Football · USA USL League One · 02/08, 02:00

Prediction: Forward Madison FC vs Westchester SC

Team pages: Forward Madison FC · Westchester SC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.05Total

Forward Madison FC1.95

Westchester SC1.1

1X2

56% 24% 20%

Forward Madison FC Draw Westchester SC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Forward Madison FC 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

LLWDWWWWWW

Westchester SC 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DWWLLLLDWD

Head-to-head

Forward Madison FC 1–1–1 Westchester SC (3 last)

Westchester SC0-1Forward Madison FC
Forward Madison FC1-2Westchester SC
Westchester SC1-1Forward Madison FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Forward Madison FC 1571 · Westchester SC 1466

	Forward Madison FC	Draw	Westchester SC
Our model	56%	24%	20%
Market	56%	24%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 3.05 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Forward Madison FC (rating 1571 vs 1466).
Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Forward Madison FC	Westchester SC
Goals for / against (FT)	2.6 / 1.2	1.7 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.4	1 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	80/10/10%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.1 / 4.6	1.3 / 2.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.2 / 0	3.9 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.61

X3.80

24.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.77

2 (+0.75)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 22:34

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.50 → 1.61▲	Bet365 1.61
X	4.00 → 3.80▼	Pinn 3.94
2	5.25 → 4.50▼	Pinn 4.92 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.5% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
20:17 +5’	1.50	4.00	5.25
22:21 +13’	1.61▲	3.80▼	4.50▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
22:34	1.57	3.94	4.92

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Forward Madison FC 1–1–1 Westchester SC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/09/25 USA USL League One	Westchester SC	0-1 HT 0-1	Forward Madison FC
19/06/25 USA USL League One	Forward Madison FC	1-2 HT 1-2	Westchester SC
17/05/25 USA USL League One	Westchester SC	1-1 HT 1-1	Forward Madison FC

Standings · USA USL League One

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Union Omaha	18	11	2	5	29	21	35
2	Charlotte Independence	17	10	3	4	39	26	33
3	One Knoxville SC	17	10	3	4	30	17	33
4	Forward Madison FC	16	10	2	4	34	17	32
5	Spokane Velocity FC	18	10	2	6	25	22	32
6	AC Boise	19	9	3	7	29	28	30
7	Antelope Valley Alta	19	7	8	4	26	21	29
8	Chattanooga Red Wolves	16	9	1	6	30	22	28
9	Fort Wayne FC	17	7	6	4	25	17	27
10	Corpus Christi FC	18	5	7	6	21	26	22
11	Portland Hearts of Pine	17	5	5	7	26	28	20
12	Westchester SC	18	5	4	9	28	25	19
13	Sarasota Paradise	18	5	3	10	17	28	18
14	Greenville Triumph SC	16	5	2	9	17	27	17
15	FC Naples	18	5	2	11	19	30	17
16	Richmond Kickers	17	3	3	11	13	33	12
17	New York Cosmos	17	3	2	12	18	38	11

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Forward Madison FC	Westchester SC
Chattanooga Red Wolves	5-2 W	0-2 L
Union Omaha	4-3 W	2-2 D
Spokane Velocity FC	1-0 W	1-2 L
New York Cosmos	3-1 W	3-0 W
Fort Wayne FC	1-1 D	1-1 D
AC Boise	5-1 W	0-1 L
Greenville Triumph SC	0-1 L	4-0 W
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Forward Madison FC (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Forward Madison FC

LLWDWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/07	Chattanooga Red Wolves USA USL League One	3-2	5-2	8	5	W
26/07	FC Naples USA USL League One	1-0	3-1	3	3	W
16/07	Richmond Kickers USA USL League One	2-0	4-0	9	3	W
12/07	Union Omaha USA USL Cup	2-1	4-3	2	7	W
02/07	Spokane Velocity FC USA USL League One	1-0	1-0	2	5	W
21/06	New York Cosmos USA USL League One	2-0	3-1	4	6	W
18/06	Fort Wayne FC USA USL League One	1-0	1-1	5	5	D
14/06	AC Boise USA USL League One	1-0	5-1	9	5	W
07/06	Indy Eleven USA USL Cup	0-0	0-2	1	6	L
04/06	Greenville Triumph SC USA USL League One	0-1	0-1	3	7	L

Westchester SC

DWWLLLLDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	Antelope Valley Alta USA USL League One	0-0	0-0	2	5	D
23/07	New York Cosmos USA USL League One	1-0	3-0	6	3	W
19/07	Union Omaha USA USL League One	1-1	2-2	3	5	D
12/07	Hartford Athletic USA USL Cup	1-2	1-2	4	4	L
06/07	AC Boise USA USL League One	0-0	0-1	2	6	L
02/07	Chattanooga Red Wolves USA USL League One	0-0	0-2	2	5	L
25/06	Spokane Velocity FC USA USL League One	1-1	1-2	3	1	L
20/06	Portland Hearts of Pine USA USL League One	2-0	5-1	2	3	W
15/06	Greenville Triumph SC USA USL League One	3-0	4-0	1	4	W
11/06	Fort Wayne FC USA USL League One	1-0	1-1	4	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Forward Madison FC vs Westchester SC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Forward Madison FC win (56%). Probabilities: Forward Madison FC 56%, draw 24%, Westchester SC 20%.

How many goals are expected in Forward Madison FC vs Westchester SC?

The model expects 3.05 goals (Forward Madison FC 1.95 · Westchester SC 1.1), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Forward Madison FC vs Westchester SC?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.