Football · USA USL League One · 19/07, 01:00
Prediction: Richmond Kickers vs Spokane Velocity FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.59Total
Richmond Kickers0.96
Spokane Velocity FC1.63
1X2
Richmond Kickers
Draw
Spokane Velocity FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Richmond Kickers
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Spokane Velocity FC
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Richmond Kickers
1–5
Spokane Velocity FC
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Richmond Kickers 1406 · Spokane Velocity FC 1486
| Richmond Kickers | Draw | Spokane Velocity FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 21% | 27% | 52% |
| Market | 22% | 25% | 53% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.59 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Spokane Velocity FC (rating 1406 vs 1486).
- H2H favours Spokane Velocity FC: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Richmond Kickers | Spokane Velocity FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 2.4 | 1 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.9 | 0.4 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 3.7 | 2 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.7 / 0.1 | 3.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Richmond Kickers 1–0–5 Spokane Velocity FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/26 USA USL League One | Spokane Velocity FC | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Richmond Kickers |
| 22/06/25 USA USL League One | Richmond Kickers | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Spokane Velocity FC |
| 19/05/25 USA USL League One | Spokane Velocity FC | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Richmond Kickers |
| 30/08/24 USA USL Cup | Richmond Kickers | 3-2 HT 2-0 | Spokane Velocity FC |
| 21/04/24 USA USL League One | Richmond Kickers | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Spokane Velocity FC |
| 16/03/24 USA USL League One | Spokane Velocity FC | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Richmond Kickers |
Standings · USA USL League One
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | One Knoxville SC | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 28 | 13 | 33 |
| 2 | Union Omaha | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 25 | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Charlotte Independence | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 18 | 30 |
| 4 | AC Boise | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 27 |
| 5 | Forward Madison FC | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 26 | 14 | 26 |
| 6 | Antelope Valley Alta | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 25 |
| 7 | Fort Wayne FC | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 24 |
| 8 | Spokane Velocity FC | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 21 | 23 |
| 9 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 15 | 22 |
| 10 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 26 | 20 |
| 11 | Sarasota Paradise | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 28 | 18 |
| 12 | Corpus Christi FC | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 26 | 18 |
| 13 | FC Naples | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 18 | 27 | 17 |
| 14 | Westchester SC | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 23 | 14 |
| 15 | Greenville Triumph SC | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 21 | 14 |
| 16 | Richmond Kickers | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 28 | 12 |
| 17 | New York Cosmos | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 17 | 33 | 10 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Richmond Kickers | Spokane Velocity FC |
|---|---|---|
| Forward Madison FC | 0-4 L | 0-1 L |
| Sarasota Paradise | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Portland Hearts of Pine | 1-5 L | 1-2 L |
| Fort Wayne FC | 0-2 L | 0-3 L |
| AC Boise | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 4 L | 2 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Spokane Velocity FC (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Richmond Kickers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Forward Madison FC USA USL League One |
0-2 | 0-4 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 12/07 | Greenville Triumph SC USA USL Cup |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 04/07 | Sarasota Paradise USA USL League One |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 25/06 | Portland Hearts of Pine USA USL League One |
1-1 | 1-5 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 21/06 | Fort Wayne FC USA USL League One |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 14/06 | Corpus Christi FC USA USL League One |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 11/06 | AC Boise USA USL League One |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 10 | L |
| 07/06 | Loudoun United FC USA USL Cup |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 31/05 | AC Boise USA USL League One |
1-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 28/05 | Chattanooga Red Wolves USA USL League One |
0-2 | 0-5 | 5 | 6 | L |
Spokane Velocity FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Oakland Roots USA USL Cup |
1-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 05/07 | Fort Wayne FC USA USL League One |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 02/07 | Forward Madison FC USA USL League One |
0-1 | 0-1 | 12 | 5 | L |
| 25/06 | Westchester SC USA USL League One |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 21/06 | One Knoxville SC USA USL League One |
0-2 | 0-4 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 14/06 | Antelope Valley Alta USA USL League One |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 07/06 | AC Boise USA USL Cup |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 31/05 | Portland Hearts of Pine USA USL League One |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 25/05 | Sarasota Paradise USA USL League One |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 18/05 | Las Vegas Lights FC USA USL Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Richmond Kickers vs Spokane Velocity FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Spokane Velocity FC win (53%). Probabilities: Richmond Kickers 22%, draw 26%, Spokane Velocity FC 53%.
How many goals are expected in Richmond Kickers vs Spokane Velocity FC?
The model expects 2.59 goals (Richmond Kickers 0.96 · Spokane Velocity FC 1.63), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Richmond Kickers vs Spokane Velocity FC?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.