Football · USA USL Championship · 20/09, 01:30
Prediction: Rhode Island FC vs Miami FC
Team pages: Rhode Island FC · Miami FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.64Total
Rhode Island FC1.79
Miami FC0.86
1X2
Rhode Island FC
Draw
Miami FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Rhode Island FC
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Miami FC
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Rhode Island FC
3–2
Miami FC
(5 last)
- Miami FC2-1Rhode Island FC
- Miami FC0-1Rhode Island FC
- Rhode Island FC0-1Miami FC
- Rhode Island FC8-1Miami FC
- Miami FC2-3Rhode Island FC
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rhode Island FC (rating 1522 vs 1438).
- H2H favours Rhode Island FC: 3-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Rhode Island FC | Miami FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.8 | 1.1 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.5 | 0.5 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.6 / 6.1 | 0.7 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0 | 5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Rhode Island FC 3–0–2 Miami FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/26 USA USL Championship | Miami FC | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Rhode Island FC |
| 20/09/25 USA USL Championship | Miami FC | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Rhode Island FC |
| 08/06/25 USA USL Championship | Rhode Island FC | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Miami FC |
| 27/10/24 USA USL Championship | Rhode Island FC | 8-1 HT 5-1 | Miami FC |
| 14/07/24 USA USL Championship | Miami FC | 2-3 HT 0-2 | Rhode Island FC |
Standings · USA USL Championship · USL Championship 2026, Eastern Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 24 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 41 | 23 | 48 |
| 2 | Charleston Battery | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 49 | 31 | 40 |
| 3 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 28 | 25 | 38 |
| 4 | Detroit City FC | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 28 | 19 | 37 |
| 5 | Hartford Athletic | 23 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 34 |
| 6 | Louisville City FC | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 39 | 39 | 33 |
| 7 | Rhode Island FC | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 34 | 24 | 32 |
| 8 | Indy Eleven | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 28 | 30 |
| 9 | Miami FC | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 28 | 42 | 24 |
| 10 | Loudoun United FC | 23 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 26 | 40 | 20 |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion FC | 22 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 28 | 34 | 19 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 39 | 17 |
| 13 | Sporting JAX | 24 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 30 | 63 | 14 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Rhode Island FC | Miami FC |
|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Rowdies | 0-2 L | 2-3 L |
| Colorado Switchbacks FC | 2-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Birmingham Legion FC | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 1-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Hartford Athletic | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 2 L | 0 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Rhode Island FC (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rhode Island FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Sporting JAX USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 06/09 | Louisville City FC USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 30/08 | Tulsa USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 23/08 | Monterey Bay FC USA USL Championship |
1-1 | 3-1 | 9 | 8 | W |
| 16/08 | Tampa Bay Rowdies USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 09/08 | Colorado Switchbacks FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 03/08 | Birmingham Legion FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 13 | 3 | L |
| 26/07 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 19/07 | Hartford Athletic USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 09/07 | Sacramento Republic USA USL Championship |
1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
Miami FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Brooklyn FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 06/09 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds USA USL Championship |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 25/08 | Charleston Battery USA USL Championship |
0-2 | 0-5 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 16/08 | Hartford Athletic USA USL Championship |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 09/08 | Las Vegas Lights FC USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 02/08 | Detroit City FC USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 9 | D |
| 26/07 | Tampa Bay Rowdies USA USL Championship |
1-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 10 | L |
| 23/07 | Colorado Switchbacks FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 16/07 | Indy Eleven USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 06/07 | Birmingham Legion FC USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rhode Island FC vs Miami FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Rhode Island FC win (58%). Probabilities: Rhode Island FC 58%, draw 25%, Miami FC 17%.
How many goals are expected in Rhode Island FC vs Miami FC?
The model expects 2.64 goals (Rhode Island FC 1.79 · Miami FC 0.86), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Rhode Island FC vs Miami FC?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.