Football · USA USL Championship · 30/08, 02:00
Prediction: Oakland Roots vs Orange County SC
Team pages: Oakland Roots · Orange County SC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.93Total
Oakland Roots1.44
Orange County SC1.48
1X2
Oakland Roots
Draw
Orange County SC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Oakland Roots
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Orange County SC
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Oakland Roots
2–4
Orange County SC
(6 last)
- Orange County SC3-2Oakland Roots
- Oakland Roots0-1Orange County SC
- Oakland Roots0-1Orange County SC
- Oakland Roots2-0Orange County SC
- Orange County SC4-2Oakland Roots
- Orange County SC0-2Oakland Roots
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Orange County SC (rating 1435 vs 1496).
- H2H favours Orange County SC: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Oakland Roots | Orange County SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.4 | 1.8 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5.9 | 2 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.2 | 3.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Oakland Roots 2–0–4 Orange County SC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05/26 USA USL Championship | Orange County SC | 3-2 HT 1-1 | Oakland Roots |
| 29/03/26 USA USL Championship | Oakland Roots | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Orange County SC |
| 26/07/25 USA USL Cup | Oakland Roots | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Orange County SC |
| 19/04/25 USA USL Championship | Oakland Roots | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Orange County SC |
| 09/03/25 USA USL Championship | Orange County SC | 4-2 HT 1-0 | Oakland Roots |
| 30/06/24 USA USL Championship | Orange County SC | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Oakland Roots |
Standings · USA USL Championship · USL Championship 2026, Western Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New Mexico United | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 17 | 34 |
| 2 | Orange County SC | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 32 | 30 | 34 |
| 3 | El Paso Locomotive FC | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 33 | 27 | 34 |
| 4 | Tulsa | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 19 | 32 |
| 5 | San Antonio FC | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 26 | 25 | 32 |
| 6 | Sacramento Republic | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 27 | 18 | 31 |
| 7 | Lexington SC | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 23 | 31 |
| 8 | Las Vegas Lights FC | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 30 | 29 |
| 9 | Colorado Switchbacks FC | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 32 | 28 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 27 | 30 | 26 |
| 11 | Phoenix Rising FC | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 29 | 29 | 26 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay FC | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 23 | 40 | 16 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Oakland Roots | Orange County SC |
|---|---|---|
| Monterey Bay FC | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| El Paso Locomotive FC | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| Las Vegas Lights FC | 0-0 D | 3-2 W |
| New Mexico United | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 2 L | 3 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Orange County SC (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Oakland Roots
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | San Antonio FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 16/08 | Monterey Bay FC USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 5 | D |
| 09/08 | El Paso Locomotive FC USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 06/08 | Las Vegas Lights FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 02/08 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 26/07 | Sacramento Republic USA USL Championship |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 23/07 | Lexington SC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 05/07 | New Mexico United USA USL Championship |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 21/06 | Phoenix Rising FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 4-3 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 17/06 | Birmingham Legion FC USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 6 | D |
Orange County SC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Tulsa USA USL Championship |
0-2 | 1-5 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 16/08 | Louisville City FC USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 09/08 | Tampa Bay Rowdies USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 02/08 | El Paso Locomotive FC USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 26/07 | Monterey Bay FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 09/07 | Hartford Athletic USA USL Championship |
2-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 05/07 | Rhode Island FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 25/06 | Miami FC USA USL Championship |
1-1 | 4-2 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 21/06 | Las Vegas Lights FC USA USL Championship |
1-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 14/06 | New Mexico United USA USL Championship |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Oakland Roots vs Orange County SC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Orange County SC win (37%). Probabilities: Oakland Roots 36%, draw 27%, Orange County SC 37%.
How many goals are expected in Oakland Roots vs Orange County SC?
The model expects 2.93 goals (Oakland Roots 1.44 · Orange County SC 1.48), with a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Oakland Roots vs Orange County SC?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.