Prediction: El Paso Locomotive FC vs Sporting JAX
| El Paso Locomotive FC | Draw | Sporting JAX | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 21% | 18% |
| Market | 61% | 22% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| El Paso Locomotive FC | Sporting JAX | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.5 | 1.8 / 2.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.6 | 1 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 40/0/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.7 | 1.1 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.4 | 3.5 / 0.1 |
Standings · USA USL Championship · USL Championship 2026, Western Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Orange County SC | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 25 | 18 | 28 |
| 2 | San Antonio FC | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 21 | 19 | 25 |
| 3 | New Mexico United | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 24 |
| 4 | Tulsa | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 16 | 22 |
| 5 | Oakland Roots | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 22 | 21 |
| 6 | Sacramento Republic | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 20 |
| 7 | Phoenix Rising FC | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 24 | 20 |
| 8 | Colorado Switchbacks FC | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 22 | 19 |
| 9 | El Paso Locomotive FC | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 19 |
| 10 | Las Vegas Lights FC | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 26 | 18 |
| 11 | Lexington SC | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 20 | 18 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay FC | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 25 | 15 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | El Paso Locomotive FC | Sporting JAX |
|---|---|---|
| Monterey Bay FC | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Detroit City FC | 1-1 D | 2-6 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 1 L | 0 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: El Paso Locomotive FC (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
El Paso Locomotive FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Tulsa USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 12/07 | New Mexico United USA USL Cup |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 05/07 | Las Vegas Lights FC USA USL Championship |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 21/06 | Monterey Bay FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 14/06 | Phoenix Rising FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 5 | D |
| 11/06 | Detroit City FC USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 07/06 | Colorado Switchbacks FC USA USL Cup |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 31/05 | Lexington SC USA USL Championship |
0-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 28/05 | Antelope Valley Alta USA USL Cup |
0-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 5 | W |
| 10/05 | Oakland Roots USA USL Championship |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
Sporting JAX
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Brooklyn FC USA USL Championship |
2-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 16/07 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 04/07 | Loudoun United FC USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 21/06 | Charleston Battery USA USL Championship |
1-3 | 2-5 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 14/06 | Detroit City FC USA USL Championship |
1-3 | 2-6 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 11/06 | Monterey Bay FC USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 07/06 | Tampa Bay Rowdies USA USL Cup |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 01/06 | Brooklyn FC USA USL Championship |
1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 28/05 | San Antonio FC USA USL Championship |
3-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 17/05 | FC Naples USA USL Cup |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in El Paso Locomotive FC vs Sporting JAX?
According to our model, the most likely result is a El Paso Locomotive FC win (61%). Probabilities: El Paso Locomotive FC 61%, draw 22%, Sporting JAX 17%.
How many goals are expected in El Paso Locomotive FC vs Sporting JAX?
The model expects 3.4 goals (El Paso Locomotive FC 2.25 · Sporting JAX 1.15), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in El Paso Locomotive FC vs Sporting JAX?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.