Football · USA USL League One · 19/07, 01:30

Prediction: Fort Wayne FC vs Greenville Triumph SC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.59Total
Fort Wayne FC1.49
Greenville Triumph SC1.1
1X2
46% 27% 27%
Fort Wayne FC Draw Greenville Triumph SC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Fort Wayne FC 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
DWDLDDWWLL
Greenville Triumph SC 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
DLWWLLLWDL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Fort Wayne FC 1503 · Greenville Triumph SC 1465
Fort Wayne FCDrawGreenville Triumph SC
Our model45%28%27%
Market46%26%28%
Estimated total (ours) 2.59 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Fort Wayne FCGreenville Triumph SC
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 1.21 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.40.4 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/50/20%40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)1.7 / 4.52 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.9 / 0.44.6 / 0.2

Standings · USA USL League One

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 One Knoxville SC 151032 281333
2 Union Omaha 161015 251831
3 Charlotte Independence 14932 341830
4 Forward Madison FC 14824 261426
5 Antelope Valley Alta 17674 231925
6 AC Boise 16736 232324
7 Fort Wayne FC 15663 211424
8 Spokane Velocity FC 15726 172123
9 Chattanooga Red Wolves 13715 231522
10 Portland Hearts of Pine 15555 242420
11 Sarasota Paradise 185310 172818
12 Corpus Christi FC 16466 202618
13 FC Naples 175210 182717
14 Westchester SC 15429 232314
15 Greenville Triumph SC 13427 142114
16 Richmond Kickers 15339 122812
17 New York Cosmos 143110 173310

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFort Wayne FCGreenville Triumph SC
One Knoxville SC 1-2 L 0-2 L
Richmond Kickers 2-0 W 1-2 L
Forward Madison FC 1-1 D 1-0 W
Westchester SC 1-1 D 0-4 L
Antelope Valley Alta 0-0 D 1-2 L
Record vs common 1 W 3 D 1 L 1 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Fort Wayne FC (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Fort Wayne FC

DWDLDDWWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/07 One Knoxville SC
USA USL League One
0-0 1-2 67 L
12/07 Detroit City FC
USA USL Cup
0-0 1-2 23 L
05/07 Spokane Velocity FC
USA USL League One
2-0 3-0 23 W
21/06 Richmond Kickers
USA USL League One
2-0 2-0 36 W
18/06 Forward Madison FC
USA USL League One
0-1 1-1 65 D
11/06 Westchester SC
USA USL League One
0-1 1-1 65 D
07/06 Union Omaha
USA USL Cup
2-2 2-4 43 L
31/05 Antelope Valley Alta
USA USL League One
0-0 0-0 77 D
24/05 AC Boise
USA USL League One
1-0 3-1 16 W
21/05 Corpus Christi FC
USA USL League One
0-0 1-1 88 D

Greenville Triumph SC

DLWWLLLWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/07 Richmond Kickers
USA USL Cup
0-0 1-2 97 L
09/07 Sarasota Paradise
USA USL League One
0-0 0-0 23 D
05/07 New York Cosmos
USA USL League One
1-0 3-0 24 W
25/06 Charlotte Independence
USA USL Cup
0-0 0-1 54 L
21/06 Antelope Valley Alta
USA USL League One
1-0 1-2 12 L
15/06 Westchester SC
USA USL League One
0-3 0-4 94 L
11/06 Loudoun United FC
USA USL Cup
1-0 3-1 45 W
04/06 Forward Madison FC
USA USL League One
1-0 1-0 47 W
30/05 One Knoxville SC
USA USL League One
0-0 0-2 56 L
24/05 Portland Hearts of Pine
USA USL League One
0-0 1-1 36 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Fort Wayne FC vs Greenville Triumph SC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Fort Wayne FC win (46%). Probabilities: Fort Wayne FC 46%, draw 27%, Greenville Triumph SC 27%.

How many goals are expected in Fort Wayne FC vs Greenville Triumph SC?

The model expects 2.59 goals (Fort Wayne FC 1.49 · Greenville Triumph SC 1.1), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Fort Wayne FC vs Greenville Triumph SC?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.