Football · USA USL Championship · 13/09, 01:00
Prediction: Hartford Athletic vs Tampa Bay Rowdies
Team pages: Hartford Athletic · Tampa Bay Rowdies
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.58Total
Hartford Athletic1.41
Tampa Bay Rowdies1.17
1X2
Hartford Athletic
Draw
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Hartford Athletic
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Tampa Bay Rowdies
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Hartford Athletic
1–1–4
Tampa Bay Rowdies
(6 last)
- Tampa Bay Rowdies0-1Hartford Athletic
- Tampa Bay Rowdies3-2Hartford Athletic
- Hartford Athletic0-1Tampa Bay Rowdies
- Tampa Bay Rowdies2-2Hartford Athletic
- Hartford Athletic0-1Tampa Bay Rowdies
- Hartford Athletic0-2Tampa Bay Rowdies
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Tampa Bay Rowdies: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hartford Athletic | Tampa Bay Rowdies | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.2 | 1.9 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.9 | 0.7 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/50/50% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.1 | 2.6 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.1 | 4.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hartford Athletic 1–1–4 Tampa Bay Rowdies
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06/26 USA USL Championship | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Hartford Athletic |
| 19/10/25 USA USL Championship | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 3-2 HT 2-1 | Hartford Athletic |
| 17/07/25 USA USL Championship | Hartford Athletic | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Tampa Bay Rowdies |
| 24/10/24 USA USL Championship | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 2-2 HT 1-2 | Hartford Athletic |
| 22/06/24 USA USL Championship | Hartford Athletic | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Tampa Bay Rowdies |
| 28/09/23 USA USL Championship | Hartford Athletic | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Tampa Bay Rowdies |
Standings · USA USL Championship · USL Championship 2026, Eastern Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 40 | 20 | 48 |
| 2 | Charleston Battery | 23 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 47 | 29 | 39 |
| 3 | Detroit City FC | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 28 | 18 | 37 |
| 4 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 27 | 25 | 35 |
| 5 | Louisville City FC | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 38 | 37 | 33 |
| 6 | Hartford Athletic | 22 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 21 | 22 | 31 |
| 7 | Indy Eleven | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 26 | 29 |
| 8 | Rhode Island FC | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 31 | 24 | 29 |
| 9 | Miami FC | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 27 | 41 | 23 |
| 10 | Loudoun United FC | 22 | 3 | 11 | 8 | 26 | 39 | 20 |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion FC | 21 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 26 | 32 | 18 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 21 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 22 | 38 | 16 |
| 13 | Sporting JAX | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 30 | 60 | 14 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Hartford Athletic | Tampa Bay Rowdies |
|---|---|---|
| Detroit City FC | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Miami FC | 2-1 W | 3-2 W |
| Loudoun United FC | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Rhode Island FC | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| Orange County SC | 2-2 D | 3-0 W |
| Louisville City FC | 0-1 L | 5-4 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 3 L | 4 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Tampa Bay Rowdies (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hartford Athletic
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Detroit City FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 03/09 | Charleston Battery USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 30/08 | Birmingham Legion FC USA USL Championship |
2-2 | 3-2 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 16/08 | Miami FC USA USL Championship |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 09/08 | Indy Eleven USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 02/08 | Loudoun United FC USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 26/07 | Phoenix Rising FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 19/07 | Rhode Island FC USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 09/07 | Orange County SC USA USL Championship |
0-2 | 2-2 | 17 | 3 | D |
| 05/07 | Louisville City FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
Tampa Bay Rowdies
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Brooklyn FC USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 29/08 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 23/08 | Detroit City FC USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 16/08 | Rhode Island FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 09/08 | Orange County SC USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 02/08 | Louisville City FC USA USL Championship |
0-3 | 5-4 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 26/07 | Miami FC USA USL Championship |
2-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 10 | W |
| 19/07 | Loudoun United FC USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 05/07 | Lexington SC USA USL Championship |
0-3 | 1-4 | 12 | 3 | L |
| 21/06 | Brooklyn FC USA USL Championship |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hartford Athletic vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Hartford Athletic win (41%). Probabilities: Hartford Athletic 41%, draw 29%, Tampa Bay Rowdies 30%.
How many goals are expected in Hartford Athletic vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
The model expects 2.58 goals (Hartford Athletic 1.41 · Tampa Bay Rowdies 1.17), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Hartford Athletic vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.