Football · USA USL League One · 19/07, 01:00
Prediction: Union Omaha vs Westchester SC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.35Total
Union Omaha2.2
Westchester SC1.15
1X2
Union Omaha
Draw
Westchester SC
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Union Omaha
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Westchester SC
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Union Omaha
2–0
Westchester SC
(2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Union Omaha 1521 · Westchester SC 1429
| Union Omaha | Draw | Westchester SC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 22% | 18% |
| Market | 60% | 22% | 18% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.35 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Union Omaha (rating 1521 vs 1429).
- H2H favours Union Omaha: 2-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Union Omaha | Westchester SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.9 | 1.4 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.8 | 0.8 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/60/40% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 6.1 | 1.2 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.1 | 3.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Union Omaha 2–0–0 Westchester SC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09/25 USA USL League One | Westchester SC | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Union Omaha |
| 07/08/25 USA USL League One | Union Omaha | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Westchester SC |
Standings · USA USL League One
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | One Knoxville SC | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 28 | 13 | 33 |
| 2 | Union Omaha | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 25 | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Charlotte Independence | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 18 | 30 |
| 4 | Forward Madison FC | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 26 | 14 | 26 |
| 5 | Antelope Valley Alta | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 25 |
| 6 | AC Boise | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 24 |
| 7 | Fort Wayne FC | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 24 |
| 8 | Spokane Velocity FC | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 21 | 23 |
| 9 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 15 | 22 |
| 10 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 24 | 20 |
| 11 | Sarasota Paradise | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 28 | 18 |
| 12 | Corpus Christi FC | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 26 | 18 |
| 13 | FC Naples | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 18 | 27 | 17 |
| 14 | Westchester SC | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 23 | 14 |
| 15 | Greenville Triumph SC | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 21 | 14 |
| 16 | Richmond Kickers | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 28 | 12 |
| 17 | New York Cosmos | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 17 | 33 | 10 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Union Omaha | Westchester SC |
|---|---|---|
| AC Boise | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Fort Wayne FC | 4-2 W | 1-1 D |
| FC Naples | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| New York Cosmos | 2-1 W | 2-3 L |
| Chattanooga Red Wolves | 2-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 1 L | 0 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Union Omaha (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Union Omaha
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Forward Madison FC USA USL Cup |
1-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 02/07 | Antelope Valley Alta USA USL League One |
0-1 | 3-1 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 21/06 | AC Boise USA USL League One |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 14/06 | Sarasota Paradise USA USL League One |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 11/06 | Charlotte Independence USA USL League One |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 07/06 | Fort Wayne FC USA USL Cup |
2-2 | 4-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 31/05 | FC Naples USA USL League One |
0-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 28/05 | New York Cosmos USA USL League One |
0-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 24/05 | Chattanooga Red Wolves USA USL League One |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 17/05 | Louisville City FC USA USL Cup |
1-1 | 1-5 | 2 | 5 | L |
Westchester SC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Hartford Athletic USA USL Cup |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 06/07 | AC Boise USA USL League One |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 02/07 | Chattanooga Red Wolves USA USL League One |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 25/06 | Spokane Velocity FC USA USL League One |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 20/06 | Portland Hearts of Pine USA USL League One |
2-0 | 5-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 15/06 | Greenville Triumph SC USA USL League One |
3-0 | 4-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 11/06 | Fort Wayne FC USA USL League One |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 07/06 | Rhode Island FC USA USL Cup |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 24/05 | FC Naples USA USL League One |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 16/05 | New York Cosmos USA USL Cup |
0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Union Omaha vs Westchester SC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Union Omaha win (60%). Probabilities: Union Omaha 60%, draw 22%, Westchester SC 18%.
How many goals are expected in Union Omaha vs Westchester SC?
The model expects 3.35 goals (Union Omaha 2.2 · Westchester SC 1.15), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Union Omaha vs Westchester SC?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.