Football · USA USL Championship · 02/08, 01:00
Prediction: San Antonio FC vs Indy Eleven
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.34Total
San Antonio FC1.37
Indy Eleven0.97
1X2
San Antonio FC
Draw
Indy Eleven
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
San Antonio FC
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Indy Eleven
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
San Antonio FC
2–1–3
Indy Eleven
(6 last)
- Indy Eleven1-0San Antonio FC
- Indy Eleven2-0San Antonio FC
- San Antonio FC3-3Indy Eleven
- Indy Eleven1-0San Antonio FC
- Indy Eleven1-2San Antonio FC
- San Antonio FC2-0Indy Eleven
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · San Antonio FC 1549 · Indy Eleven 1495
| San Antonio FC | Draw | Indy Eleven | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 30% | 25% |
| Market | 46% | 27% | 27% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.34 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours San Antonio FC (rating 1549 vs 1495).
- H2H favours Indy Eleven: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 10.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| San Antonio FC | Indy Eleven | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.1 | 1 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.5 | 0.2 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 10/80/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 4.2 | 3.3 / 6.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.2 / 0.4 | 4.6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · San Antonio FC 2–1–3 Indy Eleven
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/06/24 USA USL Championship | Indy Eleven | 1-0 HT 1-0 | San Antonio FC |
| 09/05/24 USA US Open Cup | Indy Eleven | 2-0 HT 2-0 | San Antonio FC |
| 15/10/23 USA USL Championship | San Antonio FC | 3-3 HT 1-2 | Indy Eleven |
| 28/08/22 USA USL Championship | Indy Eleven | 1-0 HT 1-0 | San Antonio FC |
| 11/10/15 USA NASL | Indy Eleven | 1-2 HT 0-1 | San Antonio FC |
| 13/09/15 USA NASL | San Antonio FC | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Indy Eleven |
Standings · USA USL Championship · USL Championship 2026, Western Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Orange County SC | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 27 | 19 | 31 |
| 2 | San Antonio FC | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 22 | 19 | 28 |
| 3 | Colorado Switchbacks FC | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 25 |
| 4 | New Mexico United | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 24 |
| 5 | Sacramento Republic | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 23 |
| 6 | Tulsa | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 16 | 23 |
| 7 | Lexington SC | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 20 | 22 |
| 8 | El Paso Locomotive FC | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 25 | 22 |
| 9 | Oakland Roots | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 27 | 21 |
| 10 | Phoenix Rising FC | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 23 | 24 | 21 |
| 11 | Las Vegas Lights FC | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 26 | 21 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay FC | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 27 | 15 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
San Antonio FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Brooklyn FC USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 19/07 | Las Vegas Lights FC USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 12/07 | Chattanooga Red Wolves USA USL Cup |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 05/07 | Monterey Bay FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 9 | D |
| 25/06 | Colorado Switchbacks FC USA USL Championship |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 14/06 | Lexington SC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 07/06 | Tulsa USA USL Cup |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 28/05 | Sporting JAX USA USL Championship |
0-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 24/05 | Sacramento Republic USA USL Championship |
2-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 9 | W |
| 17/05 | One Knoxville SC USA USL Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
Indy Eleven
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Loudoun United FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 19/07 | Detroit City FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 16/07 | Miami FC USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 04/07 | Charleston Battery USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 21/06 | Lexington SC USA USL Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 14/06 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 07/06 | Forward Madison FC USA USL Cup |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 31/05 | Rhode Island FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 24/05 | Lexington SC USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 17/05 | Fort Wayne FC USA USL Cup |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in San Antonio FC vs Indy Eleven?
According to our model, the most likely result is a San Antonio FC win (46%). Probabilities: San Antonio FC 46%, draw 28%, Indy Eleven 26%.
How many goals are expected in San Antonio FC vs Indy Eleven?
The model expects 2.34 goals (San Antonio FC 1.37 · Indy Eleven 0.97), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in San Antonio FC vs Indy Eleven?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.