Prediction: New York Cosmos vs FC Naples
Expected goals: 3.18 (New York Cosmos 1.61 · FC Naples 1.57). The model gives 38% home, 26% draw, 36% away. Over 2.75 goals (53%) and both teams to score (58%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Recent form leaves New York Cosmos with 1 wins, 0 draws and 9 losses over 10 games; FC Naples has piled up 1-1-8 in the same span.
| New York Cosmos | Draw | FC Naples | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 26% | 36% |
| Market | 38% | 26% | 36% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| New York Cosmos | FC Naples | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 2.9 | 1 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 1.5 | 0.4 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/20/70% | 30/20/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 5.1 | 1.7 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.7 / 0.3 | 4.5 / 0 |
Standings · USA USL League One
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Omaha | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 25 | 18 | 31 |
| 2 | Charlotte Independence | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 18 | 30 |
| 3 | One Knoxville SC | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 30 |
| 4 | Antelope Valley Alta | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 18 | 25 |
| 5 | AC Boise | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 24 |
| 6 | Fort Wayne FC | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 20 | 12 | 24 |
| 7 | Forward Madison FC | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 14 | 23 |
| 8 | Spokane Velocity FC | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 21 | 23 |
| 9 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 24 | 20 |
| 10 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 15 | 19 |
| 11 | Corpus Christi FC | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 26 | 18 |
| 12 | FC Naples | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 18 | 26 | 17 |
| 13 | Sarasota Paradise | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 17 | 28 | 17 |
| 14 | Westchester SC | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 23 | 14 |
| 15 | Greenville Triumph SC | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 21 | 13 |
| 16 | Richmond Kickers | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | 12 |
| 17 | New York Cosmos | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 16 | 33 | 7 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | New York Cosmos | FC Naples |
|---|---|---|
| Sarasota Paradise | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Union Omaha | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Westchester SC | 3-2 W | 1-0 W |
| Portland Hearts of Pine | 1-3 L | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 3 L | 1 W 0 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
New York Cosmos
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Greenville Triumph SC USA USL League One |
0-1 | 0-3 | 12 | 4 | L |
| 21/06 | Forward Madison FC USA USL League One |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 14/06 | One Knoxville SC USA USL League One |
0-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 07/06 | Hartford Athletic USA USL Cup |
0-3 | 1-4 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 31/05 | Sarasota Paradise USA USL League One |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 28/05 | Union Omaha USA USL League One |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 24/05 | Antelope Valley Alta USA USL League One |
0-2 | 0-4 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 16/05 | Westchester SC USA USL Cup |
1-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 02/05 | Portland Hearts of Pine USA USL League One |
0-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 25/04 | Brooklyn FC USA USL Cup |
0-3 | 0-3 | 4 | 8 | L |
FC Naples
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Portland Hearts of Pine USA USL League One |
1-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 21/06 | Chattanooga Red Wolves USA USL League One |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 14/06 | Charlotte Independence USA USL League One |
1-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 07/06 | Sarasota Paradise USA USL Cup |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 04/06 | Charlotte Independence USA USL League One |
0-3 | 1-5 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 31/05 | Union Omaha USA USL League One |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 24/05 | Westchester SC USA USL League One |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 17/05 | Sporting JAX USA USL Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 14/05 | AC Boise USA USL League One |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 11/05 | Spokane Velocity FC USA USL League One |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in New York Cosmos vs FC Naples?
According to our model, the most likely result is a New York Cosmos win (38%). Probabilities: New York Cosmos 38%, draw 26%, FC Naples 36%.
How many goals are expected in New York Cosmos vs FC Naples?
The model expects 3.18 goals (New York Cosmos 1.61 · FC Naples 1.57), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in New York Cosmos vs FC Naples?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.