Football · USA USL Championship · 13/09, 01:00

Prediction: Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Loudoun United FC

Team pages: Pittsburgh Riverhounds · Loudoun United FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.62Total

Pittsburgh Riverhounds1.68

Loudoun United FC0.94

1X2

53% 27% 20%

Pittsburgh Riverhounds Draw Loudoun United FC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Pittsburgh Riverhounds 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WLLWDWWLDD

Loudoun United FC 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

LDDWWLDDLL

Head-to-head

Pittsburgh Riverhounds 3–2–1 Loudoun United FC (6 last)

Pittsburgh Riverhounds2-0Loudoun United FC
Loudoun United FC2-3Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Pittsburgh Riverhounds2-2Loudoun United FC
Loudoun United FC2-1Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Loudoun United FC0-2Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Pittsburgh Riverhounds1-1Loudoun United FC

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pittsburgh Riverhounds (rating 1510 vs 1455).
H2H favours Pittsburgh Riverhounds: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	Loudoun United FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 0.8	1.2 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.3	0.3 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/70/10%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.2 / 2.8	1.2 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0.1	3.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.91

Under 2.51.88

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:40

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.71 → 1.71	Pinn 1.71
X	3.78 → 3.78	Pinn 3.78
2	4.50 → 4.50	Pinn 4.50

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 7.2%

Time*	1	X	2
02:20 +20’	1.71	3.78	4.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Pittsburgh Riverhounds 3–2–1 Loudoun United FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/07/26 USA USL Cup	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	2-0 HT 1-0	Loudoun United FC
14/03/26 USA USL Championship	Loudoun United FC	2-3 HT 1-1	Pittsburgh Riverhounds
13/07/25 USA USL Championship	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	2-2 HT 1-1	Loudoun United FC
19/04/25 USA USL Championship	Loudoun United FC	2-1 HT 1-0	Pittsburgh Riverhounds
20/10/24 USA USL Championship	Loudoun United FC	0-2 HT 0-1	Pittsburgh Riverhounds
28/07/24 USA USL Championship	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	1-1 HT 1-0	Loudoun United FC

Standings · USA USL Championship · USL Championship 2026, Eastern Conference

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tampa Bay Rowdies	23	14	6	3	40	20	48
2	Charleston Battery	23	12	3	8	47	29	39
3	Detroit City FC	22	10	7	5	28	18	37
4	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	24	10	5	9	27	25	35
5	Louisville City FC	23	9	6	8	38	37	33
6	Hartford Athletic	22	7	10	5	21	22	31
7	Indy Eleven	21	8	5	8	26	26	29
8	Rhode Island FC	21	8	5	8	31	24	29
9	Miami FC	23	5	8	10	27	41	23
10	Loudoun United FC	22	3	11	8	26	39	20
11	Birmingham Legion FC	21	3	9	9	26	32	18
12	Brooklyn FC	21	4	4	13	22	38	16
13	Sporting JAX	23	3	5	15	30	60	14

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	Loudoun United FC
Tampa Bay Rowdies	0-0 D	1-1 D
El Paso Locomotive FC	1-2 L	1-4 L
Charleston Battery	3-1 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 1 L	0 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Pittsburgh Riverhounds (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Pittsburgh Riverhounds

WLLWDWWLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Miami FC USA USL Championship	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
29/08	Tampa Bay Rowdies USA USL Championship	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
27/08	El Paso Locomotive FC USA USL Championship	0-0	1-2	2	1	L
23/08	Brooklyn FC USA USL Championship	0-0	1-0	5	2	W
16/08	Charleston Battery USA USL Championship	2-1	3-1	6	8	W
09/08	Sacramento Republic USA USL Championship	0-0	0-0	1	0	D
02/08	Oakland Roots USA USL Championship	1-0	1-0	0	3	W
30/07	Tulsa USA USL Championship	0-1	0-1	1	1	L
26/07	Rhode Island FC USA USL Championship	0-0	0-1	6	2	L
18/07	Louisville City FC USA USL Championship	0-0	3-1	2	4	W

Loudoun United FC

LDDWWLDDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Colorado Switchbacks FC USA USL Championship	1-1	4-5	4	4	L
30/08	El Paso Locomotive FC USA USL Championship	1-3	1-4	7	2	L
23/08	New Mexico United USA USL Championship	0-0	0-0	6	6	D
16/08	Detroit City FC USA USL Championship	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
09/08	Charleston Battery USA USL Championship	0-0	0-1	6	3	L
02/08	Hartford Athletic USA USL Championship	1-0	2-0	2	2	W
26/07	Indy Eleven USA USL Championship	0-0	1-0	3	3	W
19/07	Tampa Bay Rowdies USA USL Championship	0-1	1-1	5	5	D
04/07	Sporting JAX USA USL Championship	0-1	2-2	3	3	D
25/06	Charleston Battery USA USL Championship	0-2	1-4	2	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Loudoun United FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Pittsburgh Riverhounds win (53%). Probabilities: Pittsburgh Riverhounds 53%, draw 27%, Loudoun United FC 20%.

How many goals are expected in Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Loudoun United FC?

The model expects 2.62 goals (Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1.68 · Loudoun United FC 0.94), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Loudoun United FC?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.