Football · USA USL Championship · 04/10, 01:00

Prediction: Brooklyn FC vs Rhode Island FC

Team pages: Brooklyn FC · Rhode Island FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.73Total

Brooklyn FC1.07

Rhode Island FC1.66

1X2

24% 26% 51%

Brooklyn FC Draw Rhode Island FC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Brooklyn FC 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

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Rhode Island FC 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Brooklyn FC 0–1–1 Rhode Island FC (2 last)

Rhode Island FC1-1Brooklyn FC
Rhode Island FC4-1Brooklyn FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Brooklyn FC 1408 · Rhode Island FC 1489

	Brooklyn FC	Draw	Rhode Island FC
Our model	23%	27%	50%
Market	24%	25%	51%

Estimated total (ours) 2.73 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rhode Island FC (rating 1408 vs 1489).
Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Brooklyn FC	Rhode Island FC
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 2.3	1.1 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1	0.3 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/20/60%	10/70/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.3	2.9 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.4	5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.70

X3.60

21.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)2.00

2 (-0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.82

Under 2.751.98

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	1.75 → 1.75	Bet365 1.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
16:18 +1’	3.70	3.60	1.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Brooklyn FC 0–1–1 Rhode Island FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/07/26 USA USL Cup	Rhode Island FC	1-1 HT 1-1	Brooklyn FC
24/05/26 USA USL Championship	Rhode Island FC	4-1 HT 1-0	Brooklyn FC

Standings · USA USL Championship · USL Championship 2026, Eastern Conference

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tampa Bay Rowdies	26	15	7	4	45	23	52
2	Charleston Battery	26	14	4	8	52	31	46
3	Detroit City FC	25	11	8	6	29	19	41
4	Hartford Athletic	26	9	12	5	29	26	39
5	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	27	11	5	11	28	27	38
6	Louisville City FC	26	10	7	9	43	42	37
7	Indy Eleven	25	9	6	10	32	31	33
8	Rhode Island FC	24	9	5	10	35	28	32
9	Miami FC	26	7	9	10	32	43	30
10	Birmingham Legion FC	25	4	11	10	36	42	23
11	Loudoun United FC	25	4	11	10	31	43	23
12	Brooklyn FC	25	4	6	15	25	49	18
13	Sporting JAX	26	3	5	18	31	69	14

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Brooklyn FC	Rhode Island FC
Birmingham Legion FC	0-4 L	0-1 L
Tulsa	2-2 D	0-1 L
Miami FC	1-1 D	1-2 L
Tampa Bay Rowdies	0-2 L	0-2 L
Sporting JAX	4-1 W	3-0 W
Pittsburgh Riverhounds	0-1 L	1-0 W
Charleston Battery	0-5 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 4 L	2 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Rhode Island FC (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Brooklyn FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/09	Birmingham Legion FC USA USL Championship	0-1	0-4	4	1	L
20/09	Tulsa USA USL Championship	0-2	2-2	0	6	D
16/09	Indy Eleven USA USL Championship	0-3	0-4	7	2	L
13/09	Miami FC USA USL Championship	0-0	1-1	6	7	D
06/09	Tampa Bay Rowdies USA USL Championship	0-1	0-2	3	4	L
30/08	Sporting JAX USA USL Championship	3-0	4-1	6	4	W
23/08	Pittsburgh Riverhounds USA USL Championship	0-0	0-1	3	2	L
16/08	Las Vegas Lights FC USA USL Championship	1-0	1-2	3	5	L
02/08	Charleston Battery USA USL Championship	0-2	0-5	6	7	L
26/07	San Antonio FC USA USL Championship	0-1	0-1	5	7	L

Rhode Island FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	Charleston Battery USA USL Championship	0-0	0-2	1	4	L
20/09	Miami FC USA USL Championship	1-1	1-2	4	7	L
13/09	Sporting JAX USA USL Championship	1-0	3-0	7	5	W
06/09	Louisville City FC USA USL Championship	0-1	1-1	5	3	D
30/08	Tulsa USA USL Championship	0-1	0-1	6	7	L
23/08	Monterey Bay FC USA USL Championship	1-1	3-1	9	8	W
16/08	Tampa Bay Rowdies USA USL Championship	0-0	0-2	3	4	L
09/08	Colorado Switchbacks FC USA USL Championship	0-0	2-0	2	8	W
03/08	Birmingham Legion FC USA USL Championship	0-0	0-1	13	3	L
26/07	Pittsburgh Riverhounds USA USL Championship	0-0	1-0	4	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Brooklyn FC vs Rhode Island FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Rhode Island FC win (51%). Probabilities: Brooklyn FC 24%, draw 26%, Rhode Island FC 51%.

How many goals are expected in Brooklyn FC vs Rhode Island FC?

The model expects 2.73 goals (Brooklyn FC 1.07 · Rhode Island FC 1.66), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Brooklyn FC vs Rhode Island FC?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.