Football · USA USL League One · 26/07, 05:00

Prediction: Antelope Valley Alta vs Westchester SC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.77Total

Antelope Valley Alta1.64

Westchester SC1.13

1X2

49% 25% 26%

Antelope Valley Alta Draw Westchester SC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Antelope Valley Alta 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWDLDWLW

Westchester SC 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Antelope Valley Alta 2–0 Westchester SC (2 last)

Westchester SC2-5Antelope Valley Alta
Antelope Valley Alta2-0Westchester SC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Antelope Valley Alta 1541 · Westchester SC 1470

	Antelope Valley Alta	Draw	Westchester SC
Our model	48%	27%	25%
Market	50%	24%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.77 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Antelope Valley Alta (rating 1541 vs 1470).
H2H favours Antelope Valley Alta: 2-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Antelope Valley Alta	Westchester SC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.1	1.7 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.5	1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.2 / 3.3	1.3 / 2.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0	3.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.80

X3.70

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.85

2 (+0.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 15:27

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.85 → 1.80▼	Pinn 1.93 ★
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	3.25 → 3.40▲	Pinn 3.49

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12% Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
13:24 +5’	1.85	3.70	3.25
15:26 +1’	1.80▼	3.70	3.40▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
14:27 +1’	1.76	3.70	3.94
05:26	1.93▲	3.49▼	3.49▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 3

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Antelope Valley Alta 2–0–0 Westchester SC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/06/25 USA USL League One	Westchester SC	2-5 HT 2-1	Antelope Valley Alta
06/04/25 USA USL League One	Antelope Valley Alta	2-0 HT 2-0	Westchester SC

Standings · USA USL League One

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Union Omaha	18	11	2	5	29	21	35
2	One Knoxville SC	16	10	3	3	30	16	33
3	Charlotte Independence	16	9	3	4	36	25	30
4	Spokane Velocity FC	17	9	2	6	22	21	29
5	Antelope Valley Alta	18	7	7	4	26	21	28
6	AC Boise	17	8	3	6	25	24	27
7	Fort Wayne FC	16	7	6	3	24	14	27
8	Forward Madison FC	14	8	2	4	26	14	26
9	Chattanooga Red Wolves	14	8	1	5	27	17	25
10	Portland Hearts of Pine	17	5	5	7	26	28	20
11	Corpus Christi FC	17	4	7	6	20	26	19
12	Westchester SC	17	5	3	9	28	25	18
13	Sarasota Paradise	18	5	3	10	17	28	18
14	FC Naples	17	5	2	10	18	27	17
15	Greenville Triumph SC	14	4	2	8	14	24	14
16	Richmond Kickers	16	3	3	10	12	30	12
17	New York Cosmos	16	3	2	11	17	36	11

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Antelope Valley Alta	Westchester SC
Chattanooga Red Wolves	0-1 L	0-2 L
Union Omaha	1-3 L	2-2 D
Greenville Triumph SC	2-1 W	4-0 W
Spokane Velocity FC	1-0 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Antelope Valley Alta

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/07	One Knoxville SC USA USL League One	1-1	3-2	5	0	W
16/07	Chattanooga Red Wolves USA USL League One	0-1	0-1	7	4	L
12/07	Phoenix Rising FC USA USL Cup	2-0	2-1	6	8	W
06/07	Charlotte Independence USA USL League One	0-1	1-1	7	4	D
02/07	Union Omaha USA USL League One	1-0	1-3	0	3	L
25/06	Corpus Christi FC USA USL League One	0-0	0-0	2	5	D
21/06	Greenville Triumph SC USA USL League One	0-1	2-1	2	2	W
14/06	Spokane Velocity FC USA USL League One	0-0	1-0	3	5	W
11/06	Sarasota Paradise USA USL League One	2-0	3-1	1	3	W
07/06	Orange County SC USA USL Cup	1-1	2-1	0	4	W

Westchester SC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/07	New York Cosmos USA USL League One	1-0	3-0	6	3	W
19/07	Union Omaha USA USL League One	1-1	2-2	3	5	D
12/07	Hartford Athletic USA USL Cup	1-2	1-2	4	4	L
06/07	AC Boise USA USL League One	0-0	0-1	2	6	L
02/07	Chattanooga Red Wolves USA USL League One	0-0	0-2	2	5	L
25/06	Spokane Velocity FC USA USL League One	1-1	1-2	3	1	L
20/06	Portland Hearts of Pine USA USL League One	2-0	5-1	2	3	W
15/06	Greenville Triumph SC USA USL League One	3-0	4-0	1	4	W
11/06	Fort Wayne FC USA USL League One	1-0	1-1	4	5	D
07/06	Rhode Island FC USA USL Cup	0-2	0-3	1	0	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Antelope Valley Alta vs Westchester SC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Antelope Valley Alta win (49%). Probabilities: Antelope Valley Alta 49%, draw 25%, Westchester SC 26%.

How many goals are expected in Antelope Valley Alta vs Westchester SC?

The model expects 2.77 goals (Antelope Valley Alta 1.64 · Westchester SC 1.13), with a 56% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Antelope Valley Alta vs Westchester SC?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.