Football · USA USL Championship · 20/09, 04:00

Prediction: Phoenix Rising FC vs El Paso Locomotive FC

Team pages: Phoenix Rising FC · El Paso Locomotive FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.48Total

Phoenix Rising FC1.33

El Paso Locomotive FC1.15

1X2

40% 30% 31%

Phoenix Rising FC Draw El Paso Locomotive FC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Phoenix Rising FC 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

LWDDLWDWDW

El Paso Locomotive FC 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

LWLWWWWWWW

Head-to-head

Phoenix Rising FC 2–4–0 El Paso Locomotive FC (6 last)

El Paso Locomotive FC1-1Phoenix Rising FC
El Paso Locomotive FC0-1Phoenix Rising FC
Phoenix Rising FC3-3El Paso Locomotive FC
El Paso Locomotive FC2-2Phoenix Rising FC
El Paso Locomotive FC4-4Phoenix Rising FC
Phoenix Rising FC2-0El Paso Locomotive FC

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Phoenix Rising FC: 2-4-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Phoenix Rising FC	El Paso Locomotive FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.3	1.6 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.7	1.1 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/70/10%	60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 3.8	3 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0.1	3.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:22

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.34 → 2.34	Pinn 2.34
X	4.39 → 4.39	Pinn 4.39
2	2.43 → 2.43	Pinn 2.43

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.7%

Time*	1	X	2
20:22 +240’	2.34	4.39	2.43

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Phoenix Rising FC 2–4–0 El Paso Locomotive FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/06/26 USA USL Championship	El Paso Locomotive FC	1-1 HT 0-0	Phoenix Rising FC
02/11/25 USA USL Championship	El Paso Locomotive FC	0-1 HT 0-0	Phoenix Rising FC
31/08/25 USA USL Championship	Phoenix Rising FC	3-3 HT 1-0	El Paso Locomotive FC
20/07/25 USA USL Cup	El Paso Locomotive FC	2-2 HT 2-1	Phoenix Rising FC
16/03/25 USA USL Championship	El Paso Locomotive FC	4-4 HT 2-1	Phoenix Rising FC
20/07/24 USA USL Championship	Phoenix Rising FC	2-0 HT 1-0	El Paso Locomotive FC

Standings · USA USL Championship · USL Championship 2026, Western Conference

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	El Paso Locomotive FC	24	13	4	7	41	30	43
2	New Mexico United	22	12	5	5	33	23	41
3	Colorado Switchbacks FC	24	11	4	9	40	37	37
4	Tulsa	23	10	6	7	27	21	36
5	Sacramento Republic	23	9	9	5	30	20	36
6	Orange County SC	24	9	9	6	34	34	36
7	San Antonio FC	24	9	9	6	29	28	36
8	Lexington SC	24	10	4	10	37	30	34
9	Phoenix Rising FC	24	8	9	7	34	32	33
10	Las Vegas Lights FC	24	9	5	10	31	34	32
11	Oakland Roots	24	6	9	9	29	35	27
12	Monterey Bay FC	24	4	6	14	25	42	18

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Phoenix Rising FC	El Paso Locomotive FC
Tulsa	2-1 W	0-1 L
Monterey Bay FC	1-1 D	1-0 W
Colorado Switchbacks FC	3-1 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 0 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Phoenix Rising FC (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Phoenix Rising FC

LWDDLWDWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Tulsa USA USL Championship	1-0	2-1	1	2	W
06/09	Monterey Bay FC USA USL Championship	0-0	1-1	2	2	D
30/08	Indy Eleven USA USL Championship	2-1	2-1	2	5	W
23/08	Sacramento Republic USA USL Championship	1-2	2-2	2	3	D
20/08	Colorado Switchbacks FC USA USL Championship	1-1	3-1	2	4	W
09/08	Lexington SC USA USL Championship	0-0	0-1	7	2	L
02/08	Las Vegas Lights FC USA USL Championship	1-1	1-1	5	4	D
26/07	Hartford Athletic USA USL Championship	0-0	0-0	6	0	D
19/07	Monterey Bay FC USA USL Championship	1-1	3-2	9	4	W
05/07	Colorado Switchbacks FC USA USL Championship	1-1	1-3	2	2	L

El Paso Locomotive FC

LWLWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Louisville City FC USA USL Championship	2-0	2-1	2	4	W
30/08	Loudoun United FC USA USL Championship	3-1	4-1	7	2	W
27/08	Pittsburgh Riverhounds USA USL Championship	0-0	2-1	3	1	W
23/08	Colorado Switchbacks FC USA USL Championship	0-0	1-0	3	4	W
16/08	San Antonio FC USA USL Championship	3-0	3-0	4	6	W
09/08	Oakland Roots USA USL Championship	1-0	1-0	4	1	W
06/08	Monterey Bay FC USA USL Championship	1-0	1-0	6	5	W
02/08	Orange County SC USA USL Championship	0-1	0-2	13	1	L
26/07	Sporting JAX USA USL Championship	1-0	2-0	8	6	W
19/07	Tulsa USA USL Championship	0-1	0-1	4	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Phoenix Rising FC vs El Paso Locomotive FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Phoenix Rising FC win (40%). Probabilities: Phoenix Rising FC 40%, draw 30%, El Paso Locomotive FC 31%.

How many goals are expected in Phoenix Rising FC vs El Paso Locomotive FC?

The model expects 2.48 goals (Phoenix Rising FC 1.33 · El Paso Locomotive FC 1.15), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Phoenix Rising FC vs El Paso Locomotive FC?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.