Football · USA USL League One · 18/07, 03:30

Prediction: AC Boise vs Portland Hearts of Pine

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.59Total
AC Boise2.14
Portland Hearts of Pine1.46
1X2
52% 23% 25%
AC Boise Draw Portland Hearts of Pine
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
AC Boise 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
LLDLWLWLWW
Portland Hearts of Pine 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
WDWLLLLWWD
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · AC Boise 1489 · Portland Hearts of Pine 1488
AC BoiseDrawPortland Hearts of Pine
Our model52%23%25%
Market51%24%24%
Estimated total (ours) 3.59 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

AC BoisePortland Hearts of Pine
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 1.71.9 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.40.5 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/50/30%20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)3.4 / 6.42.9 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5 / 0.13.3 / 0.2

Standings · USA USL League One

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 One Knoxville SC 151032 281333
2 Union Omaha 161015 251831
3 Charlotte Independence 14932 341830
4 Forward Madison FC 14824 261426
5 Antelope Valley Alta 17674 231925
6 AC Boise 16736 232324
7 Fort Wayne FC 15663 211424
8 Spokane Velocity FC 15726 172123
9 Chattanooga Red Wolves 13715 231522
10 Portland Hearts of Pine 15555 242420
11 Sarasota Paradise 185310 172818
12 Corpus Christi FC 16466 202618
13 FC Naples 175210 182717
14 Westchester SC 15429 232314
15 Greenville Triumph SC 13427 142114
16 Richmond Kickers 15339 122812
17 New York Cosmos 143110 173310

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAC BoisePortland Hearts of Pine
Westchester SC 1-0 W 1-5 L
Richmond Kickers 2-1 W 5-1 W
Spokane Velocity FC 1-2 L 2-1 W
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 1 L 2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Portland Hearts of Pine (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

AC Boise

LLDLWLWLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/07 Sacramento Republic
USA USL Cup
1-0 2-0 11 W
06/07 Westchester SC
USA USL League One
0-0 1-0 36 W
03/07 One Knoxville SC
USA USL League One
1-1 1-2 105 L
21/06 Union Omaha
USA USL League One
0-0 1-0 45 W
14/06 Forward Madison FC
USA USL League One
0-1 1-5 45 L
11/06 Richmond Kickers
USA USL League One
2-0 2-1 710 W
07/06 Spokane Velocity FC
USA USL Cup
0-0 1-2 44 L
31/05 Richmond Kickers
USA USL League One
0-1 2-2 137 D
28/05 Sarasota Paradise
USA USL League One
0-0 0-2 92 L
24/05 Fort Wayne FC
USA USL League One
0-1 1-3 96 L

Portland Hearts of Pine

WDWLLLLWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/07 New York Cosmos
USA USL Cup
0-0 1-1 103 D
04/07 FC Naples
USA USL League One
0-1 3-2 71 W
25/06 Richmond Kickers
USA USL League One
1-1 5-1 35 W
20/06 Westchester SC
USA USL League One
0-2 1-5 43 L
14/06 Chattanooga Red Wolves
USA USL League One
0-1 1-2 72 L
07/06 Brooklyn FC
USA USL Cup
1-3 1-5 03 L
04/06 Corpus Christi FC
USA USL League One
1-0 2-3 78 L
31/05 Spokane Velocity FC
USA USL League One
0-1 2-1 62 W
24/05 Greenville Triumph SC
USA USL League One
0-0 1-1 26 D
16/05 Rhode Island FC
USA USL Cup
2-0 2-1 12 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AC Boise vs Portland Hearts of Pine?

According to our model, the most likely result is a AC Boise win (52%). Probabilities: AC Boise 52%, draw 23%, Portland Hearts of Pine 25%.

How many goals are expected in AC Boise vs Portland Hearts of Pine?

The model expects 3.59 goals (AC Boise 2.14 · Portland Hearts of Pine 1.46), with a 54% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in AC Boise vs Portland Hearts of Pine?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.