Football · USA USL Championship · 11/10, 01:00
Prediction: Detroit City FC vs Rhode Island FC
Team pages: Detroit City FC · Rhode Island FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.77Total
Detroit City FC1.22
Rhode Island FC0.54
1X2
Detroit City FC
Draw
Rhode Island FC
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 54%
Not both to score 56%
Most likely score
1-0 20%
Recent form · 10 last
Detroit City FC
4-5-1 (W-D-L)
Rhode Island FC
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Detroit City FC
2–2–1
Rhode Island FC
(5 last)
- Rhode Island FC0-0Detroit City FC
- Rhode Island FC1-0Detroit City FC
- Detroit City FC2-0Rhode Island FC
- Detroit City FC1-1Rhode Island FC
- Rhode Island FC0-2Detroit City FC
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 77%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Detroit City FC (rating 1550 vs 1503).
- H2H favours Detroit City FC: 2-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Detroit City FC | Rhode Island FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 0.5 | 1.4 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.1 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/70/10% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.7 | 2.1 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0 | 5.5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Detroit City FC 2–2–1 Rhode Island FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/26 USA USL Championship | Rhode Island FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Detroit City FC |
| 07/08/25 USA USL Championship | Rhode Island FC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Detroit City FC |
| 19/04/25 USA USL Championship | Detroit City FC | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Rhode Island FC |
| 03/08/24 USA USL Championship | Detroit City FC | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Rhode Island FC |
| 09/06/24 USA USL Championship | Rhode Island FC | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Detroit City FC |
Standings · USA USL Championship · USL Championship 2026, Eastern Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 46 | 25 | 52 |
| 2 | Detroit City FC | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 33 | 20 | 47 |
| 3 | Charleston Battery | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 52 | 31 | 46 |
| 4 | Hartford Athletic | 26 | 9 | 12 | 5 | 29 | 26 | 39 |
| 5 | Rhode Island FC | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 39 | 29 | 38 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 28 | 27 | 38 |
| 7 | Louisville City FC | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 43 | 42 | 37 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 38 | 45 | 36 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 33 | 34 |
| 10 | Loudoun United FC | 26 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 32 | 44 | 24 |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion FC | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 36 | 43 | 23 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 27 | 55 | 18 |
| 13 | Sporting JAX | 27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 32 | 73 | 14 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Detroit City FC | Rhode Island FC |
|---|---|---|
| Brooklyn FC | 3-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Colorado Switchbacks FC | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Louisville City FC | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Tampa Bay Rowdies | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Tulsa | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Miami FC | 2-2 D | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 3 D 0 L | 2 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Detroit City FC (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Detroit City FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Brooklyn FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 27/09 | Colorado Switchbacks FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 20/09 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 13/09 | Sacramento Republic USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 06/09 | Hartford Athletic USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 1-1 | 12 | 4 | D |
| 30/08 | Louisville City FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 23/08 | Tampa Bay Rowdies USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 16/08 | Loudoun United FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 09/08 | Tulsa USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 02/08 | Miami FC USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 9 | D |
Rhode Island FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Brooklyn FC USA USL Championship |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 01/10 | Indy Eleven USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 27/09 | Charleston Battery USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 20/09 | Miami FC USA USL Championship |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 13/09 | Sporting JAX USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 06/09 | Louisville City FC USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 30/08 | Tulsa USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 23/08 | Monterey Bay FC USA USL Championship |
1-1 | 3-1 | 9 | 8 | W |
| 16/08 | Tampa Bay Rowdies USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 09/08 | Colorado Switchbacks FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Detroit City FC vs Rhode Island FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Detroit City FC win (52%). Probabilities: Detroit City FC 52%, draw 33%, Rhode Island FC 15%.
How many goals are expected in Detroit City FC vs Rhode Island FC?
The model expects 1.77 goals (Detroit City FC 1.22 · Rhode Island FC 0.54), with a 60% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Detroit City FC vs Rhode Island FC?
The model gives a 56% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.