Football · USA USL Championship · 02/08, 04:00

Prediction: Orange County SC vs El Paso Locomotive FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.71Total

Orange County SC1.62

El Paso Locomotive FC1.09

1X2

49% 27% 24%

Orange County SC Draw El Paso Locomotive FC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Orange County SC 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LWLDWWDDLW

El Paso Locomotive FC 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WLLDDLWLLW

Head-to-head

Orange County SC 3–1–2 El Paso Locomotive FC (6 last)

Orange County SC1-2El Paso Locomotive FC
Orange County SC0-0El Paso Locomotive FC
El Paso Locomotive FC0-3Orange County SC
El Paso Locomotive FC0-2Orange County SC
Orange County SC0-1El Paso Locomotive FC
Orange County SC1-0El Paso Locomotive FC

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Orange County SC: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Orange County SC	El Paso Locomotive FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.8	1 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.6	0.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/90/0%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 3.4	2.3 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0	3.8 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.99

Under 2.751.81

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:21

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.23 → 2.23	Pinn 2.23
X	3.63 → 3.63	Pinn 3.63
2	2.92 → 2.92	Pinn 2.92

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.6%

Time*	1	X	2
00:20 +1’	2.23	3.63	2.92

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Orange County SC 3–1–2 El Paso Locomotive FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 USA USL Cup	Orange County SC	1-2 HT 0-0	El Paso Locomotive FC
05/10/25 USA USL Championship	Orange County SC	0-0 HT 0-0	El Paso Locomotive FC
15/06/25 USA USL Championship	El Paso Locomotive FC	0-3 HT 0-3	Orange County SC
17/10/24 USA USL Championship	El Paso Locomotive FC	0-2 HT 0-1	Orange County SC
18/08/24 USA USL Championship	Orange County SC	0-1 HT 0-0	El Paso Locomotive FC
22/10/23 USA USL Championship	Orange County SC	1-0 HT 1-0	El Paso Locomotive FC

Standings · USA USL Championship · USL Championship 2026, Western Conference

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Orange County SC	17	8	7	2	27	19	31
2	San Antonio FC	17	7	7	3	22	19	28
3	Colorado Switchbacks FC	16	7	4	5	28	23	25
4	New Mexico United	14	7	3	4	19	15	24
5	Sacramento Republic	15	6	5	4	19	15	23
6	Tulsa	15	6	5	4	18	16	23
7	Lexington SC	16	6	4	6	24	20	22
8	El Paso Locomotive FC	16	6	4	6	27	25	22
9	Oakland Roots	17	5	6	6	25	27	21
10	Phoenix Rising FC	17	5	6	6	23	24	21
11	Las Vegas Lights FC	16	6	3	7	24	26	21
12	Monterey Bay FC	17	4	3	10	17	27	15

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Orange County SC	El Paso Locomotive FC
Monterey Bay FC	2-1 W	0-1 L
Colorado Switchbacks FC	0-3 L	1-2 L
Las Vegas Lights FC	3-2 W	2-1 W
New Mexico United	1-1 D	0-2 L
Antelope Valley Alta	1-2 L	2-0 W
Phoenix Rising FC	1-2 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 3 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: El Paso Locomotive FC (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Orange County SC

LWLDWWDDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	Monterey Bay FC USA USL Championship	0-0	2-1	1	3	W
12/07	Colorado Switchbacks FC USA USL Cup	0-0	0-3	1	4	L
09/07	Hartford Athletic USA USL Championship	2-0	2-2	4	3	D
05/07	Rhode Island FC USA USL Championship	0-0	1-1	2	5	D
25/06	Miami FC USA USL Championship	1-1	4-2	3	4	W
21/06	Las Vegas Lights FC USA USL Championship	1-1	3-2	5	2	W
14/06	New Mexico United USA USL Championship	1-1	1-1	4	1	D
07/06	Antelope Valley Alta USA USL Cup	1-1	1-2	4	4	L
24/05	Oakland Roots USA USL Championship	1-1	3-2	3	3	W
17/05	Phoenix Rising FC USA USL Cup	1-1	1-2	7	4	L

El Paso Locomotive FC

WLLDDLWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	Sporting JAX USA USL Championship	1-0	2-0	8	6	W
19/07	Tulsa USA USL Championship	0-1	0-1	4	5	L
12/07	New Mexico United USA USL Cup	0-0	0-2	4	1	L
05/07	Las Vegas Lights FC USA USL Championship	1-1	2-1	3	3	W
21/06	Monterey Bay FC USA USL Championship	0-0	0-1	3	1	L
14/06	Phoenix Rising FC USA USL Championship	0-0	1-1	0	5	D
11/06	Detroit City FC USA USL Championship	1-0	1-1	5	4	D
07/06	Colorado Switchbacks FC USA USL Cup	1-1	1-2	3	6	L
31/05	Lexington SC USA USL Championship	0-2	1-4	3	5	L
28/05	Antelope Valley Alta USA USL Cup	0-0	2-0	11	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Orange County SC vs El Paso Locomotive FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Orange County SC win (49%). Probabilities: Orange County SC 49%, draw 27%, El Paso Locomotive FC 24%.

How many goals are expected in Orange County SC vs El Paso Locomotive FC?

The model expects 2.71 goals (Orange County SC 1.62 · El Paso Locomotive FC 1.09), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Orange County SC vs El Paso Locomotive FC?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.