Football · USA USL Championship · 26/07, 01:00
Prediction: Detroit City FC vs Las Vegas Lights FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.67Total
Detroit City FC1.66
Las Vegas Lights FC1.01
1X2
Detroit City FC
Draw
Las Vegas Lights FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Detroit City FC
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Las Vegas Lights FC
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Detroit City FC
2–1–0
Las Vegas Lights FC
(3 last)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Detroit City FC (rating 1544 vs 1502).
- H2H favours Detroit City FC: 2-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Detroit City FC | Las Vegas Lights FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 0.9 | 1.3 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.5 | 0.5 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 4.9 | 1.7 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.3 / 0.1 | 4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Detroit City FC 2–1–0 Las Vegas Lights FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08/24 USA USL Championship | Las Vegas Lights FC | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Detroit City FC |
| 20/08/23 USA USL Championship | Detroit City FC | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Las Vegas Lights FC |
| 03/07/22 USA USL Championship | Las Vegas Lights FC | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Detroit City FC |
Standings · USA USL Championship · USL Championship 2026, Western Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Orange County SC | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 25 | 18 | 28 |
| 2 | San Antonio FC | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 20 | 17 | 25 |
| 3 | New Mexico United | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 24 |
| 4 | Oakland Roots | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 22 | 21 |
| 5 | Sacramento Republic | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 13 | 19 |
| 6 | Colorado Switchbacks FC | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 22 | 19 |
| 7 | El Paso Locomotive FC | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 19 |
| 8 | Tulsa | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 19 |
| 9 | Lexington SC | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 20 | 18 |
| 10 | Phoenix Rising FC | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 22 | 17 |
| 11 | Las Vegas Lights FC | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 25 | 15 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay FC | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | 15 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Detroit City FC | Las Vegas Lights FC |
|---|---|---|
| Birmingham Legion FC | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| El Paso Locomotive FC | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Detroit City FC (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Detroit City FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Indy Eleven USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 12/07 | Fort Wayne FC USA USL Cup |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 03/07 | Birmingham Legion FC USA USL Championship |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 20/06 | Louisville City FC USA USL Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 14/06 | Sporting JAX USA USL Championship |
3-1 | 6-2 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 11/06 | El Paso Locomotive FC USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 4 | D |
| 07/06 | Lexington SC USA USL Cup |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 31/05 | Charleston Battery USA USL Championship |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 24/05 | Loudoun United FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 21/05 | Miami FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 9 | W |
Las Vegas Lights FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | San Antonio FC USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 12/07 | Monterey Bay FC USA USL Cup |
0-2 | 3-2 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 05/07 | El Paso Locomotive FC USA USL Championship |
1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 21/06 | Orange County SC USA USL Championship |
1-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 14/06 | Birmingham Legion FC USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 07/06 | Oakland Roots USA USL Cup |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 31/05 | Tulsa USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 24/05 | Colorado Switchbacks FC USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 18/05 | Spokane Velocity FC USA USL Cup |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 10/05 | New Mexico United USA USL Championship |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Detroit City FC vs Las Vegas Lights FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Detroit City FC win (51%). Probabilities: Detroit City FC 51%, draw 27%, Las Vegas Lights FC 22%.
How many goals are expected in Detroit City FC vs Las Vegas Lights FC?
The model expects 2.67 goals (Detroit City FC 1.66 · Las Vegas Lights FC 1.01), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Detroit City FC vs Las Vegas Lights FC?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.