Football · USA USL Championship · 13/09, 01:00

Prediction: Sporting JAX vs Rhode Island FC

Team pages: Sporting JAX · Rhode Island FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.83Total

Sporting JAX1.47

Rhode Island FC1.36

1X2

39% 27% 34%

Sporting JAX Draw Rhode Island FC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Sporting JAX 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LDWDLLLWLW

Rhode Island FC 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DLWWLWLWLD

Head-to-head

Sporting JAX 0–1–0 Rhode Island FC (1 last)

Rhode Island FC1-1Sporting JAX

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sporting JAX	Rhode Island FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 2.6	1 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 1.2	0.3 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	0.7 / 3.2	3.7 / 6.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.1	4.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.83

Under 2.751.96

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 04:00

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	4.88 → 4.96▲	Pinn 4.96
X	4.25 → 4.31▲	Pinn 4.31
2	1.55 → 1.56▲	Pinn 1.56

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 7.4%

Time*	1	X	2
02:20 +20’	4.88	4.25	1.55
02:46 +74’	4.96▲	4.31▲	1.56▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Sporting JAX 0–1–0 Rhode Island FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/03/26 USA USL Championship	Rhode Island FC	1-1 HT 0-0	Sporting JAX

Standings · USA USL Championship · USL Championship 2026, Eastern Conference

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tampa Bay Rowdies	23	14	6	3	40	20	48
2	Charleston Battery	23	12	3	8	47	29	39
3	Detroit City FC	22	10	7	5	28	18	37
4	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	24	10	5	9	27	25	35
5	Louisville City FC	23	9	6	8	38	37	33
6	Hartford Athletic	22	7	10	5	21	22	31
7	Indy Eleven	21	8	5	8	26	26	29
8	Rhode Island FC	21	8	5	8	31	24	29
9	Miami FC	23	5	8	10	27	41	23
10	Loudoun United FC	22	3	11	8	26	39	20
11	Birmingham Legion FC	21	3	9	9	26	32	18
12	Brooklyn FC	21	4	4	13	22	38	16
13	Sporting JAX	23	3	5	15	30	60	14

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sporting JAX	Rhode Island FC
Birmingham Legion FC	3-2 W	0-1 L
Sacramento Republic	0-5 L	1-2 L
Pittsburgh Riverhounds	2-1 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sporting JAX

LDWDLLLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Lexington SC USA USL Championship	1-0	3-2	2	2	W
30/08	Brooklyn FC USA USL Championship	0-3	1-4	5	4	L
23/08	Birmingham Legion FC USA USL Championship	0-0	3-2	5	2	W
16/08	Indy Eleven USA USL Championship	0-0	0-1	3	4	L
02/08	Sacramento Republic USA USL Championship	0-4	0-5	0	5	L
26/07	El Paso Locomotive FC USA USL Championship	0-1	0-2	5	6	L
19/07	Brooklyn FC USA USL Championship	2-0	2-2	5	4	D
16/07	Pittsburgh Riverhounds USA USL Championship	0-1	2-1	1	2	W
04/07	Loudoun United FC USA USL Championship	1-0	2-2	3	3	D
21/06	Charleston Battery USA USL Championship	1-3	2-5	3	5	L

Rhode Island FC

DLWWLWLWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Louisville City FC USA USL Championship	0-1	1-1	5	3	D
30/08	Tulsa USA USL Championship	0-1	0-1	6	7	L
23/08	Monterey Bay FC USA USL Championship	1-1	3-1	9	8	W
16/08	Tampa Bay Rowdies USA USL Championship	0-0	0-2	3	4	L
09/08	Colorado Switchbacks FC USA USL Championship	0-0	2-0	2	8	W
03/08	Birmingham Legion FC USA USL Championship	0-0	0-1	13	3	L
26/07	Pittsburgh Riverhounds USA USL Championship	0-0	1-0	4	2	W
19/07	Hartford Athletic USA USL Championship	1-0	1-0	9	5	W
09/07	Sacramento Republic USA USL Championship	1-2	1-2	3	2	L
05/07	Orange County SC USA USL Championship	0-0	1-1	10	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sporting JAX vs Rhode Island FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sporting JAX win (39%). Probabilities: Sporting JAX 39%, draw 27%, Rhode Island FC 34%.

How many goals are expected in Sporting JAX vs Rhode Island FC?

The model expects 2.83 goals (Sporting JAX 1.47 · Rhode Island FC 1.36), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Sporting JAX vs Rhode Island FC?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.