alta vs Fort Wayne FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Antelope Valley Alta win (40%). Probabilities: Antelope Valley Alta 40%, draw 27%, Fort Wayne FC 32%.

How many goals are expected in Antelope Valley Alta vs Fort Wayne FC?

The model expects 2.65 goals (Antelope Valley Alta 1.41 · Fort Wayne FC 1.24), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Antelope Valley Alta vs Fort Wayne FC?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.