Football · USA USL League One · 02/08, 01:00

Prediction: Greenville Triumph SC vs Portland Hearts of Pine

Team pages: Greenville Triumph SC · Portland Hearts of Pine

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.14Total
Greenville Triumph SC1.81
Portland Hearts of Pine1.34
1X2
47% 25% 27%
Greenville Triumph SC Draw Portland Hearts of Pine
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Greenville Triumph SC 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
WLLLWDLLLW
Portland Hearts of Pine 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
WLLLLWWDLL
Head-to-head
Greenville Triumph SC 0–1–2 Portland Hearts of Pine (3 last)
  • Portland Hearts of Pine1-1Greenville Triumph SC
  • Greenville Triumph SC2-3Portland Hearts of Pine
  • Portland Hearts of Pine3-1Greenville Triumph SC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Greenville Triumph SC 1455 · Portland Hearts of Pine 1471
Greenville Triumph SCDrawPortland Hearts of Pine
Our model47%25%27%
Market47%26%27%
Estimated total (ours) 3.14 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Portland Hearts of Pine: 2-1-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Greenville Triumph SCPortland Hearts of Pine
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 1.61.8 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.80.4 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/40/30%10/30/60%
Corners (HT / FT)2.4 / 5.13.1 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.5 / 0.13.5 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Greenville Triumph SC 012 Portland Hearts of Pine

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DateHomeScoreAway
24/05/26
USA USL League One
Portland Hearts of Pine1-1
HT 0-0
Greenville Triumph SC
04/09/25
USA USL League One
Greenville Triumph SC2-3
HT 1-1
Portland Hearts of Pine
17/07/25
USA USL League One
Portland Hearts of Pine3-1
HT 0-0
Greenville Triumph SC

Standings · USA USL League One

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Union Omaha 181125 292135
2 Charlotte Independence 171034 392633
3 One Knoxville SC 171034 301733
4 Forward Madison FC 161024 341732
5 Spokane Velocity FC 181026 252232
6 AC Boise 19937 292830
7 Antelope Valley Alta 19784 262129
8 Chattanooga Red Wolves 16916 302228
9 Fort Wayne FC 17764 251727
10 Corpus Christi FC 18576 212622
11 Portland Hearts of Pine 17557 262820
12 Westchester SC 18549 282519
13 Sarasota Paradise 185310 172818
14 Greenville Triumph SC 16529 172717
15 FC Naples 185211 193017
16 Richmond Kickers 173311 133312
17 New York Cosmos 173212 183811

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentGreenville Triumph SCPortland Hearts of Pine
AC Boise 3-2 W 1-2 L
Corpus Christi FC 0-1 L 2-3 L
Richmond Kickers 1-2 L 5-1 W
New York Cosmos 3-0 W 1-1 D
Westchester SC 0-4 L 1-5 L
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 3 L 1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Greenville Triumph SC (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Greenville Triumph SC

WLLLWDLLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
30/07 AC Boise
USA USL League One
2-2 3-2 55 W
26/07 Corpus Christi FC
USA USL League One
0-1 0-1 77 L
19/07 Fort Wayne FC
USA USL League One
0-2 0-3 75 L
12/07 Richmond Kickers
USA USL Cup
0-0 1-2 97 L
09/07 Sarasota Paradise
USA USL League One
0-0 0-0 23 D
05/07 New York Cosmos
USA USL League One
1-0 3-0 24 W
25/06 Charlotte Independence
USA USL Cup
0-0 0-1 54 L
21/06 Antelope Valley Alta
USA USL League One
1-0 1-2 12 L
15/06 Westchester SC
USA USL League One
0-3 0-4 94 L
11/06 Loudoun United FC
USA USL Cup
1-0 3-1 45 W

Portland Hearts of Pine

WLLLLWWDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
23/07 Union Omaha
USA USL League One
1-2 1-2 56 L
18/07 AC Boise
USA USL League One
0-0 1-2 23 L
12/07 New York Cosmos
USA USL Cup
0-0 1-1 103 D
04/07 FC Naples
USA USL League One
0-1 3-2 71 W
25/06 Richmond Kickers
USA USL League One
1-1 5-1 35 W
20/06 Westchester SC
USA USL League One
0-2 1-5 43 L
14/06 Chattanooga Red Wolves
USA USL League One
0-1 1-2 72 L
07/06 Brooklyn FC
USA USL Cup
1-3 1-5 03 L
04/06 Corpus Christi FC
USA USL League One
1-0 2-3 78 L
31/05 Spokane Velocity FC
USA USL League One
0-1 2-1 62 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Greenville Triumph SC vs Portland Hearts of Pine?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Greenville Triumph SC win (47%). Probabilities: Greenville Triumph SC 47%, draw 25%, Portland Hearts of Pine 27%.

How many goals are expected in Greenville Triumph SC vs Portland Hearts of Pine?

The model expects 3.14 goals (Greenville Triumph SC 1.81 · Portland Hearts of Pine 1.34), with a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Greenville Triumph SC vs Portland Hearts of Pine?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.