Football · USA USL Championship · 01/10, 01:30
Prediction: Rhode Island FC vs Indy Eleven
Team pages: Rhode Island FC · Indy Eleven
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.34Total
Rhode Island FC1.41
Indy Eleven0.94
1X2
Rhode Island FC
Draw
Indy Eleven
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Rhode Island FC
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Indy Eleven
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Rhode Island FC
2–1–3
Indy Eleven
(6 last)
- Indy Eleven1-0Rhode Island FC
- Rhode Island FC1-0Indy Eleven
- Indy Eleven1-0Rhode Island FC
- Indy Eleven2-3Rhode Island FC
- Indy Eleven1-0Rhode Island FC
- Rhode Island FC3-3Indy Eleven
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Indy Eleven: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Rhode Island FC | Indy Eleven | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1 | 1.4 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.4 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 5.4 | 2 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.1 | 3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Rhode Island FC 2–1–3 Indy Eleven
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05/26 USA USL Championship | Indy Eleven | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Rhode Island FC |
| 14/09/25 USA USL Championship | Rhode Island FC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Indy Eleven |
| 13/07/25 USA USL Championship | Indy Eleven | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Rhode Island FC |
| 03/11/24 USA USL Championship | Indy Eleven | 2-3 HT 1-2 | Rhode Island FC |
| 08/08/24 USA USL Championship | Indy Eleven | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Rhode Island FC |
| 06/07/24 USA USL Championship | Rhode Island FC | 3-3 HT 0-2 | Indy Eleven |
Standings · USA USL Championship · USL Championship 2026, Eastern Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 45 | 23 | 51 |
| 2 | Charleston Battery | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 50 | 31 | 43 |
| 3 | Detroit City FC | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 29 | 19 | 40 |
| 4 | Hartford Athletic | 26 | 9 | 12 | 5 | 29 | 26 | 39 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 28 | 26 | 38 |
| 6 | Louisville City FC | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 43 | 42 | 37 |
| 7 | Indy Eleven | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 32 | 29 | 33 |
| 8 | Rhode Island FC | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 35 | 26 | 32 |
| 9 | Miami FC | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 30 | 43 | 27 |
| 10 | Birmingham Legion FC | 25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 36 | 42 | 23 |
| 11 | Loudoun United FC | 25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 31 | 43 | 23 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | 49 | 18 |
| 13 | Sporting JAX | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 31 | 69 | 14 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Rhode Island FC | Indy Eleven |
|---|---|---|
| Sporting JAX | 3-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Louisville City FC | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Birmingham Legion FC | 0-1 L | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Indy Eleven (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rhode Island FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Charleston Battery USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 20/09 | Miami FC USA USL Championship |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 13/09 | Sporting JAX USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 06/09 | Louisville City FC USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 30/08 | Tulsa USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 23/08 | Monterey Bay FC USA USL Championship |
1-1 | 3-1 | 9 | 8 | W |
| 16/08 | Tampa Bay Rowdies USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 09/08 | Colorado Switchbacks FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 03/08 | Birmingham Legion FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 13 | 3 | L |
| 26/07 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
Indy Eleven
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Oakland Roots USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 16/09 | Brooklyn FC USA USL Championship |
3-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 12/09 | New Mexico United USA USL Championship |
0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 06/09 | Birmingham Legion FC USA USL Championship |
1-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 30/08 | Phoenix Rising FC USA USL Championship |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 23/08 | Louisville City FC USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 16/08 | Sporting JAX USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 09/08 | Hartford Athletic USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 01/08 | San Antonio FC USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 26/07 | Loudoun United FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rhode Island FC vs Indy Eleven?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Rhode Island FC win (47%). Probabilities: Rhode Island FC 47%, draw 30%, Indy Eleven 24%.
How many goals are expected in Rhode Island FC vs Indy Eleven?
The model expects 2.34 goals (Rhode Island FC 1.41 · Indy Eleven 0.94), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Rhode Island FC vs Indy Eleven?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.