Prediction: New York Cosmos vs AC Boise
| New York Cosmos | Draw | AC Boise | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 25% | 26% | 49% |
| Market | 26% | 24% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours AC Boise (rating 1419 vs 1502).
- High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| New York Cosmos | AC Boise | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 2.1 | 1.3 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0 / 0.9 | 0.4 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/50/50% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5.3 | 3.3 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.2 | 4.7 / 0.1 |
Standings · USA USL League One
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Omaha | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 29 | 21 | 35 |
| 2 | One Knoxville SC | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 30 | 16 | 33 |
| 3 | Charlotte Independence | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 36 | 25 | 30 |
| 4 | Spokane Velocity FC | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 22 | 21 | 29 |
| 5 | Antelope Valley Alta | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 21 | 28 |
| 6 | AC Boise | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 27 |
| 7 | Fort Wayne FC | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 24 | 14 | 27 |
| 8 | Forward Madison FC | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 26 | 14 | 26 |
| 9 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 27 | 17 | 25 |
| 10 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 28 | 20 |
| 11 | Corpus Christi FC | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 26 | 19 |
| 12 | Westchester SC | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 28 | 25 | 18 |
| 13 | Sarasota Paradise | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 28 | 18 |
| 14 | FC Naples | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 18 | 27 | 17 |
| 15 | Greenville Triumph SC | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 24 | 14 |
| 16 | Richmond Kickers | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 30 | 12 |
| 17 | New York Cosmos | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 17 | 36 | 11 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | New York Cosmos | AC Boise |
|---|---|---|
| Westchester SC | 0-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Portland Hearts of Pine | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Forward Madison FC | 1-3 L | 1-5 L |
| One Knoxville SC | 1-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Sarasota Paradise | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Union Omaha | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 5 L | 3 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: AC Boise (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
New York Cosmos
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Westchester SC USA USL League One |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 19/07 | Corpus Christi FC USA USL League One |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 12/07 | Portland Hearts of Pine USA USL Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 09/07 | FC Naples USA USL League One |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 05/07 | Greenville Triumph SC USA USL League One |
0-1 | 0-3 | 12 | 4 | L |
| 21/06 | Forward Madison FC USA USL League One |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 14/06 | One Knoxville SC USA USL League One |
0-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 07/06 | Hartford Athletic USA USL Cup |
0-3 | 1-4 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 31/05 | Sarasota Paradise USA USL League One |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 28/05 | Union Omaha USA USL League One |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
AC Boise
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Portland Hearts of Pine USA USL League One |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 12/07 | Sacramento Republic USA USL Cup |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 06/07 | Westchester SC USA USL League One |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 03/07 | One Knoxville SC USA USL League One |
1-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 5 | L |
| 21/06 | Union Omaha USA USL League One |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 14/06 | Forward Madison FC USA USL League One |
0-1 | 1-5 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 11/06 | Richmond Kickers USA USL League One |
2-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 10 | W |
| 07/06 | Spokane Velocity FC USA USL Cup |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 31/05 | Richmond Kickers USA USL League One |
0-1 | 2-2 | 13 | 7 | D |
| 28/05 | Sarasota Paradise USA USL League One |
0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in New York Cosmos vs AC Boise?
According to our model, the most likely result is an AC Boise win (50%). Probabilities: New York Cosmos 25%, draw 25%, AC Boise 50%.
How many goals are expected in New York Cosmos vs AC Boise?
The model expects 2.96 goals (New York Cosmos 1.2 · AC Boise 1.76), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in New York Cosmos vs AC Boise?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.

