Football · USA USL Championship · 13/09, 04:00

Prediction: Phoenix Rising FC vs Tulsa

Team pages: Phoenix Rising FC · Tulsa

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.31Total

Phoenix Rising FC1.26

Tulsa1.04

1X2

40% 31% 29%

Phoenix Rising FC Draw Tulsa

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Phoenix Rising FC 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

LLWDDLWDWD

Tulsa 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LWDWWLLWWD

Head-to-head

Phoenix Rising FC 1–4–1 Tulsa (6 last)

Tulsa1-1Phoenix Rising FC
Tulsa0-0Phoenix Rising FC
Tulsa1-1Phoenix Rising FC
Tulsa1-1Phoenix Rising FC
Phoenix Rising FC0-1Tulsa
Phoenix Rising FC1-0Tulsa

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Phoenix Rising FC	Tulsa
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.6	1 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.7	0.6 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/80/10%	50/50/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.6	1.6 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0.2	4.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.91

Under 2.51.88

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:25

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Pinn 2.00
X	3.52 → 3.52	Pinn 3.52
2	3.54 → 3.54	Pinn 3.54

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.7%

Time*	1	X	2
16:17 +488’	2.00	3.52	3.54

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Phoenix Rising FC 1–4–1 Tulsa

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/03/26 USA USL Championship	Tulsa	1-1 HT 0-0	Phoenix Rising FC
09/11/25 USA USL Championship	Tulsa	0-0 HT 0-0	Phoenix Rising FC
15/06/25 USA USL Championship	Tulsa	1-1 HT 0-1	Phoenix Rising FC
17/04/25 USA US Open Cup	Tulsa	1-1 HT 0-0	Phoenix Rising FC
09/03/25 USA USL Championship	Phoenix Rising FC	0-1 HT 0-1	Tulsa
07/09/24 USA USL Championship	Phoenix Rising FC	1-0 HT 1-0	Tulsa

Standings · USA USL Championship · USL Championship 2026, Western Conference

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	El Paso Locomotive FC	23	12	4	7	39	29	40
2	New Mexico United	21	12	4	5	31	21	40
3	Orange County SC	23	9	9	5	34	32	36
4	Tulsa	22	10	6	6	26	19	36
5	San Antonio FC	23	9	9	5	28	26	36
6	Colorado Switchbacks FC	23	10	4	9	38	36	34
7	Sacramento Republic	22	8	9	5	29	20	33
8	Lexington SC	23	9	4	10	33	29	31
9	Phoenix Rising FC	23	7	9	7	32	31	30
10	Las Vegas Lights FC	23	8	5	10	29	34	29
11	Oakland Roots	23	6	9	8	28	31	27
12	Monterey Bay FC	24	4	6	14	25	42	18

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Phoenix Rising FC	Tulsa
Sacramento Republic	2-2 D	1-0 W
Colorado Switchbacks FC	3-1 W	1-2 L
Lexington SC	0-1 L	0-0 D
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Tulsa (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Phoenix Rising FC

LLWDDLWDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Monterey Bay FC USA USL Championship	0-0	1-1	2	2	D
30/08	Indy Eleven USA USL Championship	2-1	2-1	2	5	W
23/08	Sacramento Republic USA USL Championship	1-2	2-2	2	3	D
20/08	Colorado Switchbacks FC USA USL Championship	1-1	3-1	2	4	W
09/08	Lexington SC USA USL Championship	0-0	0-1	7	2	L
02/08	Las Vegas Lights FC USA USL Championship	1-1	1-1	5	4	D
26/07	Hartford Athletic USA USL Championship	0-0	0-0	6	0	D
19/07	Monterey Bay FC USA USL Championship	1-1	3-2	9	4	W
05/07	Colorado Switchbacks FC USA USL Championship	1-1	1-3	2	2	L
21/06	Oakland Roots USA USL Championship	0-0	3-4	9	7	L

Tulsa

LWDWWLLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	San Antonio FC USA USL Championship	0-0	0-0	1	6	D
30/08	Rhode Island FC USA USL Championship	1-0	1-0	4	7	W
23/08	Orange County SC USA USL Championship	2-0	5-1	4	6	W
16/08	New Mexico United USA USL Championship	0-0	0-1	1	1	L
09/08	Detroit City FC USA USL Championship	0-0	0-1	6	4	L
06/08	Sacramento Republic USA USL Championship	0-0	1-0	4	3	W
30/07	Pittsburgh Riverhounds USA USL Championship	1-0	1-0	4	1	W
26/07	Lexington SC USA USL Championship	0-0	0-0	6	10	D
19/07	El Paso Locomotive FC USA USL Championship	1-0	1-0	5	5	W
21/06	Colorado Switchbacks FC USA USL Championship	1-0	1-2	0	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Phoenix Rising FC vs Tulsa?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Phoenix Rising FC win (40%). Probabilities: Phoenix Rising FC 40%, draw 31%, Tulsa 29%.

How many goals are expected in Phoenix Rising FC vs Tulsa?

The model expects 2.31 goals (Phoenix Rising FC 1.26 · Tulsa 1.04), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Phoenix Rising FC vs Tulsa?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.