Football · USA USL League One · 19/07, 01:00

Prediction: New York Cosmos vs Corpus Christi FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.91Total
New York Cosmos1.51
Corpus Christi FC1.41
1X2
39% 26% 35%
New York Cosmos Draw Corpus Christi FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
New York Cosmos 2-1-7 (W-D-L)
WLLLLLLLWD
Corpus Christi FC 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
DLWLWWDLWD
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · New York Cosmos 1429 · Corpus Christi FC 1498
New York CosmosDrawCorpus Christi FC
Our model39%27%34%
Market39%26%35%
Estimated total (ours) 2.91 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Corpus Christi FC (rating 1429 vs 1498).
  • Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

New York CosmosCorpus Christi FC
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 2.41.4 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)0.1 / 10.5 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/40/50%20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2.2 / 5.72.3 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5 / 0.25 / 0.1

Standings · USA USL League One

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 One Knoxville SC 151032 281333
2 Union Omaha 161015 251831
3 Charlotte Independence 14932 341830
4 AC Boise 17836 252427
5 Forward Madison FC 14824 261426
6 Antelope Valley Alta 17674 231925
7 Fort Wayne FC 15663 211424
8 Spokane Velocity FC 15726 172123
9 Chattanooga Red Wolves 13715 231522
10 Portland Hearts of Pine 16556 252620
11 Sarasota Paradise 185310 172818
12 Corpus Christi FC 16466 202618
13 FC Naples 175210 182717
14 Westchester SC 15429 232314
15 Greenville Triumph SC 13427 142114
16 Richmond Kickers 15339 122812
17 New York Cosmos 143110 173310

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentNew York CosmosCorpus Christi FC
Portland Hearts of Pine 1-1 D 3-2 W
Forward Madison FC 1-3 L 0-3 L
One Knoxville SC 1-3 L 1-1 D
Sarasota Paradise 1-2 L 4-1 W
Antelope Valley Alta 0-4 L 0-0 D
Record vs common 0 W 1 D 4 L 2 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Corpus Christi FC (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

New York Cosmos

WLLLLLLLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/07 Portland Hearts of Pine
USA USL Cup
0-0 1-1 53 D
09/07 FC Naples
USA USL League One
0-0 1-0 74 W
05/07 Greenville Triumph SC
USA USL League One
0-1 0-3 124 L
21/06 Forward Madison FC
USA USL League One
0-2 1-3 46 L
14/06 One Knoxville SC
USA USL League One
0-2 1-3 74 L
07/06 Hartford Athletic
USA USL Cup
0-3 1-4 38 L
31/05 Sarasota Paradise
USA USL League One
0-0 1-2 47 L
28/05 Union Omaha
USA USL League One
0-0 1-2 56 L
24/05 Antelope Valley Alta
USA USL League One
0-2 0-4 75 L
16/05 Westchester SC
USA USL Cup
1-0 3-2 35 W

Corpus Christi FC

DLWLWWDLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/07 One Knoxville SC
USA USL Cup
0-0 1-1 63 D
05/07 Chattanooga Red Wolves
USA USL League One
1-1 2-1 23 W
01/07 Charlotte Independence
USA USL League One
1-2 1-2 45 L
25/06 Antelope Valley Alta
USA USL League One
0-0 0-0 55 D
21/06 Sarasota Paradise
USA USL League One
2-0 4-1 26 W
14/06 Richmond Kickers
USA USL League One
0-0 1-0 114 W
10/06 Birmingham Legion FC
USA USL Cup
0-2 0-3 55 L
04/06 Portland Hearts of Pine
USA USL League One
0-1 3-2 68 W
30/05 Forward Madison FC
USA USL League One
0-2 0-3 34 L
24/05 One Knoxville SC
USA USL League One
1-0 2-2 38 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in New York Cosmos vs Corpus Christi FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a New York Cosmos win (39%). Probabilities: New York Cosmos 39%, draw 26%, Corpus Christi FC 35%.

How many goals are expected in New York Cosmos vs Corpus Christi FC?

The model expects 2.91 goals (New York Cosmos 1.51 · Corpus Christi FC 1.41), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in New York Cosmos vs Corpus Christi FC?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.