Football · USA USL Championship · 20/08, 04:00
Prediction: Phoenix Rising FC vs Colorado Switchbacks FC
Team pages: Phoenix Rising FC · Colorado Switchbacks FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.87Total
Phoenix Rising FC1.28
Colorado Switchbacks FC1.58
1X2
Phoenix Rising FC
Draw
Colorado Switchbacks FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Phoenix Rising FC
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Colorado Switchbacks FC
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Phoenix Rising FC
2–1–3
Colorado Switchbacks FC
(6 last)
- Colorado Switchbacks FC3-1Phoenix Rising FC
- Phoenix Rising FC0-1Colorado Switchbacks FC
- Phoenix Rising FC4-1Colorado Switchbacks FC
- Colorado Switchbacks FC1-1Phoenix Rising FC
- Colorado Switchbacks FC2-0Phoenix Rising FC
- Phoenix Rising FC1-0Colorado Switchbacks FC
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Colorado Switchbacks FC (rating 1443 vs 1543).
- H2H favours Colorado Switchbacks FC: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 13.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Phoenix Rising FC | Colorado Switchbacks FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 2 | 1.7 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.6 | 0.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/80/20% | 0/90/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 6.3 | 3.4 / 7.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.2 | 4.3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Phoenix Rising FC 2–1–3 Colorado Switchbacks FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07/26 USA USL Championship | Colorado Switchbacks FC | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Phoenix Rising FC |
| 26/04/26 USA USL Cup | Phoenix Rising FC | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Colorado Switchbacks FC |
| 24/08/25 USA USL Championship | Phoenix Rising FC | 4-1 HT 3-1 | Colorado Switchbacks FC |
| 04/05/25 USA USL Championship | Colorado Switchbacks FC | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Phoenix Rising FC |
| 04/08/24 USA USL Championship | Colorado Switchbacks FC | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Phoenix Rising FC |
| 14/04/24 USA USL Championship | Phoenix Rising FC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Colorado Switchbacks FC |
Standings · USA USL Championship · USL Championship 2026, Western Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Orange County SC | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 31 | 25 | 34 |
| 2 | New Mexico United | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 17 | 33 |
| 3 | San Antonio FC | 20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 26 | 24 | 32 |
| 4 | El Paso Locomotive FC | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 27 | 31 |
| 5 | Sacramento Republic | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 16 | 30 |
| 6 | Tulsa | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 18 | 29 |
| 7 | Las Vegas Lights FC | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 29 |
| 8 | Lexington SC | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 28 | 23 | 28 |
| 9 | Colorado Switchbacks FC | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 31 | 28 | 28 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 26 | 30 | 23 |
| 11 | Phoenix Rising FC | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 26 | 22 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay FC | 21 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 22 | 37 | 16 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Phoenix Rising FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Lexington SC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 02/08 | Las Vegas Lights FC USA USL Championship |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 26/07 | Hartford Athletic USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 19/07 | Monterey Bay FC USA USL Championship |
1-1 | 3-2 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 12/07 | Antelope Valley Alta USA USL Cup |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 05/07 | Colorado Switchbacks FC USA USL Championship |
1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 21/06 | Oakland Roots USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 7 | L |
| 14/06 | El Paso Locomotive FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 11/06 | Louisville City FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 07/06 | New Mexico United USA USL Cup |
0-1 | 0-4 | 8 | 1 | L |
Colorado Switchbacks FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Birmingham Legion FC USA USL Championship |
1-1 | 3-2 | 12 | 5 | W |
| 13/08 | Spokane Velocity FC USA USL Cup |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 09/08 | Rhode Island FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 02/08 | New Mexico United USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 14 | 4 | L |
| 26/07 | Charleston Battery USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 23/07 | Miami FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 12/07 | Orange County SC USA USL Cup |
0-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 05/07 | Phoenix Rising FC USA USL Championship |
1-1 | 3-1 | 14 | 2 | W |
| 25/06 | San Antonio FC USA USL Championship |
1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 8 | L |
| 21/06 | Tulsa USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Phoenix Rising FC vs Colorado Switchbacks FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Colorado Switchbacks FC win (43%). Probabilities: Phoenix Rising FC 30%, draw 27%, Colorado Switchbacks FC 43%.
How many goals are expected in Phoenix Rising FC vs Colorado Switchbacks FC?
The model expects 2.87 goals (Phoenix Rising FC 1.28 · Colorado Switchbacks FC 1.58), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Phoenix Rising FC vs Colorado Switchbacks FC?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.