Football · USA USL Championship · 20/09, 23:00
Prediction: Indy Eleven vs Oakland Roots
Team pages: Indy Eleven · Oakland Roots
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.77Total
Indy Eleven1.63
Oakland Roots1.14
1X2
Indy Eleven
Draw
Oakland Roots
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Indy Eleven
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Oakland Roots
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Indy Eleven
0–2
Oakland Roots
(2 last)
- Oakland Roots2-1Indy Eleven
- Indy Eleven0-3Oakland Roots
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Indy Eleven 1494 · Oakland Roots 1424
| Indy Eleven | Draw | Oakland Roots | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 27% | 25% |
| Market | 49% | 25% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.77 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Indy Eleven (rating 1494 vs 1424).
- H2H favours Oakland Roots: 2-0-0.
- High corners: 12 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Indy Eleven | Oakland Roots | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.4 | 0.6 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.6 | 0.3 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.9 | 3.2 / 7.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.1 | 3.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Indy Eleven 0–0–2 Oakland Roots
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/03/24 USA USL Championship | Oakland Roots | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Indy Eleven |
| 09/04/23 USA USL Championship | Indy Eleven | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Oakland Roots |
Standings · USA USL Championship · USL Championship 2026, Western Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Paso Locomotive FC | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 44 | 31 | 46 |
| 2 | New Mexico United | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 37 | 27 | 43 |
| 3 | Colorado Switchbacks FC | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 40 | 37 | 38 |
| 4 | Lexington SC | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 43 | 30 | 37 |
| 5 | Tulsa | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 29 | 23 | 37 |
| 6 | Orange County SC | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 34 | 40 | 36 |
| 7 | Sacramento Republic | 23 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 30 | 20 | 36 |
| 8 | San Antonio FC | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 29 | 28 | 36 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights FC | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 32 | 35 | 33 |
| 10 | Phoenix Rising FC | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 35 | 35 | 33 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 29 | 35 | 27 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay FC | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | 43 | 18 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Indy Eleven | Oakland Roots |
|---|---|---|
| New Mexico United | 2-2 D | 1-2 L |
| San Antonio FC | 1-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Indy Eleven
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Brooklyn FC USA USL Championship |
3-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 12/09 | New Mexico United USA USL Championship |
0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 06/09 | Birmingham Legion FC USA USL Championship |
1-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 30/08 | Phoenix Rising FC USA USL Championship |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 23/08 | Louisville City FC USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 16/08 | Sporting JAX USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 09/08 | Hartford Athletic USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 01/08 | San Antonio FC USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 26/07 | Loudoun United FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 19/07 | Detroit City FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
Oakland Roots
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Lexington SC USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 1-4 | 11 | 2 | L |
| 30/08 | Orange County SC USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 1-1 | 13 | 5 | D |
| 23/08 | San Antonio FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 16/08 | Monterey Bay FC USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 5 | D |
| 09/08 | El Paso Locomotive FC USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 06/08 | Las Vegas Lights FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 02/08 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 26/07 | Sacramento Republic USA USL Championship |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 23/07 | Lexington SC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 05/07 | New Mexico United USA USL Championship |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Indy Eleven vs Oakland Roots?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Indy Eleven win (48%). Probabilities: Indy Eleven 48%, draw 26%, Oakland Roots 26%.
How many goals are expected in Indy Eleven vs Oakland Roots?
The model expects 2.77 goals (Indy Eleven 1.63 · Oakland Roots 1.14), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Indy Eleven vs Oakland Roots?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.