Football · USA USL Championship · 30/08, 02:00

Prediction: Louisville City FC vs Detroit City FC

Team pages: Louisville City FC · Detroit City FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.42Total

Louisville City FC1.26

Detroit City FC1.16

1X2

38% 30% 32%

Louisville City FC Draw Detroit City FC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Louisville City FC 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

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Detroit City FC 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

LDWWWLDWDW

Head-to-head

Louisville City FC 2–1–3 Detroit City FC (6 last)

Detroit City FC0-0Louisville City FC
Detroit City FC2-1Louisville City FC
Louisville City FC0-1Detroit City FC
Detroit City FC0-1Louisville City FC
Louisville City FC2-0Detroit City FC
Detroit City FC2-1Louisville City FC

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Detroit City FC: 3-1-2.
High corners: 12 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Louisville City FC	Detroit City FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.7	1.5 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.4	0.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.6 / 6.7	2.1 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0	6 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.94

Under 2.51.85

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:23

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.86 → 1.86	Pinn 1.86
X	3.59 → 3.59	Pinn 3.59
2	3.95 → 3.95	Pinn 3.95

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.9%

Time*	1	X	2
00:23 +1’	1.86	3.59	3.95

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Louisville City FC 2–1–3 Detroit City FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/06/26 USA USL Cup	Detroit City FC	0-0 HT 0-0	Louisville City FC
03/05/26 USA USL Championship	Detroit City FC	2-1 HT 1-1	Louisville City FC
02/11/25 USA USL Championship	Louisville City FC	0-1 HT 0-1	Detroit City FC
28/09/25 USA USL Championship	Detroit City FC	0-1 HT 0-1	Louisville City FC
29/03/25 USA USL Championship	Louisville City FC	2-0 HT 1-0	Detroit City FC
22/09/24 USA USL Championship	Detroit City FC	2-1 HT 1-1	Louisville City FC

Standings · USA USL Championship · USL Championship 2026, Eastern Conference

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tampa Bay Rowdies	21	13	5	3	38	20	44
2	Detroit City FC	20	10	5	5	27	17	35
3	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	21	10	3	8	24	21	33
4	Charleston Battery	20	10	3	7	39	27	33
5	Louisville City FC	21	9	4	8	37	36	31
6	Indy Eleven	19	8	4	7	23	22	28
7	Rhode Island FC	19	8	4	7	30	22	28
8	Hartford Athletic	19	5	9	5	15	18	24
9	Miami FC	21	5	7	9	25	34	22
10	Loudoun United FC	20	3	11	6	21	30	20
11	Birmingham Legion FC	19	3	8	8	22	27	17
12	Brooklyn FC	19	3	4	12	18	35	13
13	Sporting JAX	21	2	5	14	26	54	11

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Louisville City FC	Detroit City FC
Indy Eleven	1-2 L	2-0 W
Tampa Bay Rowdies	4-5 L	1-0 W
Birmingham Legion FC	2-1 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Detroit City FC (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Louisville City FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	Indy Eleven USA USL Championship	0-1	1-2	11	1	L
16/08	Orange County SC USA USL Championship	1-0	3-2	4	1	W
09/08	San Antonio FC USA USL Championship	1-0	1-1	2	3	D
02/08	Tampa Bay Rowdies USA USL Championship	3-0	4-5	2	1	L
30/07	Birmingham Legion FC USA USL Championship	1-1	2-1	10	7	W
18/07	Pittsburgh Riverhounds USA USL Championship	0-0	1-3	7	4	L
05/07	Hartford Athletic USA USL Championship	0-0	1-0	7	4	W
14/06	Brooklyn FC USA USL Championship	1-1	2-2	14	4	D
11/06	Phoenix Rising FC USA USL Championship	0-0	2-0	4	6	W
04/06	Birmingham Legion FC USA USL Championship	1-1	1-1	6	6	D

Detroit City FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	Tampa Bay Rowdies USA USL Championship	1-0	1-0	3	5	W
16/08	Loudoun United FC USA USL Championship	0-0	0-0	8	3	D
09/08	Tulsa USA USL Championship	0-0	1-0	0	4	W
02/08	Miami FC USA USL Championship	1-0	2-2	4	9	D
26/07	Las Vegas Lights FC USA USL Championship	0-1	0-1	8	7	L
19/07	Indy Eleven USA USL Championship	0-0	2-0	5	7	W
03/07	Birmingham Legion FC USA USL Championship	1-1	2-1	6	8	W
14/06	Sporting JAX USA USL Championship	3-1	6-2	3	6	W
11/06	El Paso Locomotive FC USA USL Championship	0-1	1-1	10	4	D
31/05	Charleston Battery USA USL Championship	0-2	0-2	6	7	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Louisville City FC vs Detroit City FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Louisville City FC win (38%). Probabilities: Louisville City FC 38%, draw 30%, Detroit City FC 32%.

How many goals are expected in Louisville City FC vs Detroit City FC?

The model expects 2.42 goals (Louisville City FC 1.26 · Detroit City FC 1.16), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Louisville City FC vs Detroit City FC?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.