Football · USA USL Championship · 11/10, 04:00

Prediction: Oakland Roots vs San Antonio FC

Team pages: Oakland Roots · San Antonio FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.08Total

Oakland Roots1.1

San Antonio FC0.99

1X2

38% 30% 32%

Oakland Roots Draw San Antonio FC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 65% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Oakland Roots 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

LDLDWDLWWD

San Antonio FC 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

WDLLWDLDDL

Head-to-head

Oakland Roots 2–2–2 San Antonio FC (6 last)

San Antonio FC0-1Oakland Roots
San Antonio FC1-2Oakland Roots
Oakland Roots1-2San Antonio FC
Oakland Roots0-1San Antonio FC
San Antonio FC2-2Oakland Roots
Oakland Roots2-2San Antonio FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Oakland Roots 1503 · San Antonio FC 1458

	Oakland Roots	Draw	San Antonio FC
Our model	36%	33%	31%
Market	39%	28%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 2.08 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Oakland Roots (rating 1503 vs 1458).
High corners: 11 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Oakland Roots	San Antonio FC
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 0.8	0.7 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.3	0.2 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.4 / 6.9	1.7 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.1	4.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.35

X3.20

22.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.05

2 (+0.25)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.77

Under 2.252.02

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 1.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:44

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.35 → 2.35	Pinn 2.51
X	3.20 → 3.20	Pinn 3.58 ★
2	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.2% Pinnacle margin 6.7%

Time*	1	X	2
00:34 +10’	2.35	3.20	2.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:43 +480’	2.51	3.58	2.57

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Oakland Roots 2–2–2 San Antonio FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/08/26 USA USL Championship	San Antonio FC	0-1 HT 0-0	Oakland Roots
11/05/25 USA USL Championship	San Antonio FC	1-2 HT 1-1	Oakland Roots
23/03/25 USA USL Championship	Oakland Roots	1-2 HT 1-1	San Antonio FC
15/09/24 USA USL Championship	Oakland Roots	0-1 HT 0-1	San Antonio FC
05/05/24 USA USL Championship	San Antonio FC	2-2 HT 0-0	Oakland Roots
01/10/23 USA USL Championship	Oakland Roots	2-2 HT 2-0	San Antonio FC

Standings · USA USL Championship · USL Championship 2026, Western Conference

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	El Paso Locomotive FC	27	14	5	8	46	35	47
2	Sacramento Republic	27	11	11	5	37	25	44
3	New Mexico United	26	12	7	7	39	31	43
4	Lexington SC	27	13	4	10	49	33	43
5	Tulsa	27	11	9	7	32	25	42
6	Colorado Switchbacks FC	27	11	7	9	40	37	40
7	Orange County SC	27	10	9	8	36	42	39
8	San Antonio FC	27	9	11	7	29	29	38
9	Las Vegas Lights FC	27	10	6	11	35	38	36
10	Oakland Roots	27	8	10	9	33	35	34
11	Phoenix Rising FC	26	8	9	9	35	38	33
12	Monterey Bay FC	27	5	6	16	29	47	21

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Oakland Roots	San Antonio FC
Colorado Switchbacks FC	0-0 D	1-2 L
Indy Eleven	1-0 W	3-1 W
El Paso Locomotive FC	0-1 L	0-3 L
Las Vegas Lights FC	0-0 D	0-1 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Oakland Roots (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Oakland Roots

LDLDWDLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	Colorado Switchbacks FC USA USL Championship	0-0	0-0	4	0	D
27/09	Phoenix Rising FC USA USL Championship	2-0	3-0	1	2	W
20/09	Indy Eleven USA USL Championship	0-0	1-0	5	3	W
13/09	Lexington SC USA USL Championship	0-1	1-4	11	2	L
30/08	Orange County SC USA USL Championship	1-0	1-1	13	5	D
23/08	San Antonio FC USA USL Championship	0-0	1-0	6	5	W
16/08	Monterey Bay FC USA USL Championship	1-0	1-1	11	5	D
09/08	El Paso Locomotive FC USA USL Championship	0-1	0-1	6	1	L
06/08	Las Vegas Lights FC USA USL Championship	0-0	0-0	8	5	D
02/08	Pittsburgh Riverhounds USA USL Championship	0-1	0-1	4	3	L

San Antonio FC

WDLLWDLDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	Las Vegas Lights FC USA USL Championship	0-1	0-1	2	5	L
27/09	Tampa Bay Rowdies USA USL Championship	0-0	0-0	6	2	D
21/09	Sacramento Republic USA USL Championship	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
12/09	Colorado Switchbacks FC USA USL Championship	0-0	1-2	4	4	L
06/09	Tulsa USA USL Championship	0-0	0-0	9	6	D
30/08	New Mexico United USA USL Championship	1-0	2-1	3	12	W
23/08	Oakland Roots USA USL Championship	0-0	0-1	3	5	L
16/08	El Paso Locomotive FC USA USL Championship	0-3	0-3	2	6	L
09/08	Louisville City FC USA USL Championship	0-1	1-1	4	3	D
01/08	Indy Eleven USA USL Championship	1-0	3-1	5	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Oakland Roots vs San Antonio FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Oakland Roots win (38%). Probabilities: Oakland Roots 38%, draw 30%, San Antonio FC 32%.

How many goals are expected in Oakland Roots vs San Antonio FC?

The model expects 2.08 goals (Oakland Roots 1.1 · San Antonio FC 0.99), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Oakland Roots vs San Antonio FC?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.