Football · USA USL Championship · 30/08, 02:30

Prediction: Tulsa vs Rhode Island FC

Team pages: Tulsa · Rhode Island FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.36Total

Tulsa1.3

Rhode Island FC1.06

1X2

41% 30% 29%

Tulsa Draw Rhode Island FC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Tulsa 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LWLWDWWLLW

Rhode Island FC 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LWDLWWLWLW

Head-to-head

Tulsa 0–1 Rhode Island FC (1 last)

Rhode Island FC2-1Tulsa

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Tulsa	Rhode Island FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1	1.3 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.3	0.4 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	20/70/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 3.6	3.7 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0	4.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.83

Under 2.251.95

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:24

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.86 → 2.86	Pinn 2.86
X	3.21 → 3.21	Pinn 3.21
2	2.47 → 2.47	Pinn 2.47

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.6%

Time*	1	X	2
00:24	2.86	3.21	2.47

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Tulsa 0–0–1 Rhode Island FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/09/24 USA USL Championship	Rhode Island FC	2-1 HT 0-1	Tulsa

Standings · USA USL Championship · USL Championship 2026, Western Conference

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	New Mexico United	18	10	4	4	26	17	34
2	Orange County SC	21	9	7	5	32	30	34
3	El Paso Locomotive FC	21	10	4	7	33	27	34
4	Tulsa	20	9	5	6	25	19	32
5	San Antonio FC	21	8	8	5	26	25	32
6	Sacramento Republic	20	8	7	5	27	18	31
7	Lexington SC	20	9	4	7	30	23	31
8	Las Vegas Lights FC	21	8	5	8	28	30	29
9	Colorado Switchbacks FC	21	8	4	9	32	32	28
10	Oakland Roots	22	6	8	8	27	30	26
11	Phoenix Rising FC	21	6	8	7	29	29	26
12	Monterey Bay FC	22	4	4	14	23	40	16

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Tulsa	Rhode Island FC
Orange County SC	5-1 W	1-1 D
Sacramento Republic	1-0 W	1-2 L
Pittsburgh Riverhounds	1-0 W	1-0 W
Colorado Switchbacks FC	1-2 L	2-0 W
Monterey Bay FC	2-0 W	3-1 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 1 L	3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Tulsa (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tulsa

LWLWDWWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	Orange County SC USA USL Championship	2-0	5-1	4	6	W
16/08	New Mexico United USA USL Championship	0-0	0-1	1	1	L
09/08	Detroit City FC USA USL Championship	0-0	0-1	6	4	L
06/08	Sacramento Republic USA USL Championship	0-0	1-0	4	3	W
30/07	Pittsburgh Riverhounds USA USL Championship	1-0	1-0	4	1	W
26/07	Lexington SC USA USL Championship	0-0	0-0	6	10	D
19/07	El Paso Locomotive FC USA USL Championship	1-0	1-0	5	5	W
21/06	Colorado Switchbacks FC USA USL Championship	1-0	1-2	0	4	L
18/06	Monterey Bay FC USA USL Championship	1-0	2-0	2	5	W
14/06	Charleston Battery USA USL Championship	1-3	1-5	4	4	L

Rhode Island FC

LWDLWWLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	Monterey Bay FC USA USL Championship	1-1	3-1	9	8	W
16/08	Tampa Bay Rowdies USA USL Championship	0-0	0-2	3	4	L
09/08	Colorado Switchbacks FC USA USL Championship	0-0	2-0	2	8	W
03/08	Birmingham Legion FC USA USL Championship	0-0	0-1	13	3	L
26/07	Pittsburgh Riverhounds USA USL Championship	0-0	1-0	4	2	W
19/07	Hartford Athletic USA USL Championship	1-0	1-0	9	5	W
09/07	Sacramento Republic USA USL Championship	1-2	1-2	3	2	L
05/07	Orange County SC USA USL Championship	0-0	1-1	10	5	D
14/06	Loudoun United FC USA USL Championship	1-0	4-1	3	5	W
31/05	Indy Eleven USA USL Championship	0-0	0-1	6	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tulsa vs Rhode Island FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Tulsa win (41%). Probabilities: Tulsa 41%, draw 30%, Rhode Island FC 29%.

How many goals are expected in Tulsa vs Rhode Island FC?

The model expects 2.36 goals (Tulsa 1.3 · Rhode Island FC 1.06), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Tulsa vs Rhode Island FC?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.