Football · USA USL Championship · 13/09, 04:00
Prediction: Oakland Roots vs Lexington SC
Team pages: Oakland Roots · Lexington SC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.66Total
Oakland Roots1.45
Lexington SC1.21
1X2
Oakland Roots
Draw
Lexington SC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Oakland Roots
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Lexington SC
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Oakland Roots
1–2
Lexington SC
(3 last)
- Lexington SC2-0Oakland Roots
- Oakland Roots3-0Lexington SC
- Lexington SC2-1Oakland Roots
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Lexington SC: 2-0-1.
- High corners: 12.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Oakland Roots | Lexington SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.4 | 1.2 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.5 | 0.2 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 0/80/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 6.2 | 2.9 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.2 | 4.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Oakland Roots 1–0–2 Lexington SC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07/26 USA USL Championship | Lexington SC | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Oakland Roots |
| 26/10/25 USA USL Championship | Oakland Roots | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Lexington SC |
| 24/08/25 USA USL Championship | Lexington SC | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Oakland Roots |
Standings · USA USL Championship · USL Championship 2026, Western Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Paso Locomotive FC | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 39 | 29 | 40 |
| 2 | New Mexico United | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 31 | 21 | 40 |
| 3 | Orange County SC | 23 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 34 | 32 | 36 |
| 4 | Tulsa | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 26 | 19 | 36 |
| 5 | San Antonio FC | 23 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 28 | 26 | 36 |
| 6 | Colorado Switchbacks FC | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 38 | 36 | 34 |
| 7 | Sacramento Republic | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 29 | 20 | 33 |
| 8 | Lexington SC | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 33 | 29 | 31 |
| 9 | Phoenix Rising FC | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 30 |
| 10 | Las Vegas Lights FC | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 29 | 34 | 29 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 28 | 31 | 27 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay FC | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 25 | 42 | 18 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Oakland Roots | Lexington SC |
|---|---|---|
| Monterey Bay FC | 1-1 D | 3-2 W |
| Las Vegas Lights FC | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Sacramento Republic | 1-3 L | 0-1 L |
| New Mexico United | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Phoenix Rising FC | 4-3 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 2 L | 3 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Lexington SC (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Oakland Roots
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Orange County SC USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 1-1 | 13 | 5 | D |
| 23/08 | San Antonio FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 16/08 | Monterey Bay FC USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 5 | D |
| 09/08 | El Paso Locomotive FC USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 06/08 | Las Vegas Lights FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 02/08 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 26/07 | Sacramento Republic USA USL Championship |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 23/07 | Lexington SC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 05/07 | New Mexico United USA USL Championship |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 21/06 | Phoenix Rising FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 4-3 | 2 | 7 | W |
Lexington SC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Sporting JAX USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 2-3 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 30/08 | Colorado Switchbacks FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 27/08 | New Mexico United USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 23/08 | Las Vegas Lights FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 16/08 | Sacramento Republic USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 09/08 | Phoenix Rising FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 02/08 | Monterey Bay FC USA USL Championship |
2-2 | 3-2 | 11 | 4 | W |
| 26/07 | Tulsa USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 10 | D |
| 23/07 | Oakland Roots USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 16/07 | New Mexico United USA USL Championship |
0-2 | 1-4 | 4 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Oakland Roots vs Lexington SC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Oakland Roots win (41%). Probabilities: Oakland Roots 41%, draw 28%, Lexington SC 30%.
How many goals are expected in Oakland Roots vs Lexington SC?
The model expects 2.66 goals (Oakland Roots 1.45 · Lexington SC 1.21), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Oakland Roots vs Lexington SC?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.