Football · USA USL Championship · 26/07, 01:00
Prediction: Indy Eleven vs Loudoun United FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.83Total
Indy Eleven1.81
Loudoun United FC1.02
1X2
Indy Eleven
Draw
Loudoun United FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Indy Eleven
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Loudoun United FC
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Indy Eleven
4–1–1
Loudoun United FC
(6 last)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Indy Eleven (rating 1519 vs 1455).
- H2H favours Indy Eleven: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Indy Eleven | Loudoun United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.9 | 1 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.3 | 0 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 0/30/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.6 / 6.4 | 1.5 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.2 | 4.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Indy Eleven 4–1–1 Loudoun United FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10/25 USA USL Championship | Indy Eleven | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Loudoun United FC |
| 17/08/25 USA USL Championship | Loudoun United FC | 3-2 HT 0-0 | Indy Eleven |
| 09/10/24 USA USL Championship | Loudoun United FC | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Indy Eleven |
| 14/07/24 USA USL Championship | Indy Eleven | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Loudoun United FC |
| 27/08/23 USA USL Championship | Indy Eleven | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Loudoun United FC |
| 07/05/23 USA USL Championship | Loudoun United FC | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Indy Eleven |
Standings · USA USL Championship · USL Championship 2026, Eastern Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 12 | 31 |
| 2 | Charleston Battery | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 30 | 21 | 26 |
| 3 | Detroit City FC | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 14 | 24 |
| 4 | Louisville City FC | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 24 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 18 | 23 |
| 6 | Miami FC | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 24 | 21 |
| 7 | Indy Eleven | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 21 |
| 8 | Hartford Athletic | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 19 |
| 9 | Rhode Island FC | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 18 | 16 |
| 10 | Birmingham Legion FC | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 19 | 14 |
| 11 | Brooklyn FC | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 24 | 12 |
| 12 | Loudoun United FC | 14 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 28 | 11 |
| 13 | Sporting JAX | 16 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 42 | 7 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Indy Eleven | Loudoun United FC |
|---|---|---|
| Detroit City FC | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Charleston Battery | 2-0 W | 1-4 L |
| Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Rhode Island FC | 1-0 W | 1-4 L |
| Sporting JAX | 2-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 2 L | 0 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Indy Eleven (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Indy Eleven
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Detroit City FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 16/07 | Miami FC USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 04/07 | Charleston Battery USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 21/06 | Lexington SC USA USL Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 14/06 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 07/06 | Forward Madison FC USA USL Cup |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 31/05 | Rhode Island FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 24/05 | Lexington SC USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 17/05 | Fort Wayne FC USA USL Cup |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 10/05 | Sporting JAX USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 4 | W |
Loudoun United FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Tampa Bay Rowdies USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 12/07 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds USA USL Cup |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 04/07 | Sporting JAX USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 25/06 | Charleston Battery USA USL Championship |
0-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 21/06 | Birmingham Legion FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 14/06 | Rhode Island FC USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 1-4 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 11/06 | Greenville Triumph SC USA USL Cup |
0-1 | 1-3 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 07/06 | Richmond Kickers USA USL Cup |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 31/05 | Monterey Bay FC USA USL Championship |
0-2 | 1-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | Detroit City FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 8 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Indy Eleven vs Loudoun United FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Indy Eleven win (55%). Probabilities: Indy Eleven 55%, draw 25%, Loudoun United FC 20%.
How many goals are expected in Indy Eleven vs Loudoun United FC?
The model expects 2.83 goals (Indy Eleven 1.81 · Loudoun United FC 1.02), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Indy Eleven vs Loudoun United FC?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.