Football · USA USL League One · 26/07, 03:00

Prediction: Spokane Velocity FC vs Fort Wayne FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.75Total
Spokane Velocity FC1.66
Fort Wayne FC1.09
1X2
50% 26% 24%
Spokane Velocity FC Draw Fort Wayne FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Spokane Velocity FC 5-0-5 (W-D-L)
LWLLWLLWWW
Fort Wayne FC 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
WDLDDWWLLW
Head-to-head
Spokane Velocity FC 0–1 Fort Wayne FC (1 last)
  • Fort Wayne FC3-0Spokane Velocity FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Spokane Velocity FC 1516 · Fort Wayne FC 1516
Spokane Velocity FCDrawFort Wayne FC
Our model50%27%24%
Market50%26%24%
Estimated total (ours) 2.75 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Spokane Velocity FCFort Wayne FC
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 1.41.7 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.70.9 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/50/30%40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.2 / 5.21.4 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.1 / 04.7 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Spokane Velocity FC 001 Fort Wayne FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
05/07/26
USA USL League One
Fort Wayne FC3-0
HT 2-0
Spokane Velocity FC

Standings · USA USL League One

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Union Omaha 181125 292135
2 One Knoxville SC 161033 301633
3 Charlotte Independence 16934 362530
4 Spokane Velocity FC 17926 222129
5 Antelope Valley Alta 18774 262128
6 AC Boise 17836 252427
7 Fort Wayne FC 16763 241427
8 Forward Madison FC 14824 261426
9 Chattanooga Red Wolves 14815 271725
10 Portland Hearts of Pine 17557 262820
11 Corpus Christi FC 17476 202619
12 Westchester SC 17539 282518
13 Sarasota Paradise 185310 172818
14 FC Naples 175210 182717
15 Greenville Triumph SC 14428 142414
16 Richmond Kickers 163310 123012
17 New York Cosmos 163211 173611

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSpokane Velocity FCFort Wayne FC
Richmond Kickers 2-0 W 2-0 W
Forward Madison FC 0-1 L 1-1 D
Westchester SC 2-1 W 1-1 D
One Knoxville SC 0-4 L 1-2 L
Antelope Valley Alta 0-1 L 0-0 D
AC Boise 2-1 W 3-1 W
Record vs common 3 W 0 D 3 L 2 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Fort Wayne FC (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Spokane Velocity FC

LWLLWLLWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
23/07 Charlotte Independence
USA USL League One
0-0 3-0 23 W
19/07 Richmond Kickers
USA USL League One
2-0 2-0 53 W
11/07 Oakland Roots
USA USL Cup
1-1 3-1 21 W
05/07 Fort Wayne FC
USA USL League One
0-2 0-3 43 L
02/07 Forward Madison FC
USA USL League One
0-1 0-1 125 L
25/06 Westchester SC
USA USL League One
1-1 2-1 41 W
21/06 One Knoxville SC
USA USL League One
0-2 0-4 104 L
14/06 Antelope Valley Alta
USA USL League One
0-0 0-1 45 L
07/06 AC Boise
USA USL Cup
0-0 2-1 44 W
31/05 Portland Hearts of Pine
USA USL League One
1-0 1-2 52 L

Fort Wayne FC

WDLDDWWLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/07 Greenville Triumph SC
USA USL League One
2-0 3-0 15 W
16/07 One Knoxville SC
USA USL League One
0-0 1-2 67 L
12/07 Detroit City FC
USA USL Cup
0-0 1-2 23 L
05/07 Spokane Velocity FC
USA USL League One
2-0 3-0 23 W
21/06 Richmond Kickers
USA USL League One
2-0 2-0 36 W
18/06 Forward Madison FC
USA USL League One
0-1 1-1 65 D
11/06 Westchester SC
USA USL League One
0-1 1-1 65 D
07/06 Union Omaha
USA USL Cup
2-2 2-4 43 L
31/05 Antelope Valley Alta
USA USL League One
0-0 0-0 77 D
24/05 AC Boise
USA USL League One
1-0 3-1 16 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Spokane Velocity FC vs Fort Wayne FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Spokane Velocity FC win (50%). Probabilities: Spokane Velocity FC 50%, draw 26%, Fort Wayne FC 24%.

How many goals are expected in Spokane Velocity FC vs Fort Wayne FC?

The model expects 2.75 goals (Spokane Velocity FC 1.66 · Fort Wayne FC 1.09), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Spokane Velocity FC vs Fort Wayne FC?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.