Football · USA USL League One · 19/07, 01:30

Prediction: One Knoxville SC vs Antelope Valley Alta

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.67Total

One Knoxville SC1.72

Antelope Valley Alta0.95

1X2

55% 25% 20%

One Knoxville SC Draw Antelope Valley Alta

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

One Knoxville SC 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

LLDWDWWWDW

Antelope Valley Alta 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

DWWWWDLDWL

Head-to-head

One Knoxville SC 2–0 Antelope Valley Alta (2 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · One Knoxville SC 1544 · Antelope Valley Alta 1521

	One Knoxville SC	Draw	Antelope Valley Alta
Our model	54%	26%	20%
Market	55%	24%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 2.67 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours One Knoxville SC: 2-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	One Knoxville SC	Antelope Valley Alta
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1	1.2 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.4	0.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 5.2	1.2 / 3.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.3	4.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.61

X3.70

24.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.80

2 (+0.75)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.95

Under 2.751.85

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.45

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:24

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.61 → 1.61	Pinn 1.75
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	4.33 → 4.33	Pinn 5.13 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
18:13 +11’	1.61	3.70	4.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
19:24 +1’	1.75	3.07	5.13

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · One Knoxville SC 2–0–0 Antelope Valley Alta

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/09/25 USA USL League One	Antelope Valley Alta	1-2 HT 1-1	One Knoxville SC
17/07/25 USA USL League One	One Knoxville SC	3-1 HT 1-0	Antelope Valley Alta

Standings · USA USL League One

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	One Knoxville SC	15	10	3	2	28	13	33
2	Union Omaha	16	10	1	5	25	18	31
3	Charlotte Independence	14	9	3	2	34	18	30
4	Forward Madison FC	14	8	2	4	26	14	26
5	Antelope Valley Alta	17	6	7	4	23	19	25
6	AC Boise	16	7	3	6	23	23	24
7	Fort Wayne FC	15	6	6	3	21	14	24
8	Spokane Velocity FC	15	7	2	6	17	21	23
9	Chattanooga Red Wolves	13	7	1	5	23	15	22
10	Portland Hearts of Pine	15	5	5	5	24	24	20
11	Sarasota Paradise	18	5	3	10	17	28	18
12	Corpus Christi FC	16	4	6	6	20	26	18
13	FC Naples	17	5	2	10	18	27	17
14	Westchester SC	15	4	2	9	23	23	14
15	Greenville Triumph SC	13	4	2	7	14	21	14
16	Richmond Kickers	15	3	3	9	12	28	12
17	New York Cosmos	14	3	1	10	17	33	10

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	One Knoxville SC	Antelope Valley Alta
Fort Wayne FC	2-1 W	0-0 D
Corpus Christi FC	1-1 D	0-0 D
Spokane Velocity FC	4-0 W	1-0 W
Chattanooga Red Wolves	1-1 D	0-1 L
Greenville Triumph SC	2-0 W	2-1 W
Union Omaha	1-2 L	1-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 1 L	2 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: One Knoxville SC (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

One Knoxville SC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/07	Fort Wayne FC USA USL League One	0-0	2-1	9	7	W
12/07	Corpus Christi FC USA USL Cup	0-0	1-1	2	3	D
03/07	AC Boise USA USL League One	1-1	2-1	3	5	W
21/06	Spokane Velocity FC USA USL League One	2-0	4-0	4	4	W
14/06	New York Cosmos USA USL League One	2-0	3-1	5	4	W
11/06	Chattanooga Red Wolves USA USL Cup	0-0	1-1	3	4	D
30/05	Greenville Triumph SC USA USL League One	0-0	2-0	8	6	W
24/05	Corpus Christi FC USA USL League One	0-1	2-2	2	8	D
17/05	San Antonio FC USA USL Cup	0-1	0-1	7	7	L
14/05	Union Omaha USA USL League One	1-1	1-2	9	5	L

Antelope Valley Alta

DWWWWDLDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/07	Chattanooga Red Wolves USA USL League One	0-1	0-1	7	4	L
12/07	Phoenix Rising FC USA USL Cup	2-0	2-1	6	8	W
06/07	Charlotte Independence USA USL League One	0-1	1-1	7	4	D
02/07	Union Omaha USA USL League One	1-0	1-3	0	3	L
25/06	Corpus Christi FC USA USL League One	0-0	0-0	2	5	D
21/06	Greenville Triumph SC USA USL League One	0-1	2-1	2	2	W
14/06	Spokane Velocity FC USA USL League One	0-0	1-0	3	5	W
11/06	Sarasota Paradise USA USL League One	2-0	3-1	1	3	W
07/06	Orange County SC USA USL Cup	1-1	2-1	0	4	W
31/05	Fort Wayne FC USA USL League One	0-0	0-0	3	7	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in One Knoxville SC vs Antelope Valley Alta?

According to our model, the most likely result is a One Knoxville SC win (55%). Probabilities: One Knoxville SC 55%, draw 25%, Antelope Valley Alta 20%.

How many goals are expected in One Knoxville SC vs Antelope Valley Alta?

The model expects 2.67 goals (One Knoxville SC 1.72 · Antelope Valley Alta 0.95), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in One Knoxville SC vs Antelope Valley Alta?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.