Football · USA USL League One · 26/07, 01:00

Prediction: New York Cosmos vs AC Boise

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.96Total
New York Cosmos1.2
AC Boise1.76
1X2
25% 25% 50%
New York Cosmos Draw AC Boise
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
New York Cosmos 1-2-7 (W-D-L)
LLLLLLWDDL
AC Boise 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
LDLWLWLWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · New York Cosmos 1419 · AC Boise 1502
New York CosmosDrawAC Boise
Our model25%26%49%
Market26%24%50%
Estimated total (ours) 2.96 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours AC Boise (rating 1419 vs 1502).
  • High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

New York CosmosAC Boise
Goals for / against (FT)0.7 / 2.11.3 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)0 / 0.90.4 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/50/50%20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.3 / 5.33.3 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.6 / 0.24.7 / 0.1

Standings · USA USL League One

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Union Omaha 181125 292135
2 One Knoxville SC 161033 301633
3 Charlotte Independence 16934 362530
4 Spokane Velocity FC 17926 222129
5 Antelope Valley Alta 18774 262128
6 AC Boise 17836 252427
7 Fort Wayne FC 16763 241427
8 Forward Madison FC 14824 261426
9 Chattanooga Red Wolves 14815 271725
10 Portland Hearts of Pine 17557 262820
11 Corpus Christi FC 17476 202619
12 Westchester SC 17539 282518
13 Sarasota Paradise 185310 172818
14 FC Naples 175210 182717
15 Greenville Triumph SC 14428 142414
16 Richmond Kickers 163310 123012
17 New York Cosmos 163211 173611

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentNew York CosmosAC Boise
Westchester SC 0-3 L 1-0 W
Portland Hearts of Pine 1-1 D 2-1 W
Forward Madison FC 1-3 L 1-5 L
One Knoxville SC 1-3 L 1-2 L
Sarasota Paradise 1-2 L 0-2 L
Union Omaha 1-2 L 1-0 W
Record vs common 0 W 1 D 5 L 3 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: AC Boise (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

New York Cosmos

LLLLLLWDDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
23/07 Westchester SC
USA USL League One
0-1 0-3 43 L
19/07 Corpus Christi FC
USA USL League One
0-0 0-0 23 D
12/07 Portland Hearts of Pine
USA USL Cup
0-0 1-1 53 D
09/07 FC Naples
USA USL League One
0-0 1-0 74 W
05/07 Greenville Triumph SC
USA USL League One
0-1 0-3 124 L
21/06 Forward Madison FC
USA USL League One
0-2 1-3 46 L
14/06 One Knoxville SC
USA USL League One
0-2 1-3 74 L
07/06 Hartford Athletic
USA USL Cup
0-3 1-4 38 L
31/05 Sarasota Paradise
USA USL League One
0-0 1-2 47 L
28/05 Union Omaha
USA USL League One
0-0 1-2 56 L

AC Boise

LDLWLWLWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/07 Portland Hearts of Pine
USA USL League One
0-0 2-1 53 W
12/07 Sacramento Republic
USA USL Cup
1-0 2-0 11 W
06/07 Westchester SC
USA USL League One
0-0 1-0 36 W
03/07 One Knoxville SC
USA USL League One
1-1 1-2 105 L
21/06 Union Omaha
USA USL League One
0-0 1-0 45 W
14/06 Forward Madison FC
USA USL League One
0-1 1-5 45 L
11/06 Richmond Kickers
USA USL League One
2-0 2-1 710 W
07/06 Spokane Velocity FC
USA USL Cup
0-0 1-2 44 L
31/05 Richmond Kickers
USA USL League One
0-1 2-2 137 D
28/05 Sarasota Paradise
USA USL League One
0-0 0-2 92 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in New York Cosmos vs AC Boise?

According to our model, the most likely result is an AC Boise win (50%). Probabilities: New York Cosmos 25%, draw 25%, AC Boise 50%.

How many goals are expected in New York Cosmos vs AC Boise?

The model expects 2.96 goals (New York Cosmos 1.2 · AC Boise 1.76), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in New York Cosmos vs AC Boise?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.