Football · USA USL League One · 02/08, 01:00
Prediction: Richmond Kickers vs Antelope Valley Alta
Team pages: Richmond Kickers · Antelope Valley Alta
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.4Total
Richmond Kickers0.87
Antelope Valley Alta1.53
1X2
Richmond Kickers
Draw
Antelope Valley Alta
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Richmond Kickers
1-1-8 (W-D-L)
Antelope Valley Alta
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Richmond Kickers
1–1–1
Antelope Valley Alta
(3 last)
- Antelope Valley Alta1-1Richmond Kickers
- Antelope Valley Alta2-0Richmond Kickers
- Richmond Kickers3-1Antelope Valley Alta
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Richmond Kickers 1410 · Antelope Valley Alta 1540
| Richmond Kickers | Draw | Antelope Valley Alta | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 20% | 28% | 52% |
| Market | 22% | 24% | 54% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.4 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Antelope Valley Alta (rating 1410 vs 1540).
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Richmond Kickers | Antelope Valley Alta | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.5 / 2.2 | 1.3 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 1.1 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/50/50% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 3.9 | 1.3 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.1 | 3.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Richmond Kickers 1–1–1 Antelope Valley Alta
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/03/26 USA USL League One | Antelope Valley Alta | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Richmond Kickers |
| 18/10/25 USA USL League One | Antelope Valley Alta | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Richmond Kickers |
| 22/03/25 USA USL League One | Richmond Kickers | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Antelope Valley Alta |
Standings · USA USL League One
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Omaha | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 29 | 21 | 35 |
| 2 | Charlotte Independence | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 39 | 26 | 33 |
| 3 | One Knoxville SC | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 30 | 17 | 33 |
| 4 | Forward Madison FC | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 34 | 17 | 32 |
| 5 | Spokane Velocity FC | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 22 | 32 |
| 6 | AC Boise | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 29 | 28 | 30 |
| 7 | Antelope Valley Alta | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 26 | 21 | 29 |
| 8 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 30 | 22 | 28 |
| 9 | Fort Wayne FC | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 17 | 27 |
| 10 | Corpus Christi FC | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 26 | 22 |
| 11 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 28 | 20 |
| 12 | Westchester SC | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 28 | 25 | 19 |
| 13 | Sarasota Paradise | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 28 | 18 |
| 14 | Greenville Triumph SC | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 17 | 27 | 17 |
| 15 | FC Naples | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 30 | 17 |
| 16 | Richmond Kickers | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 33 | 12 |
| 17 | New York Cosmos | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 18 | 38 | 11 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Richmond Kickers | Antelope Valley Alta |
|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Independence | 1-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Spokane Velocity FC | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Greenville Triumph SC | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Sarasota Paradise | 0-0 D | 3-1 W |
| Corpus Christi FC | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 3 L | 3 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Antelope Valley Alta (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Richmond Kickers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Charlotte Independence USA USL League One |
0-2 | 1-3 | 9 | 0 | L |
| 19/07 | Spokane Velocity FC USA USL League One |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 16/07 | Forward Madison FC USA USL League One |
0-2 | 0-4 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 12/07 | Greenville Triumph SC USA USL Cup |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 04/07 | Sarasota Paradise USA USL League One |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 25/06 | Portland Hearts of Pine USA USL League One |
1-1 | 1-5 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 21/06 | Fort Wayne FC USA USL League One |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 14/06 | Corpus Christi FC USA USL League One |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 11/06 | AC Boise USA USL League One |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 10 | L |
| 07/06 | Loudoun United FC USA USL Cup |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
Antelope Valley Alta
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Westchester SC USA USL League One |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 19/07 | One Knoxville SC USA USL League One |
1-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 16/07 | Chattanooga Red Wolves USA USL League One |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 12/07 | Phoenix Rising FC USA USL Cup |
2-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 06/07 | Charlotte Independence USA USL League One |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 02/07 | Union Omaha USA USL League One |
1-0 | 1-3 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 25/06 | Corpus Christi FC USA USL League One |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 21/06 | Greenville Triumph SC USA USL League One |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 14/06 | Spokane Velocity FC USA USL League One |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 11/06 | Sarasota Paradise USA USL League One |
2-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Richmond Kickers vs Antelope Valley Alta?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Antelope Valley Alta win (53%). Probabilities: Richmond Kickers 21%, draw 26%, Antelope Valley Alta 53%.
How many goals are expected in Richmond Kickers vs Antelope Valley Alta?
The model expects 2.4 goals (Richmond Kickers 0.87 · Antelope Valley Alta 1.53), with a 57% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Richmond Kickers vs Antelope Valley Alta?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.